IMO This is a winnable fight for Dawson. Keeping Ward on the outside will lead Dawson to well controlled fight. Ward is going to have to get inside in order to do work, I can't see him winning an outside battle against Dawson. Dawson very well defensive minded fighter did a great job against Hopkins, not allowing him to come inside and do what Hopkins does best. Ward has always had his ways against his opponents, but what separates Dawson from them is his defense, IMO Dawson defense will trouble Ward. I'm really surprised at the betting line for this fight. +245 for Dawson. I'm hoping it will hit 300 by fight time... thoughts anyone??