when he's being carried on a stretcher by paramedics out of the ring.......i want hbo to cut to the shot of the irs guy collecting floyd's check from hbo.
Can you email people in PI that if they vote for him, He will do this to Floyd. Better than saying I will help the poor off the streets and make the politics in PI less corrupt etc...
Can you email people in PI that if they vote for him, He will do this to Floyd. Better than saying I will help the poor off the streets and make the politics in PI less corrupt etc...
In Floyd's last 5 fights he's thrown an average of 37 punches per round and landed an average of 15.9 punches per round; at a 42.9 connect percentage.
Floyd's opponents landed at connect percentage of 16.4%.
In Pac's last 4 fights he's thrown an average of 67 punches a round and landed an average of 28.8 punches per round; at a 42.4% connect percentage.
Pac's opponents landed at a connect percentage of 25.3%.
The Math
So here's the math... to figure out how many average punches per round fighter A would land on fighter B we simply multiply the average number of punches thrown per round of fighter A by the connect percentage of fighter B's opponents and average that with fighter A's average punches landed per round.
Here's the number crunch folks:
In a heads up match up, Floyd would land [(37 x 25.3%) + 15.9]/2 = 12.63 punches per round on Pac, and Pac would land [(67 x 16.4% ) + 28.8]/2 = 19.89 punches per round on Floyd.
Conclusion of the Analysis:
Even though Floyd is more accurate by .5% and his defense is better by 8.9%, Pac's high workrate overcomes the deficit and Pac manages to outland floyd by 7.26 punches per round.
Limits of the Analysis:
- I just looked at the total number of punches and was too lazy to calculate the jabs and power punches separately.
- This analysis does not take into consideration subjective judging criteria.
- To be sure, Floyd's last 5 opponents do not fight like Pac and neither does Pac's last 4 opponents fight like Floyd.
Prediction:
Considering Pac will outland and outpunch Floyd based on this analysis, and that Pac punches harder than Floyd, and the limitations of this analysis, I predict that Pac will win a SD or close UD, with the possibility of Pac knocking down Floyd at least once.
Cool little tidbit. But, what I would like for you to find out is, how has PAC's punch output and connect % per round in the Marquez fights compared to his more recent fights?
The Marquez fights will be a more telling stat on how PAC will be for Floyd.
It was. Don't sweat the hate, clearly said "compubox analysis" but reading comprehension is not a requirement to post on boards.
Good job, different point of view. Biased though, no JMM stats included? Pac's connect rate have been better because his opponents pretty much had nothing to return later in fights. But I bet Floyd's connect rate are consistent through out. Still good analysis.
agreed... I can only work with the numbers that compubox gives me... that's one of the limitations of this analysis
Originally posted by Ekscape
It's ****** because the TS formulates a prediction based off those specific analysis of punches landed on previous opponents and punches caught by previous opponents... Without factoring in styles, size, reach, weight, speed, defense, offense, stamina, durability... none of that just punch stats with previous opponents... If you dont think that's dumb then i dont know what to tell you
well it is a compubox analysis.
Originally posted by reedickyaluss
He said BASED on the numbers Pac is favored by outworking him.
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