Originally posted by Simurgh
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I didn't compare Fury to Lennox, but Fury to Vitali, and Wlad to Lennox. But not as much to comment on quality (although I do rate Fury higher than most), but I was comparing it as a fight.
Here is how I see it..
Wlad is not ******, and although he said he didn't watch Fury, you bet he did. Maybe not as much as Fury studied Wlad, as Fury already showed he knows all details of Wlad's fights. First he mentioned Jennings fight and Wlad punching himself, than he was commenting on Wlad's arsenal - 1,2 punch, jab and left hook. So obviously Fury did his homework very well.
I recently re-watched Wlad-Sanders, Wlad-TT(1) and I was favoring Tyson in this fight. But then I re-watched Wlad-Peter(1), Wlad-TT(2) and Wlad-Wach and it made me think this fight is so unpredictable that I can only call it 50:50.
Wlad from Sanders fight was a different man. However, contrary what most think, that fight showed to me that Wlad has a very solid chin. He was up and down 4 times, from monstrous clean punches. I don't think anybody with the weak chin would be able to get up from that. But he was panicking, not having a clue how to defend when hurt. On top of that I remember how much problems TT gave him in the first fight. Wlad's jab was ineffective, southpaw/awkward style made it very difficult for Wlad to dominate how he usually does. So panicking and not knowing how to defend against big, awkward southpaw didn't sound good for Wlad...
But then I re-watched Peter(1). Although down multiple times, he wasn't panicking (although he looked exhausted at times). He wasn't able to hurt Peter until the last round still he was boxing great. This showed to me that somehow he rebuilt himself mentally (very important when you facing Fury). Since that fight he was hurt a few times and IMO every time he reacted extremely well (very atypical to pre-Sanders Wlad). Recently, when Wach connected clean on Wlad, he showed some great survival skills. He wasn't holding (as Wach is a bigger man), he didn't try to fight back (as in Sanders fight), but he covered up, waited for storm to end and used lateral movement. IMO some great stuff. Wlad-TT(2) showed to me that Wlad can be much more illusive when he needs to be. He dropped his typical style and he didn't rely on jab at all. He was leading with the power punches. IMO this might be very effective against southpaw(when he switches) Fury.
I think Fury will come in the orthodox stand trying to win the jab battle. That won't work as Wlad's jab is way superior. Than Fury will soon be switching to southpaw and this will cause Wlad some problems. Wlad won't be able to control the fight with his jab, but he will need to rely on left hook/straight right. Fury will most definitely try to bring the fight inside. Both men are very strong and I don't give significant advantage in this respect to none. So Wlad's leaning won't work, and Fury's physical imposing won't work. They will need to fight. Wlad will win some rounds due to his precision and Fury will win some rounds due to his awkwardness. The critical part of the fight IMO is wether Fury will be able to take and possibly get up from Wlad's power punch and on the other side will Wlad be able to keep up with the high tempo in rounds 8-12. I honestly have no idea.
Wlad didn't look very comfortable in the later rounds of Jennings fight and Fury never showed any slowing down in the later rounds even when he was blob of fat.
It's 50:50 for me and it might be the fight we will talk about for many years.
Here is how I see it..
Wlad is not ******, and although he said he didn't watch Fury, you bet he did. Maybe not as much as Fury studied Wlad, as Fury already showed he knows all details of Wlad's fights. First he mentioned Jennings fight and Wlad punching himself, than he was commenting on Wlad's arsenal - 1,2 punch, jab and left hook. So obviously Fury did his homework very well.
I recently re-watched Wlad-Sanders, Wlad-TT(1) and I was favoring Tyson in this fight. But then I re-watched Wlad-Peter(1), Wlad-TT(2) and Wlad-Wach and it made me think this fight is so unpredictable that I can only call it 50:50.
Wlad from Sanders fight was a different man. However, contrary what most think, that fight showed to me that Wlad has a very solid chin. He was up and down 4 times, from monstrous clean punches. I don't think anybody with the weak chin would be able to get up from that. But he was panicking, not having a clue how to defend when hurt. On top of that I remember how much problems TT gave him in the first fight. Wlad's jab was ineffective, southpaw/awkward style made it very difficult for Wlad to dominate how he usually does. So panicking and not knowing how to defend against big, awkward southpaw didn't sound good for Wlad...
But then I re-watched Peter(1). Although down multiple times, he wasn't panicking (although he looked exhausted at times). He wasn't able to hurt Peter until the last round still he was boxing great. This showed to me that somehow he rebuilt himself mentally (very important when you facing Fury). Since that fight he was hurt a few times and IMO every time he reacted extremely well (very atypical to pre-Sanders Wlad). Recently, when Wach connected clean on Wlad, he showed some great survival skills. He wasn't holding (as Wach is a bigger man), he didn't try to fight back (as in Sanders fight), but he covered up, waited for storm to end and used lateral movement. IMO some great stuff. Wlad-TT(2) showed to me that Wlad can be much more illusive when he needs to be. He dropped his typical style and he didn't rely on jab at all. He was leading with the power punches. IMO this might be very effective against southpaw(when he switches) Fury.
I think Fury will come in the orthodox stand trying to win the jab battle. That won't work as Wlad's jab is way superior. Than Fury will soon be switching to southpaw and this will cause Wlad some problems. Wlad won't be able to control the fight with his jab, but he will need to rely on left hook/straight right. Fury will most definitely try to bring the fight inside. Both men are very strong and I don't give significant advantage in this respect to none. So Wlad's leaning won't work, and Fury's physical imposing won't work. They will need to fight. Wlad will win some rounds due to his precision and Fury will win some rounds due to his awkwardness. The critical part of the fight IMO is wether Fury will be able to take and possibly get up from Wlad's power punch and on the other side will Wlad be able to keep up with the high tempo in rounds 8-12. I honestly have no idea.
Wlad didn't look very comfortable in the later rounds of Jennings fight and Fury never showed any slowing down in the later rounds even when he was blob of fat.
It's 50:50 for me and it might be the fight we will talk about for many years.
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