Betting on Loma vs Lopez

[VatoMulatto]

A Lomachenko stoppage is very likely if he starts dominating. I do hope Teo clips him. I'm sure Teo will have his moments and I'd like to see how Loma reacts when/if Teo starts landing clean shots.

[mxtali]

I don’t think it’s a good price tbh bro. It’s not like Loma is easy to hit or has a weak chin.

Probably depends how highly you rate Lopez’s power. I can’t see him knocking out Lomachenko though.

I try not to overrate Teos power but I can’t forget how he obliterated Commey, a guy who was known for his toughness. And the fact that Loma has shown he CAN be hurt and dropped. Like you said, Definitel not a glass chin, but not Canelo/GGG level either.

[BLASTER1]

I try not to overrate Teos power but I can’t forget how he obliterated Commey, a guy who was known for his toughness. And the fact that Loma has shown he CAN be hurt and dropped. Like you said, Definitel not a glass chin, but not Canelo/GGG level either.

Everyone gotta understand that Teo has been knocking out patsies set up from Top Rank.
Were was his power in the Ams with no head gear in 23 fights he had 0 k.os. So take of that what you will.

[mxtali]

Everyone gotta understand that Teo has been knocking out patsies set up from Top Rank.
Were was his power in the Ams with no head gear in 23 fights he had 0 k.os. So take of that what you will.

So you think the Commey thing was just an anamoly?

[BLASTER1]

So you think the Commey thing was just an anamoly?

No i just think Commey fought without a brain and Lopez got lucky.

[Combat Talk Radio]

Could you link me the thread? I’m not sure how to find it on your profile

There wasn't any specific details, just that I basically don't think judges will determine the winner of this one.

[RJJ-94-02=GOAT]

Lopez has more pop than Linares, who had the wrong game plan from the get go. I’m not convinced Loma is some untouchable force at 135.

When compared to other odds I just don’t see the value tbh man. For example Whyte was a 1/4 favourite over Povetkin the exact same price Loma is to beat Lopez. Yet Povetkin by KO was 7/1 whilst Lopez by KO is only 5/1. Are we really supposed to believe that Lopez has a better shot of KO’ing Loma than Povetkin did Whyte.

I was expecting around 9 or 10 to 1 for the Lopez KO. It’s a very conservative line by the bookmakers IMO.

[RJJ-94-02=GOAT]

I try not to overrate Teos power but I can’t forget how he obliterated Commey, a guy who was known for his toughness. And the fact that Loma has shown he CAN be hurt and dropped. Like you said, Definitel not a glass chin, but not Canelo/GGG level either.

Commey was a great performance. Lopez can **** for sure but I don’t think he’ll be able to ice Loma with just one shot, I think he will need to land consistently which I just can’t see happening.

[TheMyspaceDayz]

When compared to other odds I just don’t see the value tbh man. For example Whyte was a 1/4 favourite over Povetkin the exact same price Loma is to beat Lopez. Yet Povetkin by KO was 7/1 whilst Lopez by KO is only 5/1. Are we really supposed to believe that Lopez has a better shot of KO’ing Loma than Povetkin did Whyte.

I was expecting around 9 or 10 to 1 for the Lopez KO. It’s a very conservative line by the bookmakers IMO.

A Lopez KO isnt 5 to 1, no matter what way anyone spins it, IMO. Loma is small. And I’ve hit 3 out of 4 of these long shot $200 bets this year so far so I got to ride this hot hand until she goes cold.


Fury KO Wilder
Carroll KO Quigg
Helenius KO Kownacki

Only one I missed was Vargas dec Garcia

[buge]

So i figured out a way to make almost guaranteed money betting on this fight. It involves putting money on a Lopez KO and a Lomachenko decision, which i think are the two most likely outcomes. Obviously i’d make more money with the Lopez KO but both outcomes would cover the cost of the other bet and win me some money.

Now the reason I say almost guaranteed is because obviously there’s the chances that it’s Lopez by decision, which i think is very unlikely, and a Loma KO which i’m back and forth on how likely. So what say you guys? How likely is a Lomachenko stoppage?

I think a Loma stoppage is reasonable enough that your hedge isn't very good. No, the guaranteed money is that Lopez is not winning 6+ rounds.

At Bovada, odds are:
Loma to win -400
Lopez by KO +525

Bet 100 on Loma to win, payoff is 125
Bet 20 on Lopez by KO, payoff is 125

So for every 120 you bet, you end up with 125

Now of course, there is a very slight chance of a draw or a Lopez decision win, but those are so slight I won't bother worrying about it. Lopez is not going to win 6+ rounds vs. Loma.

It's just $20 here, but I think it's a free $20