Fight
I'm torn up on this fight, and the more I think about it, the harder it gets to pick a winner, but I'm leaning towards a Pac UD/SD win.
A few things I've noticed...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33wli7LEU9U
This punch seems to be working very good for Manny. He tagged Marquez in fight no. 4 and wobbled him bad. He caught Bradley with it hard in fight #2 and he absolutely splattered Algieri with it. Those crazy angle shots are the ones he could put Money May in big trouble with.
It's also been mentioned about Mayweather's defence not being perfect for southpaws, especially not with a high work-rate.
To me the Bradley fights 1&2 showed a lot about how Pacquiao can deal with a fighter that moves a lot. Bradley uses some serious body movement and footwork in those fights, but Pac was so relentless that Bradley ended up spraining about 3 ankles trying to get away while punches were raining in from absolutely everywhere.
I think that Bradley is one of the best movers in boxing right now, but his heart ruling his head has made him look worse than he is (ie feeling a point to prove and going toe to toe with Provodnikov, Chaves). He seems to get reckless when he feels fans are against him. An example of Bradley's good movement was in the Provodnikov fight where, even when out on his feet, ducked and dodged about 12-15 vicious punches on the ropes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9MugwEtDXw
(1:57 - 2:20) (3:42-4:05 being the opposite!)
Floyd Mayweather will be getting out the way a lot smoother than Bradley I'll give him that, but I don't think he has the ability to keep up all that movement for 12 rounds:
If Pacquiao throws maybe twice as many punches as Floyd, and Floyd gets on the ropes, he may find it harder to get away as the fight goes on. Floyd was (and understandably) slower in round 4 of the Maidana fight after the big shot at the end of round 3. I can see Pac landing more than Maidana, and If he can do enough, he could take the wind out of Floyd and do damage on the ropes.
Also, the comparison of Floyd and Marquez's style seems a bit off to me, as Marquez is basically willing to risk getting KO'ed to land any punch, plus even if he gets knocked down, he's straight back up. Froch-like chin. May beat Marquez because Marquez had to take the fight to him, and blew-up practically 3 weight divisions, and looked in the worst shape I've seen him in championship fights. Slow, heavy-footed and getting picked off with counters. Bradley also showed what happened when you don't go steaming into Marquez like a bull (and that was when JMM was a fully-fledged welter and possibly juiced to the gills).
Both guys have solid chins, and even though Pac was decimated by Marquez, that was literally the most perfect timing, positioning combined with biggest mistake all in one moment. With May's regular gloves I can't see him KO'ing Pac, and even if Pac does drop or hurt Money with a shot off balance or a flash KD, May has the goods to go 12 with anyone. I guess the only hope for either for a KO would be a sick body shot, which I just can't envision (but who knows?)
Overall, I see the higher work-rate, crazy angles, power, hand speed advantage of Pac being able to (only just) overcome the ever so slightly ageing legs of Mayweather (still great footwork) and tip-top defence and counter-punching.
I just hope Manny doesn't come out with too much respect and we see a Maidana-Mayweather 3 type fight, but with an upgraded Maidana in all departments.
WAR Pacquaio!!!
(P.S. Floyd's in big trouble if Dionesa Pacquiao gets a ticket!)
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-lfr18DlbT4w/U04IxSmmDMI/AAAAAAAANOk/Dr_lezndcoQ/s1600/mommy+dionesia.gif