It is like a medieval castle siege. HBO is the castle on the hill, they start out with the better position and stocked up with supplies, but as time goes on as they are cut off supplies dwindle and that position doesn't mean much. There is never a direct battle because taking the castle by force is hard even with numbers but it becomes a battle of time.
The castle has no chance at resupply but sustaining an army on hostile ground is not easy either, so it comes down to who folds first. You can make an argument either way at this point, but no matter what there are 3 ways out either of the en****** fades or some accord is struck so both sides can end the pain.
Outside influences can play a major role like a third party changing sides, but it is still kind of early for any of that and I don't think a smart guy like Haymon goes in with that sort of plan without the ability to hold out for longer than anyone expects. If he didn't have the ability to absorb the lumps then he made a terrible mistake, but if he has the ability to endure better than most think then he has the winning plan.
You put this into a great analogy brother. And I think this rings true to the situation.
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