If we look at rematches historically where one guy really had the advantage the first fight, usually the results are similar for the second fight. Its hard to look through all the verbiage... joshua says this! his new trainer says this! Usyk doesn't say much of anything does he?
Joshua is a talented fighter... I put him at about frank Bruno level in the total scheme of things, give or take...
The judges are always a variable in a fight of this magnitude. To me? that is the biggest challenge Usyk faces for this fight... Sometimes fights are close, even though one guy showed dominion over his opponent. For example, in the first fight between these two: joshua had spells, he caught Usyk at times for sure, but clearly Usyk displayed he was better, more complete. He did this by running away the last rounds of the fight. But judges are corrupt, they do not recognize subtlety and if there is an agenda afoot... I fear this more than what Joshua can do against Usyk.
I think Usyk probably gets a stoppage mid to late rounds. Ill say from the 6th to the 8th. Joshua is truly out of his element here, and if I am wrong? from congrats to Redeemer and it has been a nice time posting with all of you!
I don't have a preference in this fight, because I know that whoever wins immediately becomes the best HW of their generation.
With that said, I do believe Joshua wins the fight by TKO.
I would actually really like Joshua to pull something out of the bag. Especially considering the way a lot of UK fans have turned on him. But I am shocked there are so many people predicting a Joshua TKO by round 6/7. I just...don't know where people expect it to come from.
I think Joshua's best chance is in the early rounds. Like very early. R1-R3. Because even if he fights old-style very aggressive Joshua, he will have spells when he gasses out, and then, he is all set for Usyk to pick him off on the counter. Usyk can KO Joshua. 15 more seconds in fight 1 and the towel was coming in, and if Joshua fights more aggressively, more opportunities for Usyk to pick his power shots. Whoever wins I'm just hoping for a great, action and drama packed fight. Nash out.
Likely outcomes haven't really changed since last time. Usyk on points or Joshua by stoppage.
I edged towards Joshua last time, but I'll edge towards Usyk this time. Not because of what we saw from Joshua (I'm sure he can be better), but because I thought Usyk was outstanding. As good a heavyweight display as I've seen.
Agree with the OP, it's a huge fight and great that we're getting it.
AJ's relentless core attack for the 1st half, hitting him anywhere from chest - abs. Usyk spaghetti-legged 2nd half of the fight but an excellent boxer so can get by. AJ controversial SD (basically Eastern Euro Fanboys but clear to the boxing eye) for affective aggression with no stoppage, very similar to Hurd vs Lara minus the last round knockdown.
I think AJ fights a more sensible fight and uses his strengths to overpower Usyk rather than trying to outbox him. AJ wins by KO.
Usyk on the other hand has to take initial risks and assert himself as someone who will throw hard combinations and take AJ by surprise rather than trying to outbox him from the start. Once he has instilled the fear in AJ to make him more cautious, he can resume his smart boxing.