OFFICIAL: Donald Trump thread.

[Tomjas]

Oh ffs

Deficits increased under Reagan because he increased spending at a faster pace than revenue increased

https://www.thebalance.com/deficit-b...s-hide-3306151

It's not ****ing rocket science!!!!!

[bigjavi973]

Most immigrants who enter the country do so legally, federal data shows:


President Trump this weekend lamented what he characterized as an invasion of undocumented immigrants that is “very unfair to all of those people who have gone through the system legally and are waiting on line for years.”

But illegal border crossings represent a relatively small share of the number of people who enter the country, legally or otherwise, in any given year, according to the Department of Homeland Security's data.

A September 2017 Office of Immigration Statistics data brief estimated that in fiscal year 2016, the latest year for which complete data is available, there were 170,000 successful illegal border crossings occurring outside of authorized ports of entry. That's down roughly 90 percent since 2000, and it's about one-seventh of the roughly 1.2 million immigrants who obtained lawful permanent resident status via a green card, according to the Department of Homeland Security.



The number of successful border crossings doesn't include illegal entries that happened via border checkpoints (people smuggled in via vehicles, for instance) or over sea. That number is not available for 2016, but in previous years it added anywhere from 10 to 20 percent to the total number of illegal entries, according to a 2016 Institute for Defense Analyses report commissioned by the Department of Homeland Security.

It's worth pointing out that at the policy level there's no direct relation between the number of green cards granted and the number of illegal crossings in a given year. Illegal entries don't decrease the number of green cards available, for instance, so while it's undoubtedly frustrating for people waiting on green cards to know that others are simply hopping the border, they're not experiencing any harm as a direct result of it.

Border crossings don't even account for a majority of the people joining the unauthorized population in a given year. In fiscal 2016, for instance, the Department of Homeland Security estimated 628,799 people who had previously entered the country legally overstayed their visa that year. Other groups, such as the Center for Migration Studies, have similarly estimated that visa overstays account for about two-thirds of the total number of people joining the undocumented population in any given year.

“The number attempting to get across the Southern border is probably the lowest it's been since at least the 1970s,” said Robert Warren, a demographer with the Center for Migration Studies. “I'm surprised the [Trump] administration hasn't really focused on overstays. That's where the action is.”

Overall, DHS estimated in the fall that, based on Institute for Defense Analyses numbers, “successful illegal entries fell 91 percent between 2000 and 2016,” although DHS cautions that it's still updating and refining the methodology used to generate that estimate. Those figures largely comport with separate data sets, such as Customs and Border Protection's data on border apprehensions, showing a dramatic decrease in activity at the border over the past decade.

“We cannot allow all of these people to invade our Country,” Trump said on Twitter this past weekend. But the premise behind these words is false. The latest federal data, compiled by President Trump's own Department of Homeland Security, indicates that most immigrants who enter the country do so legally. The number entering illegally, meanwhile, continues to drop precipitously.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.59e11db1bc4d

so basically here it says since 2016 the number of border crossings have dropped and the number of overstays has increased......

well if the number of border crossings has decreased isnt that what was intended?

and yes overstays are a major problem as well

[Santa_]

Aww HELL naahhh!!!

[Santa_]

Throwback Wednesday. #hypocrite

[Mooshashi]

As I've been telling you, the tariffs on steel are starting to hurt the oil industry, which is probably the most conservative and Trump supporting industry in the country.


HOUSTON (Bloomberg) -- Big Oil sang the Trump administration’s praises when the U.S. president slashed corporate taxes at the end of last year. Now, with trade wars looming, senior oil executives aren’t quite so supportive.
Steel tariffs and a reduction in free trade are a major risk to oil and gas demand and economic growth, the CEOs of ExxonMobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. said at the World Gas Conference in Washington D.C. Tuesday. Their comments followed by a day remarks from Total SA CEO Patrick Pouyanne who worried the trade stance could curtail U.S. natural gas exports.

“Early on with tax reform, the deregulation you’ve seen in the U.S., those have enhanced the projects were were looking to do for our company,” Exxon’s Woods said. They [B]“are steel intensive projects. When tariffs come on and with threats of a trade war, you risk making those projects less competitive and less attractive.”

[grogg]

huh that's typical

[The Big Dunn]

As I've been telling you, the tariffs on steel are starting to hurt the oil industry, which is probably the most conservative and Trump supporting industry in the country.


HOUSTON (Bloomberg) -- Big Oil sang the Trump administration’s praises when the U.S. president slashed corporate taxes at the end of last year. Now, with trade wars looming, senior oil executives aren’t quite so supportive.
Steel tariffs and a reduction in free trade are a major risk to oil and gas demand and economic growth, the CEOs of ExxonMobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. said at the World Gas Conference in Washington D.C. Tuesday. Their comments followed by a day remarks from Total SA CEO Patrick Pouyanne who worried the trade stance could curtail U.S. natural gas exports.

“Early on with tax reform, the deregulation you’ve seen in the U.S., those have enhanced the projects were were looking to do for our company,” Exxon’s Woods said. They [B]“are steel intensive projects. When tariffs come on and with threats of a trade war, you risk making those projects less competitive and less attractive.”

Watch soybeans as well. The states that produce the most almost all voted for Trump. China is the biggest importer of soybeans.

The tariffs on soybeans are costing farmers upwards of $660 million. Their bottom line is also affected because without cheap immigrant labor, they are spending more while taking in much less.

It will be interesting to see if voters in these states affected by these tariffs-Illinois (trump didn't win), Iowa, Minnesota (trump didn't win), Indiana, Nebraska, Ohio, Missouri, South Dakota, Arkansas, North Dakota & Kansas - vote.

[Xoo]

Kennedy retires. Trump gets to replace moderate justice with conservative.

BOOM!!! Liberals take another BWC straight up the keister!

[Santa_]

Trump - Harley Davidson will be taxed like never before!






President Trump lashed out at one of his favorite American manufacturers on Tuesday, criticizing Harley-Davidson over its plans to move some of its motorcycle production abroad and threatening it with punitive taxes in return.

In a series of tweets on Tuesday, the president accused the Wisconsin-based company of having “surrendered” in Mr. Trump’s trade war with Europe. He told Republican lawmakers at a White House meeting that the move amounted to a betrayal, saying, “I’ve been very good to Harley-Davidson.”

“If they move, watch, it will be the beginning of the end — they surrendered, they quit!” the president wrote on Twitter. “The Aura will be gone and they will be taxed like never before!”

A day earlier, Harley-Davidson announced that it would shift some of its production overseas in response to the European Union’s new 31 percent tariff on its imported bikes, which was imposed in retaliation for Mr. Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs.

Mr. Trump has made clashes with American corporations a staple of his presidency, previously assailing businesses like Amazon and Carrier. In many cases, business associations and brand experts have counseled companies to maintain a low profile when going up against Mr. Trump and wait for his attention to be diverted to another topic.

It is unclear whether that will be the case with Harley-Davidson, an iconic American brand that Mr. Trump has frequently celebrated. Last year, the president invited Harley-Davidson executives to the White House, where he thanked the company for “building things in America.” His affinity for the firm was not lost on the European Union when it looked for retaliatory targets.

On Tuesday, the administration fired back at the European Union and other countries that have imposed retaliatory tariffs, calling them “groundless” and a violation of World Trade Organization rules.

Robert E. Lighthizer, the United States trade representative, said in a statement that the reciprocal tariffs imposed by Europe, Canada, Mexico and China “do great damage to the multilateral trading system,” and he vowed to “take all necessary actions under both U.S. law and international rules to protect its interests.”

Earlier Tuesday, Mr. Trump accused Harley of using the trade dispute as an excuse to send more jobs offshore, after the recent construction of a plant in Thailand. The suggestion echoed the sentiment expressed by one of the unions that represent Harley workers.

Harley developed its Thai plant to mitigate tariffs that are in place in Asia, but it decided to move more production abroad in direct response to the new European tariffs. Harley has not said where it will build the bikes for the European market or how many jobs it might cut in the United States as a result.

Mr. Trump also revived a threat that he used to lob at companies when he was a presidential candidate, warning Harley that it would pay a financial price for moving manufacturing abroad.

“Harley must know that they won’t be able to sell back into U.S. without paying a big tax!” the president said in another tweet on Tuesday.

While running for office in 2016, he said on several occasions that if elected he would make Ford pay a 35 percent tax on cars that it made in Mexico and sold into the United States. He did not say what presidential authority would give him that power, and the warning on Tuesday appeared to misunderstand — or misconstrue — the fact that Harley would be using its overseas production facilities to sell motorcycles in Europe, not back into the United States.

Overseas markets have become critical to Harley-Davidson, as sales slow in the United States. The company recently announced plans to consolidate some of its American plants, including closing its factory in Kansas City, Mo., and merging its operations with one in York, Pa.

On Tuesday, employees at the York facility said they were sympathetic to Mr. Trump’s concerns but also understood the company’s need to protect its bottom line. Many of the workers voted for Mr. Trump and still support him, but said the president, in his former life as a businessman, would do the same thing Harley-Davidson was doing to survive.

“Harley-Davidson is as American as apple pie, and the president understands that,” said Sue Thomas, who does a variety of jobs at the York plant. “I believe he’s a bit hurt, and those who fly the flag high are understandably disappointed because Harley-Davidson is an American treasure.”

But Ms. Thomas added: “I know the president believes Harley-Davidson should work with him, but he’s a businessman, too, and I don’t believe for a moment he wouldn’t do this with his business.”

David Paige, an 11-year staff engineer at Harley-Davidson, said that what was best for the long-term interests of the business was ultimately best for him, too.

“Harley is doing what Harley needs to do to survive, and that’s important to my feeding my family,” Mr. Paige said.

The president’s public attack on Harley is likely to further frustrate Republicans, who have been increasingly worried about the fallout from his trade war.

Speaker Paul D. Ryan, a Wisconsin Republican, said Tuesday that the company’s move was a sign that unilateral tariffs did not work.

“I don’t think tariffs are the right way to go,” Mr. Ryan said. “I think tariffs are basically taxes, and what ends up happening is you get escalating tariffs, or escalating taxes.”

Representative Jim Sensenbrenner, another Wisconsin Republican, urged Mr. Trump to take a more targeted approach in his trade negotiations that would protect American workers and businesses.

“It’s unfortunate that such a strong Wisconsin company like Harley-Davidson should have to bear the brunt of this trade dispute,” he said.

And Senator Ben Sasse, a Nebraska Republican who is a frequent critic of Mr. Trump, defended Harley’s patriotism and condemned Mr. Trump’s trade policies as bad economics.

“This will go over like a Vespa at Sturgis,” Mr. Sasse said, invoking the scooter brand and the South Dakota site of a large annual motorcycle rally. “The problem isn’t that Harley is unpatriotic — it’s that tariffs are stupid.”

The company has remained publicly quiet since announcing its manufacturing decision in a public filing on Monday. The Harley-Davidson Twitter feed has not addressed Mr. Trump’s concerns, and the company declined to make its chief executive available for an interview.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/26/b...n-tariffs.html

[Xoo]

So as predicted, a justice retired and Trump will get to replace him. Not the most difficult prediction but more confirmation. Now supposedly three SC Justices will get caught up in a scandal and have to resign. Trump will fill those spots too. We'll have to wait to see what happens.