This is what people are saying!!!!!

Cotto has KOd every southpaw he have faced, so using your stupid logic Cotto will KO Pacquiao! styles won't be as big a factor in this fight than size advantage.

Not readin all that shit homey. co-sign...

Long post,but very good!!Simply put the Cotto jab is the key to this fight!!Cotto is gonna come out pumping that bad boy,that in & out that Pacman loves so much will be nullified,then it's all bad!!Cotto does set up to throw power punches,but the jab flows like a river,there is no set up needed to pump the jab!!Just like Big George Foreman said,"this sport is easy,if U have a jab",that's a very true statement!!

Bump all the way to fight night

bit too much too read i got too the 'hatton isnt very good bit' and couldnt be arsed with the rest we get it,your picking cotto your picking pacquioa blah blah blah

ILLMATIK - much respect. Ok, since no one can answer my question regarding the line movement for me... Here is my rationale. 1. Size Cotto is the bigger man. We all know and knew this. Don't be fooled by the weigh-in when they will both be around 145. Cotto will balloon back up to around 156-158 on fight night, whereas Pac will be happy to make 150. Pac has been sparring with undefeated prospect Shawn Porter and taking his hits, apparently, with gusto. And that dude is a middleweight. But don't be fooled either, into thinking that means he can hit as hard as Cotto does. Cotto has a seriously legit jab that he both leads and steps in with, and his left hook to the body is arguably the best in the sport. Manny being a southpaw only grants him more opportunities to get hit by this. Remember also that Cotto took 11 rounds of concrete to the face against Margarito. It is only logical to think that he can take 12 rounds of (a much smaller) Manny. 2. Hubris This could all be smoke and mirrors, but I subscribe to Occam's Razor when it comes to wagering and it seems to me like there is crazy trouble in the Pacquiao camp. Typhoons and obsessive fans stopping Manny from jogging, fist fights between his advisor Michael Koncz and his fitness guy Alex Ariza, rifts with Freddie Roach, can't all be exaggeration. Just doesn't seem like Manny is taking the threat that Cotto poses seriously, even though Miguel is at this stage in his career, the most legit threat he has faced. 3. Oscar De La Hoya and Ricky Hatton I'm not buying into this. Freddie Roach has admitted on several occasions that he told Manny to jump on Oscar because he noticed the IV marks on his arms that indicated he was severely drained on the night of the fight. Add to this that ODH was far past his prime and the victory is less impressive than the public believes. Ricky Hatton was overrated for his entire career. But he was good. And just like Roy Jones Jr. he was never the same after being knocked out. Floyd Mayweather did a number on Hatton, destroyed his aura of invincibility and he was never the even the good fighter that he was before. He then made the stupid choice of hiring Floyd Sr. who tried to recreate him as a new fighter 2 months before his clash with Manny, without dealing with the obvious susceptibility to the lead hook. These two resounding victories - while very, very impressive - have led the public to give way, way too much credit to Manny. Don't get me wrong, he is an all-time great now and a pound for pound monster. But due to those two wins I do not believe he deserves to be a sub -200 favorite over an elite and legit welterweight like Miguel Cotto. ------------------------------------ Everyone seems to down on Cotto because he a) lost to Margarito, b) didn't knock Josh Clottey out. Well, we know there is a high chance that Margo beat Cotto with loaded gloves in their bout, and as for the Clottey performance. I have serious difficulty with anyone who didn't consider that impressive. In fact, if anything, how he won the Clottey fight is essentially the reason people wagering on Pac should be afraid. Cotto, unlike Pacquiao, has the ability to switch strategies, mid-fight. Pacquiao has one style. He is AWESOME at it. But if it doesn't work, then what? He decimated Marquez in their first fight by going forward, bobbing, and throwing lots and lots of punches. But when it didn't work he didn't know what to do and as we all know, after knocking Marquez down 3 times AND breaking his nose in the first round, he went on to only DRAW that fight. Similarly, while Cotto can, Pacquiao cannot fight off of the back foot. So what happens when Cotto weathers the early Pac storm and begins to move in on him? Cotto was able to score points and win rounds while Margarito basically walked through his shots because he can fight going backwards. Pacquiao can in no way do this. Cotto has flat out brilliant ring IQ. Cotto knocked Clottey down in the first round, don't forget. But after that he began to run and it was much less impressive. Why? Because it was pretty much the only way he could win the fight. That's right he had a HUGE gash above his right eye. He had to make sure he took as little punishment there as possible, not for fear of being knocked out, but for fear of medics ending the fight prematurely. That's why he appeared gassed in the later rounds. The fights that Cotto had with Shane Mosely and Zab Judah show that if nothing else he is a fighter who knows how to nullify speed. Judah, in particular, was extremely fast, and once Cotto adjusted to it, he crushed him. Shane too. And being fast is Manny's prime quality. No one is suggesting that Cotto is as fast as Manny. That is outrageous. But what Cotto does have is an ability to negate the speed advantage, not entirely, but enough to stem the tide and make it at the very least manageable. Ok, I've gotta run now, but I hope what I wrote helps. BOL, guys, but I really don't think Pacquiao is winning this fight at all. My only concern is that Manny jumps on Cotto early and decks him within 2 rounds, which lets be honest, is possible since Cotto is a notoriously slow starter. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I'm just going to follow suit and just start ranting like everyone else. Whoever said that Joshua Clottey is slightly "better than your average fighter" or something like that is a fool. At the very least he'd give the top welterweights a run for their money (look at Cotto for example). I think the OP said this gem, that Cotto has a far superior fight IQ than Pacquiao because he can change styles mid-fight. He probably does posses the great fight IQ, I'm not denying that. But when have you ever seen Cotto change tactics or make outcome changing decisions in a fight? This should not be a factor in this fight, especially when Pacquiao has Roach in his corner. That right there would nullify any advantage in fighter IQ that Cotto might have. Some of the most ridiculous things that have been said are things like saying Pacquiao hasn't fought anyone except some small mexicans, Old DLH, and an overrated Hatton. Those small mexicans just happened to be the top lightweights at the time with combined records of 168-18. That 18 could very easily be cut down because most of the losses were taken on at the end of their careers. With regards to DLH and Hatton, the only thing that those two fights show is that Manny did it better than Mayweather, period. I can't remember if someone tried to dismiss Cotto's opponents or not so I'll just assume that no one did. If someone did, you're retarded. Other ridiculous things said in this thread are betting bigger on Pac because Cotto looked shitty against Clottey (same guy who said he's a bum). This would make perfect sense if Pacquiao and Clottey had ANYTHING in common. They are completely different fighters so using this as your template on how why Pacquiao is going to win is ludicrous. I'm sure there's more in there but I'm tired and don't feel like reading everything over. But here's my take on all this. First to answer the OP's question, I think the lines will continue to improve on Cotto all the way up to fight night. Pacquiao's a national sensation now and is know as the P4P King. Even though he's not, people believe the hype and spin. They remember the beating the "much smaller man" (at least wast suppose to be) put on DLH, the golden boy of boxing in the US. Then he DEVASTATED the UK's boxing god Ricky Hatton in two rounds. And then people remember that PBF fought these two and didn't look this good so Pac Man has to be better. Wonderful logic... This fight should be a pick'em that's slightly leaning towards Pacquiao just because he has all this momentum going into the fight. Anyone who thinks that Pacquiao can score a KO/TKO must be praying for a doctor's stoppage or something. Cotto might get knocked down from a flurry of punches by Pacman but he'll never be down for the full count of 10. Pacquiao is definitely being overrated for this fight after his last two spectacular victories. Cotto is being vastly underrated after his loss to Margarito and a close win to Joshua Clottey. I was originally leaning Cotto to take this fight but now am leaning back to Manny. There are some definite holes in Cotto's game that if Freddie Roach can exploit as well as he did with Hatton, this should be another Pac Man celebration. The pacquiao "bandwagon" fans will be running so fast that BOXING SCENE will be very quiet.

Its funny how some people try to scientifically evaluate why Pac was able to beat DLH and hatton and try to discredit him. Saying Hatton was knocked out by PBF so wasnt the same, although he looked OK against Paul Malignaggi in his last fight. So if you are making excuses to downgrade Pac, you would have to do it for every other supposedly good boxer who beat a great name opponent as well. You could look down SRR resume and pick a good opponent he beat, and try to make excuses as to why SRR was able to beat them. Maybe because they had lost before they lost to SRR, and they were never the same again when they fought SRR.

ILLMATIK - much respect. Ok, since no one can answer my question regarding the line movement for me... Here is my rationale. 1. Size Cotto is the bigger man. We all know and knew this. Don't be fooled by the weigh-in when they will both be around 145. Cotto will balloon back up to around 156-158 on fight night, whereas Pac will be happy to make 150. Pac has been sparring with undefeated prospect Shawn Porter and taking his hits, apparently, with gusto. And that dude is a middleweight. But don't be fooled either, into thinking that means he can hit as hard as Cotto does. Cotto has a seriously legit jab that he both leads and steps in with, and his left hook to the body is arguably the best in the sport. Manny being a southpaw only grants him more opportunities to get hit by this. Remember also that Cotto took 11 rounds of concrete to the face against Margarito. It is only logical to think that he can take 12 rounds of (a much smaller) Manny. 2. Hubris This could all be smoke and mirrors, but I subscribe to Occam's Razor when it comes to wagering and it seems to me like there is crazy trouble in the Pacquiao camp. Typhoons and obsessive fans stopping Manny from jogging, fist fights between his advisor Michael Koncz and his fitness guy Alex Ariza, rifts with Freddie Roach, can't all be exaggeration. Just doesn't seem like Manny is taking the threat that Cotto poses seriously, even though Miguel is at this stage in his career, the most legit threat he has faced. 3. Oscar De La Hoya and Ricky Hatton I'm not buying into this. Freddie Roach has admitted on several occasions that he told Manny to jump on Oscar because he noticed the IV marks on his arms that indicated he was severely drained on the night of the fight. Add to this that ODH was far past his prime and the victory is less impressive than the public believes. Ricky Hatton was overrated for his entire career. But he was good. And just like Roy Jones Jr. he was never the same after being knocked out. Floyd Mayweather did a number on Hatton, destroyed his aura of invincibility and he was never the even the good fighter that he was before. He then made the stupid choice of hiring Floyd Sr. who tried to recreate him as a new fighter 2 months before his clash with Manny, without dealing with the obvious susceptibility to the lead hook. These two resounding victories - while very, very impressive - have led the public to give way, way too much credit to Manny. Don't get me wrong, he is an all-time great now and a pound for pound monster. But due to those two wins I do not believe he deserves to be a sub -200 favorite over an elite and legit welterweight like Miguel Cotto. ------------------------------------ Everyone seems to down on Cotto because he a) lost to Margarito, b) didn't knock Josh Clottey out. Well, we know there is a high chance that Margo beat Cotto with loaded gloves in their bout, and as for the Clottey performance. I have serious difficulty with anyone who didn't consider that impressive. In fact, if anything, how he won the Clottey fight is essentially the reason people wagering on Pac should be afraid. Cotto, unlike Pacquiao, has the ability to switch strategies, mid-fight. Pacquiao has one style. He is AWESOME at it. But if it doesn't work, then what? He decimated Marquez in their first fight by going forward, bobbing, and throwing lots and lots of punches. But when it didn't work he didn't know what to do and as we all know, after knocking Marquez down 3 times AND breaking his nose in the first round, he went on to only DRAW that fight. Similarly, while Cotto can, Pacquiao cannot fight off of the back foot. So what happens when Cotto weathers the early Pac storm and begins to move in on him? Cotto was able to score points and win rounds while Margarito basically walked through his shots because he can fight going backwards. Pacquiao can in no way do this. Cotto has flat out brilliant ring IQ. Cotto knocked Clottey down in the first round, don't forget. But after that he began to run and it was much less impressive. Why? Because it was pretty much the only way he could win the fight. That's right he had a HUGE gash above his right eye. He had to make sure he took as little punishment there as possible, not for fear of being knocked out, but for fear of medics ending the fight prematurely. That's why he appeared gassed in the later rounds. The fights that Cotto had with Shane Mosely and Zab Judah show that if nothing else he is a fighter who knows how to nullify speed. Judah, in particular, was extremely fast, and once Cotto adjusted to it, he crushed him. Shane too. And being fast is Manny's prime quality. No one is suggesting that Cotto is as fast as Manny. That is outrageous. But what Cotto does have is an ability to negate the speed advantage, not entirely, but enough to stem the tide and make it at the very least manageable. Ok, I've gotta run now, but I hope what I wrote helps. BOL, guys, but I really don't think Pacquiao is winning this fight at all. My only concern is that Manny jumps on Cotto early and decks him within 2 rounds, which lets be honest, is possible since Cotto is a notoriously slow starter. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I'm just going to follow suit and just start ranting like everyone else. Whoever said that Joshua Clottey is slightly "better than your average fighter" or something like that is a fool. At the very least he'd give the top welterweights a run for their money (look at Cotto for example). I think the OP said this gem, that Cotto has a far superior fight IQ than Pacquiao because he can change styles mid-fight. He probably does posses the great fight IQ, I'm not denying that. But when have you ever seen Cotto change tactics or make outcome changing decisions in a fight? This should not be a factor in this fight, especially when Pacquiao has Roach in his corner. That right there would nullify any advantage in fighter IQ that Cotto might have. Some of the most ridiculous things that have been said are things like saying Pacquiao hasn't fought anyone except some small mexicans, Old DLH, and an overrated Hatton. Those small mexicans just happened to be the top lightweights at the time with combined records of 168-18. That 18 could very easily be cut down because most of the losses were taken on at the end of their careers. With regards to DLH and Hatton, the only thing that those two fights show is that Manny did it better than Mayweather, period. I can't remember if someone tried to dismiss Cotto's opponents or not so I'll just assume that no one did. If someone did, you're retarded. Other ridiculous things said in this thread are betting bigger on Pac because Cotto looked shitty against Clottey (same guy who said he's a bum). This would make perfect sense if Pacquiao and Clottey had ANYTHING in common. They are completely different fighters so using this as your template on how why Pacquiao is going to win is ludicrous. I'm sure there's more in there but I'm tired and don't feel like reading everything over. But here's my take on all this. First to answer the OP's question, I think the lines will continue to improve on Cotto all the way up to fight night. Pacquiao's a national sensation now and is know as the P4P King. Even though he's not, people believe the hype and spin. They remember the beating the "much smaller man" (at least wast suppose to be) put on DLH, the golden boy of boxing in the US. Then he DEVASTATED the UK's boxing god Ricky Hatton in two rounds. And then people remember that PBF fought these two and didn't look this good so Pac Man has to be better. Wonderful logic... This fight should be a pick'em that's slightly leaning towards Pacquiao just because he has all this momentum going into the fight. Anyone who thinks that Pacquiao can score a KO/TKO must be praying for a doctor's stoppage or something. Cotto might get knocked down from a flurry of punches by Pacman but he'll never be down for the full count of 10. Pacquiao is definitely being overrated for this fight after his last two spectacular victories. Cotto is being vastly underrated after his loss to Margarito and a close win to Joshua Clottey. I was originally leaning Cotto to take this fight but now am leaning back to Manny. There are some definite holes in Cotto's game that if Freddie Roach can exploit as well as he did with Hatton, this should be another Pac Man celebration. Styles make fights.

should be interesting fight, hard to tell who will win.maybe a draw!

:haha: you funny In case you didn't know It had nothing to do with them being left hand dominant. The problem was those 2 of the guys you named either were overrated or weight drained at the end of their careers or even both. Pacquiao beat them like that because he faced them at their weak points when they had nothig left. It has nothing to do with them being left hand dominant. You are joking, right? This is a fact: Oscar De La Hoya never knew how to deal with a southpaw. Why do you think he avoided them for almost his entire career? This was confirmed by someone close to Oscar, although I can't remember exactly who, it was a trustworthy source. Ricky Hatton also never got along well with southpaws. Look into it. Both these guys have problems with southpaws. It's why Oscar was getting whipped in the gym by small southies. He does far better against orthodox fighters. I don't even think you've thought it through. FFS kid, throw your silly bias aside just for a few minutes and reply like a boxing fan, not a boxer fan. For the record, I agree entirely with Them Apples. Best believe this guy knows what he's talking about. Here's a quote from a post I made two months ago, back in September: No. Cotto will not beat Pacquiao. Cotto is left-hand dominant / converted southpaw fighting out of an orthodox stance. We have seen what Pacquiao does with left hand dominant fighters already. Oscar. Hatton. Next up is Cotto. Put your money on Pacquiao, quite possibly by KO. 100% free webcam site! | Awesome chicks and it is absolutely free! | Watch free live sex cam - easy as 1-2-3

ILLMATIK - much respect. Ok, since no one can answer my question regarding the line movement for me... Here is my rationale. 1. Size Cotto is the bigger man. We all know and knew this. Don't be fooled by the weigh-in when they will both be around 145. Cotto will balloon back up to around 156-158 on fight night, whereas Pac will be happy to make 150. Pac has been sparring with undefeated prospect Shawn Porter and taking his hits, apparently, with gusto. And that dude is a middleweight. But don't be fooled either, into thinking that means he can hit as hard as Cotto does. Cotto has a seriously legit jab that he both leads and steps in with, and his left hook to the body is arguably the best in the sport. Manny being a southpaw only grants him more opportunities to get hit by this. Remember also that Cotto took 11 rounds of concrete to the face against Margarito. It is only logical to think that he can take 12 rounds of (a much smaller) Manny. 2. Hubris This could all be smoke and mirrors, but I subscribe to Occam's Razor when it comes to wagering and it seems to me like there is crazy trouble in the Pacquiao camp. Typhoons and obsessive fans stopping Manny from jogging, fist fights between his advisor Michael Koncz and his fitness guy Alex Ariza, rifts with Freddie Roach, can't all be exaggeration. Just doesn't seem like Manny is taking the threat that Cotto poses seriously, even though Miguel is at this stage in his career, the most legit threat he has faced. 3. Oscar De La Hoya and Ricky Hatton I'm not buying into this. Freddie Roach has admitted on several occasions that he told Manny to jump on Oscar because he noticed the IV marks on his arms that indicated he was severely drained on the night of the fight. Add to this that ODH was far past his prime and the victory is less impressive than the public believes. Ricky Hatton was overrated for his entire career. But he was good. And just like Roy Jones Jr. he was never the same after being knocked out. Floyd Mayweather did a number on Hatton, destroyed his aura of invincibility and he was never the even the good fighter that he was before. He then made the stupid choice of hiring Floyd Sr. who tried to recreate him as a new fighter 2 months before his clash with Manny, without dealing with the obvious susceptibility to the lead hook. These two resounding victories - while very, very impressive - have led the public to give way, way too much credit to Manny. Don't get me wrong, he is an all-time great now and a pound for pound monster. But due to those two wins I do not believe he deserves to be a sub -200 favorite over an elite and legit welterweight like Miguel Cotto. ------------------------------------ Everyone seems to down on Cotto because he a) lost to Margarito, b) didn't knock Josh Clottey out. Well, we know there is a high chance that Margo beat Cotto with loaded gloves in their bout, and as for the Clottey performance. I have serious difficulty with anyone who didn't consider that impressive. In fact, if anything, how he won the Clottey fight is essentially the reason people wagering on Pac should be afraid. Cotto, unlike Pacquiao, has the ability to switch strategies, mid-fight. Pacquiao has one style. He is AWESOME at it. But if it doesn't work, then what? He decimated Marquez in their first fight by going forward, bobbing, and throwing lots and lots of punches. But when it didn't work he didn't know what to do and as we all know, after knocking Marquez down 3 times AND breaking his nose in the first round, he went on to only DRAW that fight. Similarly, while Cotto can, Pacquiao cannot fight off of the back foot. So what happens when Cotto weathers the early Pac storm and begins to move in on him? Cotto was able to score points and win rounds while Margarito basically walked through his shots because he can fight going backwards. Pacquiao can in no way do this. Cotto has flat out brilliant ring IQ. Cotto knocked Clottey down in the first round, don't forget. But after that he began to run and it was much less impressive. Why? Because it was pretty much the only way he could win the fight. That's right he had a HUGE gash above his right eye. He had to make sure he took as little punishment there as possible, not for fear of being knocked out, but for fear of medics ending the fight prematurely. That's why he appeared gassed in the later rounds. The fights that Cotto had with Shane Mosely and Zab Judah show that if nothing else he is a fighter who knows how to nullify speed. Judah, in particular, was extremely fast, and once Cotto adjusted to it, he crushed him. Shane too. And being fast is Manny's prime quality. No one is suggesting that Cotto is as fast as Manny. That is outrageous. But what Cotto does have is an ability to negate the speed advantage, not entirely, but enough to stem the tide and make it at the very least manageable. Ok, I've gotta run now, but I hope what I wrote helps. BOL, guys, but I really don't think Pacquiao is winning this fight at all. My only concern is that Manny jumps on Cotto early and decks him within 2 rounds, which lets be honest, is possible since Cotto is a notoriously slow starter. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I'm just going to follow suit and just start ranting like everyone else. Whoever said that Joshua Clottey is slightly "better than your average fighter" or something like that is a fool. At the very least he'd give the top welterweights a run for their money (look at Cotto for example). I think the OP said this gem, that Cotto has a far superior fight IQ than Pacquiao because he can change styles mid-fight. He probably does posses the great fight IQ, I'm not denying that. But when have you ever seen Cotto change tactics or make outcome changing decisions in a fight? This should not be a factor in this fight, especially when Pacquiao has Roach in his corner. That right there would nullify any advantage in fighter IQ that Cotto might have. Some of the most ridiculous things that have been said are things like saying Pacquiao hasn't fought anyone except some small mexicans, Old DLH, and an overrated Hatton. Those small mexicans just happened to be the top lightweights at the time with combined records of 168-18. That 18 could very easily be cut down because most of the losses were taken on at the end of their careers. With regards to DLH and Hatton, the only thing that those two fights show is that Manny did it better than Mayweather, period. I can't remember if someone tried to dismiss Cotto's opponents or not so I'll just assume that no one did. If someone did, you're retarded. Other ridiculous things said in this thread are betting bigger on Pac because Cotto looked shitty against Clottey (same guy who said he's a bum). This would make perfect sense if Pacquiao and Clottey had ANYTHING in common. They are completely different fighters so using this as your template on how why Pacquiao is going to win is ludicrous. I'm sure there's more in there but I'm tired and don't feel like reading everything over. But here's my take on all this. First to answer the OP's question, I think the lines will continue to improve on Cotto all the way up to fight night. Pacquiao's a national sensation now and is know as the P4P King. Even though he's not, people believe the hype and spin. They remember the beating the "much smaller man" (at least wast suppose to be) put on DLH, the golden boy of boxing in the US. Then he DEVASTATED the UK's boxing god Ricky Hatton in two rounds. And then people remember that PBF fought these two and didn't look this good so Pac Man has to be better. Wonderful logic... This fight should be a pick'em that's slightly leaning towards Pacquiao just because he has all this momentum going into the fight. Anyone who thinks that Pacquiao can score a KO/TKO must be praying for a doctor's stoppage or something. Cotto might get knocked down from a flurry of punches by Pacman but he'll never be down for the full count of 10. Pacquiao is definitely being overrated for this fight after his last two spectacular victories. Cotto is being vastly underrated after his loss to Margarito and a close win to Joshua Clottey. I was originally leaning Cotto to take this fight but now am leaning back to Manny. There are some definite holes in Cotto's game that if Freddie Roach can exploit as well as he did with Hatton, this should be another Pac Man celebration. A left hook is a very hard punch to land on a southpaw. this is why Pacquiao ate Barrera and Oscar, and to a lesser degree Hatton, alive. Because they all are left hand dominant. same reason why Pernell Made Oscar look like a fool in his prime. Same reason why Tito got totally out classed by wright. I know this from personal experience as well, to beat a good southpaw, you need a very good straight right hand.

i read it and i think it is a good post ... its basically what i have going inside my own head about this fight and pac and cotto. it is why its been so hard for me to pick a winner, and it wouldnt be a surprise to me if one or the other were to win. i do think cotto is being underestimated but at the same time he does have some serious liabilities. i do think pac is being a little overestimated but that doesnt mean hes any less of a great fighter. if cotto can survive the early barrage and it doesnt take a huge toll on him he may be able to take manny out in the mid to 8-9th round. if it goes much further than that i feel it will be huge advantage for manny and he may stop cotto late, or at the very least put those rounds in the bank. i dont think were going to see a blow out or total outclassing by either ... but whats really great about this fight is i just dont fucking kno whats gonna happen ... Well said its a toss up which makes it so great...

i read it and i think it is a good post ... its basically what i have going inside my own head about this fight and pac and cotto. it is why its been so hard for me to pick a winner, and it wouldnt be a surprise to me if one or the other were to win. i do think cotto is being underestimated but at the same time he does have some serious liabilities. i do think pac is being a little overestimated but that doesnt mean hes any less of a great fighter. if cotto can survive the early barrage and it doesnt take a huge toll on him he may be able to take manny out in the mid to 8-9th round. if it goes much further than that i feel it will be huge advantage for manny and he may stop cotto late, or at the very least put those rounds in the bank. i dont think were going to see a blow out or total outclassing by either ... but whats really great about this fight is i just dont fucking kno whats gonna happen ...

Read on people its a really good post most important its the facts.

Did you read it all? I did......... cotto better watch out those early rounds!!!:boxing:

Not readin all that shit homey. you should its a pretty good damn shit!! :boxing:

Very good post. Did you read it all?

ILLMATIK - much respect. Ok, since no one can answer my question regarding the line movement for me... Here is my rationale. 1. Size Cotto is the bigger man. We all know and knew this. Don't be fooled by the weigh-in when they will both be around 145. Cotto will balloon back up to around 156-158 on fight night, whereas Pac will be happy to make 150. Pac has been sparring with undefeated prospect Shawn Porter and taking his hits, apparently, with gusto. And that dude is a middleweight. But don't be fooled either, into thinking that means he can hit as hard as Cotto does. Cotto has a seriously legit jab that he both leads and steps in with, and his left hook to the body is arguably the best in the sport. Manny being a southpaw only grants him more opportunities to get hit by this. Remember also that Cotto took 11 rounds of concrete to the face against Margarito. It is only logical to think that he can take 12 rounds of (a much smaller) Manny. 2. Hubris This could all be smoke and mirrors, but I subscribe to Occam's Razor when it comes to wagering and it seems to me like there is crazy trouble in the Pacquiao camp. Typhoons and obsessive fans stopping Manny from jogging, fist fights between his advisor Michael Koncz and his fitness guy Alex Ariza, rifts with Freddie Roach, can't all be exaggeration. Just doesn't seem like Manny is taking the threat that Cotto poses seriously, even though Miguel is at this stage in his career, the most legit threat he has faced. 3. Oscar De La Hoya and Ricky Hatton I'm not buying into this. Freddie Roach has admitted on several occasions that he told Manny to jump on Oscar because he noticed the IV marks on his arms that indicated he was severely drained on the night of the fight. Add to this that ODH was far past his prime and the victory is less impressive than the public believes. Ricky Hatton was overrated for his entire career. But he was good. And just like Roy Jones Jr. he was never the same after being knocked out. Floyd Mayweather did a number on Hatton, destroyed his aura of invincibility and he was never the even the good fighter that he was before. He then made the stupid choice of hiring Floyd Sr. who tried to recreate him as a new fighter 2 months before his clash with Manny, without dealing with the obvious susceptibility to the lead hook. These two resounding victories - while very, very impressive - have led the public to give way, way too much credit to Manny. Don't get me wrong, he is an all-time great now and a pound for pound monster. But due to those two wins I do not believe he deserves to be a sub -200 favorite over an elite and legit welterweight like Miguel Cotto. ------------------------------------ Everyone seems to down on Cotto because he a) lost to Margarito, b) didn't knock Josh Clottey out. Well, we know there is a high chance that Margo beat Cotto with loaded gloves in their bout, and as for the Clottey performance. I have serious difficulty with anyone who didn't consider that impressive. In fact, if anything, how he won the Clottey fight is essentially the reason people wagering on Pac should be afraid. Cotto, unlike Pacquiao, has the ability to switch strategies, mid-fight. Pacquiao has one style. He is AWESOME at it. But if it doesn't work, then what? He decimated Marquez in their first fight by going forward, bobbing, and throwing lots and lots of punches. But when it didn't work he didn't know what to do and as we all know, after knocking Marquez down 3 times AND breaking his nose in the first round, he went on to only DRAW that fight. Similarly, while Cotto can, Pacquiao cannot fight off of the back foot. So what happens when Cotto weathers the early Pac storm and begins to move in on him? Cotto was able to score points and win rounds while Margarito basically walked through his shots because he can fight going backwards. Pacquiao can in no way do this. Cotto has flat out brilliant ring IQ. Cotto knocked Clottey down in the first round, don't forget. But after that he began to run and it was much less impressive. Why? Because it was pretty much the only way he could win the fight. That's right he had a HUGE gash above his right eye. He had to make sure he took as little punishment there as possible, not for fear of being knocked out, but for fear of medics ending the fight prematurely. That's why he appeared gassed in the later rounds. The fights that Cotto had with Shane Mosely and Zab Judah show that if nothing else he is a fighter who knows how to nullify speed. Judah, in particular, was extremely fast, and once Cotto adjusted to it, he crushed him. Shane too. And being fast is Manny's prime quality. No one is suggesting that Cotto is as fast as Manny. That is outrageous. But what Cotto does have is an ability to negate the speed advantage, not entirely, but enough to stem the tide and make it at the very least manageable. Ok, I've gotta run now, but I hope what I wrote helps. BOL, guys, but I really don't think Pacquiao is winning this fight at all. My only concern is that Manny jumps on Cotto early and decks him within 2 rounds, which lets be honest, is possible since Cotto is a notoriously slow starter. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I'm just going to follow suit and just start ranting like everyone else. Whoever said that Joshua Clottey is slightly "better than your average fighter" or something like that is a fool. At the very least he'd give the top welterweights a run for their money (look at Cotto for example). I think the OP said this gem, that Cotto has a far superior fight IQ than Pacquiao because he can change styles mid-fight. He probably does posses the great fight IQ, I'm not denying that. But when have you ever seen Cotto change tactics or make outcome changing decisions in a fight? This should not be a factor in this fight, especially when Pacquiao has Roach in his corner. That right there would nullify any advantage in fighter IQ that Cotto might have. Some of the most ridiculous things that have been said are things like saying Pacquiao hasn't fought anyone except some small mexicans, Old DLH, and an overrated Hatton. Those small mexicans just happened to be the top lightweights at the time with combined records of 168-18. That 18 could very easily be cut down because most of the losses were taken on at the end of their careers. With regards to DLH and Hatton, the only thing that those two fights show is that Manny did it better than Mayweather, period. I can't remember if someone tried to dismiss Cotto's opponents or not so I'll just assume that no one did. If someone did, you're retarded. Other ridiculous things said in this thread are betting bigger on Pac because Cotto looked shitty against Clottey (same guy who said he's a bum). This would make perfect sense if Pacquiao and Clottey had ANYTHING in common. They are completely different fighters so using this as your template on how why Pacquiao is going to win is ludicrous. I'm sure there's more in there but I'm tired and don't feel like reading everything over. But here's my take on all this. First to answer the OP's question, I think the lines will continue to improve on Cotto all the way up to fight night. Pacquiao's a national sensation now and is know as the P4P King. Even though he's not, people believe the hype and spin. They remember the beating the "much smaller man" (at least wast suppose to be) put on DLH, the golden boy of boxing in the US. Then he DEVASTATED the UK's boxing god Ricky Hatton in two rounds. And then people remember that PBF fought these two and didn't look this good so Pac Man has to be better. Wonderful logic... This fight should be a pick'em that's slightly leaning towards Pacquiao just because he has all this momentum going into the fight. Anyone who thinks that Pacquiao can score a KO/TKO must be praying for a doctor's stoppage or something. Cotto might get knocked down from a flurry of punches by Pacman but he'll never be down for the full count of 10. Pacquiao is definitely being overrated for this fight after his last two spectacular victories. Cotto is being vastly underrated after his loss to Margarito and a close win to Joshua Clottey. I was originally leaning Cotto to take this fight but now am leaning back to Manny. There are some definite holes in Cotto's game that if Freddie Roach can exploit as well as he did with Hatton, this should be another Pac Man celebration. Very good post.

Not readin all that shit homey.