Betting on Loma vs Lopez

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  • mxtali
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    #1

    Betting on Loma vs Lopez

    So i figured out a way to make almost guaranteed money betting on this fight. It involves putting money on a Lopez KO and a Lomachenko decision, which i think are the two most likely outcomes. Obviously i’d make more money with the Lopez KO but both outcomes would cover the cost of the other bet and win me some money.

    Now the reason I say almost guaranteed is because obviously there’s the chances that it’s Lopez by decision, which i think is very unlikely, and a Loma KO which i’m back and forth on how likely. So what say you guys? How likely is a Lomachenko stoppage?
  • LoadedWraps
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    #2
    Throw the bank at Lomachenko by stoppage. If he gets going and starts to let his hands go in combinations from angles, Lopez will be doing his best Kneeguel Cotto impressions. The shots you don't see hurt you the most.

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    • Combat Talk Radio
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      #3
      Originally posted by mxtali
      So i figured out a way to make almost guaranteed money betting on this fight. It involves putting money on a Lopez KO and a Lomachenko decision, which i think are the two most likely outcomes. Obviously i’d make more money with the Lopez KO but both outcomes would cover the cost of the other bet and win me some money.

      Now the reason I say almost guaranteed is because obviously there’s the chances that it’s Lopez by decision, which i think is very unlikely, and a Loma KO which i’m back and forth on how likely. So what say you guys? How likely is a Lomachenko stoppage?
      I posted about this a few days ago. Bookies have it going the distance, with Loma winning.

      I bet on 7 lines - basically, that it won't go the distance, it won't go to a draw and it won't end early.

      I say, bet on rounds 7-9 or 10-12. Or both.

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      • mxtali
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        #4
        Originally posted by revelated
        I posted about this a few days ago. Bookies have it going the distance, with Loma winning.

        I bet on 7 lines - basically, that it won't go the distance, it won't go to a draw and it won't end early.

        I say, bet on rounds 7-9 or 10-12. Or both.
        Could you link me the thread? I’m not sure how to find it on your profile

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        • TheMyspaceDayz
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          #5
          Going $200 on Lopez by stoppage at +525. The most likely outcome is a Loma decision but the 5 to 1 odds for a Lopez KO are too wide and worth rolling the dice on.

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          • R-Hand Southpaw
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            #6
            I honestly think Loma by KO/TKO is far more likely than Loma UD. The guys who made it to the bell with Loma at 135 fought him at long range and picked their shots. Lopez will definitely need to go in for the kill and thats where he'll get beat.

            Recently read an article on ESPN that asked Lomachenkos past opponents and they all say that when he hits you in the body his shots are brutal. Lopez has no idea what kind of fight he's walking into and as the rounds go on his power will fade.

            In fights hes shown to be low output and his gas tank has never been tested and in his lone 12 round fight he was unimpressive.

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            • BLASTER1
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              #7
              I bet on Loma stopping lopez in the 10th, plus loma stopping Lopez 7-9.
              I cant see loma letting this one go the distance.

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              • Eff Pandas
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                #8
                Yea that's not a bad hedge situation.

                I'm just betting Teo straight for value here. I think he should be the dog, but not as much of a dog as he is. Line actually got pushed back further on Teo so might throw some more on him at +300, was +270 when I made my first bet. Thinking about throwing anything else on Teo by KO, idk doe, my gut tells me that even if Loma loses he's gonna grit it out & drop a decision not get chopped down.

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                • RJJ-94-02=GOAT
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                  #9
                  Originally posted by TheMyspaceDayz
                  Going $200 on Lopez by stoppage at +525. The most likely outcome is a Loma decision but the 5 to 1 odds for a Lopez KO are too wide and worth rolling the dice on.
                  I don’t think it’s a good price tbh bro. It’s not like Loma is easy to hit or has a weak chin.

                  Probably depends how highly you rate Lopez’s power. I can’t see him knocking out Lomachenko though.

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                  • TheMyspaceDayz
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                    #10
                    Originally posted by RJJ-94-02=GOAT
                    I don’t think it’s a good price tbh bro. It’s not like Loma is easy to hit or has a weak chin.

                    Probably depends how highly you rate Lopez’s power. I can’t see him knocking out Lomachenko though.
                    Lopez has more pop than Linares, who had the wrong game plan from the get go. I’m not convinced Loma is some untouchable force at 135.

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