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this is a great post, the only thing to consider is the odds makers are considering profit as well. the odds are in relation to public opinion and not necessarily a collective group of educated boxing individuals.
I always say this though, Mayweather never took a single risk outside of De La Hoya. Mayweather was the favorite in that but it was still a risk, and at the time he had to for big money and also for the passing of the torch. This is the biggest spot on his entire career.
I think everyone knows Pacquiaos resume is the best of this generation, but he did a bit of cherry picking at 147 - but makes up for it with his excellent lower weight class resume.
Mayweather on the other hand you can poke holes in every single fight and see why he took them. Corralles he had already sparred before and was struggling to make weight, and simply just not as good as Mayweather. Gatti was finished completely, I'm surprised people even consider this a good win. in 2005 Gatti was not dangerous and had already been in 3 brutal fights with Ward and a DLH stoppage (to add to the mix the sucker punch Mayweather got on Gatti when the ref half stepped).
Shane and Cotto were already way past their best and beatable. I'm not sure whos win is better over Cotto. Pacs or Mayweathers. Mayweather fought Cotto at 154 coming off a good win, Pac fought a younger Cotto who had only been beat once - but also at a catchweight (Cotto was a 147 lb fighter then).
It's to bad, because Mayweather is still a great fighter and could beat a lot of good fighters, but he went safety first. I can see from his perspective why, but from the fans perspective its hard to rate him in history - since a lot of great fighters could probably be undefeated on his resume given the same circumstances and given they stayed in shape.Comment
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Odds in Joe Louis 27 world title bouts (from the 1961 Ring Record Book, page 80):
Braddock: 5 to 2
Farr: 5 to 1
Mann: 12 to 1
Thomas: 20 to 1
Schmeling: 9 to 5
Lewis 15 to 1
Roper: 10 to 1
Galento: 8 to 1
Pastor: 6 to 1
Godoy: 10 to 1
Paychek: 12 to 1
Godoy: 8 to 1
McCoy: 20 to 1
Burman: 10 to 1
Dorazio: 20 to 1
Simon: 18 to 1
Musto: 20 to 1
Baer: 6 to 1
Conn: 18 to 5
Nova: 13 to 5
Baer: 10 to 1
Simon: 8 to 1
Conn: 14 to 5
Mauriello: 9 to 1
Walcott: 10 to 1
Walcott: 13 to 5
Charles: 2 to 1
So what does this mean? Despite the overwhelming (in most cases) odds, do we not recognize Louis as a great champion? I don't see anyone going through his record, poking holes in every fight in an attempt to belittle him. Why is that?Comment
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Great idea, Chollo. The statistics probably could have been worked for even more. Still they present a good picture.Comment
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