no way. i'd be shocked. ppvs over a million buys are ultra rare, and were only common during hte height of pacquiao - mayweather. otherwise there have only been a few fighters / fights that sold that many ppv. mike tyson. oscar de la hoya. evander holyfield. these are some of the most popular fighters ever.
Canelo would drive the PPV sales.
I tend to agree that GGG does not really have a rabid fanbase that will pay for a PPV.
But he is widely regarded in "hardcore" boxing circles.
I think that a Canelo PPV v. GGG would do better than a PPV v. Cotto, largely because Canelo fans would recognize GGG as a huge test and would turn out.
Plus all the hardcore boxing heads would definitely watch -- but, there's not alot of them, maybe 200K of them total -- but you add them tp the bigger group of Canelo's non-boxing fanbase (and Im not trying to talk $h!t here - anytime a boxer gets big: DLH, Money, Pac, Canelo -- alot of their fans are non-boxing fans - its the only way to make huge PPVs).
The GGG-Jacobs fight is one indicator of how a Canelo-GGG PPV would do - but I doubt that PPV does 200K - all the hardcore boxing heads.
I think the Canelo- Jr. PPV is a bigger indicator. Jr. isnt a big draw anymore. If Canelo can turn out like 600K of his fans on his own to see that stunt of a fight, that means Canelo's star continues to rise, and I could see more than 1M paying to see him fight GGG
Won't go beyond 1mil but I'll be happy to be wrong..
Canelo-Cotto barely reached 1mil ~900K.. if Golovkin KOs Jacobs in an impressive fashion then the sales might increase a bit but still wouldn't reach a mil imo..
GGG doesn't have the fanbase of Cotto or the Mexico vs PR rivalry so I don't see how it does above a million if Canelo vs Cotto couldn't. I'll gladly eat my words if wrong and would love to be wrong but I feel some people on here are overestimating how big the fight is.
These are my exact sentiments as well
As someone mentioned, Im worried that there is too much $$$ in a Canelo-Cotto rematch, and everything is being set up for this to happen in Sept.
I mean, just looking at it business wise, why risk GBP's cashcow v. a dude who looks like a killer, when you can probably make just a bit less $$$ against a semi-shot dude who is smaller than Canelo
Team Canelo can use the line "Cotto gave us a shot at the title, he deserves a rematch."
We'll see. If the Jr. PPV does big $$$, I figure GBP thinks they dont need GGG to make a big Sept PPV.
Not cool, as Cotto was the one who first hijacked the Middleweight title to CottoWeight, but life isnt fair.
And I think Canelo-GGG does about $1.2M, while Canelo-Cotto II does around 800K. Depending on how much $$ Cotto needs, maybe not enough of a difference to tempt GBP into a GGG fight
Canelo by himself does 300K (without known name opponent). GGG by himself - 150K. Some other ppl will be attracted by a matchup (but those are mostly more knowledgeable fans, not casuals). I don't see how it breaks 800K even in todays situation... More realistic - 500-600K
Canelo can definitely draw 700-800K but GGG simply has no fan base outside of his super hardcore fans. Maybe he can change that but his promotion has just been awful..
Every true fight fan will want to see this fight as it happens.
It's the casuals that will push the numbers, a lot of true fans will be looking for streams.
I think it could get to the 1 million mark but 1.5 is optimistic but then again truthfully you never know until the number comes in.
Do you think Canelo vs GGG in September 2017 will surpass 1.5 million PPV buys?
Alvarez vs Golovkin won't end up doing 1m PPV buys, let alone talk of 1.5m PPV buys. why are folks so deluded?
regardless of price point, in the history of boxing on PPV, take a look at the events that were able to break 1m PPV buys; Holyfield-Foreman, Tyson vs McNeely/Bruno/Seldon, Tyson-Holyfield I and II, Holyfield-Lewis, Oscar-Trinidad, Lewis-Tyson, Oscar-Floyd, Oscar-Pacquiao, Cotto-Pacquiao, Floyd-Pacquiao, Floyd-Alvarez, Pacquiao-Marquez IV, Floyd-Cotto, Pacquiao-Marquez III, Floyd-Ortiz, Floyd-Mosley, Pacquiao-Mosley, Pacquiao-Margarito.
In all of the instances you either had a massive superstar drawing the attention, or you had two star fighters facing off in a competitive fight.
Alvarez has yet to crossover into that "massive star" category, and there are open questions whether Golovkin is even a star in his own right just yet.