Betting on Loma vs Lopez

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  • mxtali
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    #21
    Originally posted by buge
    No, the guaranteed money is that Lopez is not winning 6+ rounds.

    At Bovada, odds are:
    Loma to win -400
    Lopez by KO +525

    Bet 100 on Loma to win, payoff is 125
    Bet 20 on Lopez by KO, payoff is 125

    So for every 120 you bet, you end up with 125

    Now of course, there is a very slight chance of a draw or a Lopez decision win, but those are so slight I won't bother worrying about it. Lopez is not going to win 6+ rounds vs. Loma.
    True, that’s a safer way of looking at it. But to make a decent winning you’d have to bet a pretty solid amount. Because you’re only making a $5 profit for every 120 you bet. And the more you bet the more nerve wracking it gets lmao.

    Edit: yeah i just saw your picture and I want to make more than $20 man! Haha but yeah it damn near is a free 20.
    Last edited by mxtali; 10-13-2020, 11:57 PM.

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    • boliodogs
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      #22
      Originally posted by mxtali
      So i figured out a way to make almost guaranteed money betting on this fight. It involves putting money on a Lopez KO and a Lomachenko decision, which i think are the two most likely outcomes. Obviously i’d make more money with the Lopez KO but both outcomes would cover the cost of the other bet and win me some money.

      Now the reason I say almost guaranteed is because obviously there’s the chances that it’s Lopez by decision, which i think is very unlikely, and a Loma KO which i’m back and forth on how likely. So what say you guys? How likely is a Lomachenko stoppage?
      I think a Loma stoppage is the most likely ending.Loma has lightning fast hands and accurate combinations and real power in both hands. I think he will beat the hell out of Lopez from round one and he will stop him unless Lopez has an iron jaw and an iron body. Most of Loma's wins have been by KO or his opponent quitting and he can finish opponents to the body as quick as to the head, Say goodnight Lopez,Lopez must attack to have a chance to win and by attacking he runs into Loma's power.

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      • SN!PER
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        #23
        Somewhere around the 4th or 5th round I expect a war to break out.

        Get ready for a huge number of heated exchanges and one if not both men touching the canvas at some point during the mid rounds.

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        • RJJ-94-02=GOAT
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          #24
          Originally posted by TheMyspaceDayz
          A Lopez KO isnt 5 to 1, no matter what way anyone spins it, IMO. Loma is small. And I’ve hit 3 out of 4 of these long shot $200 bets this year so far so I got to ride this hot hand until she goes cold.


          Fury KO Wilder
          Carroll KO Quigg
          Helenius KO Kownacki

          Only one I missed was Vargas dec Garcia
          I’m not saying it can’t happen, I just think 5/1 is really short. I think the bookies should be offering a far better price than 5/1.

          My best two of the year were having £2000 on Diaz to beat Farmer at 7/4 and £600 on Ball to beat Courtenay at 5/2. By the time of the fight though Ball was a 4/5 favourite so I could essentially lay my bet.

          I did Vargas to beat Garcia too. Lost £500 on that fight.
          I went big on Spence stopping Garcia too, Mikey has cost me some money in recent years.

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          • mxtali
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            #25
            Originally posted by RJJ-94-02=GOAT
            I’m not saying it can’t happen, I just think 5/1 is really short. I think the bookies should be offering a far better price than 5/1.

            My best two of the year were having £2000 on Diaz to beat Farmer at 7/4 and £600 on Ball to beat Courtenay at 5/2. By the time of the fight though Ball was a 4/5 favourite so I could essentially lay my bet.

            I did Vargas to beat Garcia too. Lost £500 on that fight.
            I went big on Spence stopping Garcia too, Mikey has cost me some money in recent years.
            I bet you thought you had it in the bag for Spence Garcia around the 9th, 10th round!

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            • RJJ-94-02=GOAT
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              #26
              Originally posted by mxtali
              I bet you thought you had it in the bag for Spence Garcia around the 9th, 10th round!
              I was so mad at Robert for not throwing that towel in.

              Spence by KO wasn’t even that good of a price it was just below Evens I think. I just thought it was a Canelo-Khan type of banker- I was wrong...

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              • Richlock
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