Ok, now we're getting somewhere. The only problem I see with this is that GGG doesn't outwork fighters. He outfights them and basically overpowers them. He's not a Margarito 80-100 punches a round guy.
You remember his fight with Ouma? Ouma was a classic 'outwork you' kind of guy and he did it very well against GGG until the size and power difference got too much. GGG doesn't throw that much. He's very methodical, so it comes across like he does, but it's more just because he's working away slowly but surely.
That isn't the type of guy that would outwork Toney. GGG throws an average of about 60-65 punches per round, many of them power punches. Inside, it's all Toneys game. He was faster, much harder to hit inside, and his shots were shorter and more compact inside and he worked up and down. GGG needs to be set to punch and he likes the know he's going to land, so inside he'd find it difficult not just to land but just to get off first and when he did, he'd be countered.
I'm not saying he wouldn't land, he would. Hes a good fighter, he just wouldn't land close to the amount he's used to landing and he wouldn't be landing his usual clean, big power swings. THose wide, sweeping hooks that he favours, very few of those would land at all.
Toney, on the other hand, would land a lot. He's the only fighter to ever land over 400 punches on numerous occasions. In his big fights, particularly when he had someone in front of him fighting, he threw and landed like an offensive machine and GGG would be in front of him the whole fight. The fights he landed most in, were against GGGish type styles. He's open to counters, because he waits after he throws to see what's happening. He'll throw then leaves himself open. Against the guys he's fighting he gets away with it, because they are often retreating and getting hit with his combos.
Toney has things that GGG has never seen and I can't see him dealing with very well, due to his style of fighting. GGG has nothing Toney hasn't seen, and the style of GGG suits Toney down to the ground. A come forward, methodical, textbook power puncher that wasn't particularly fast of hand or foot. Toney had a few issues with certain styles over the years, but this was the stuff he feasted on. This was his game.
Agree with this. From what I've seen of GGG he's economical with his punches and as you say, he does only let shots go when he knows they're going to land. Standing an posing infront of James Toney isn't an effective strategy. Counter punchers like time to think to set traps, and GGG would be there for the receipt every time.
You would have to hope GGG could hit Toney had enough to put him on the defensive an hope he would go into a defensive shell. Toney had a granite chin though, and he's a hard man he knows how to dog it out when needed, Jirov.