[Video] Al Bernstein on why Pacquiao would beat Mayweather via decision.

[Heru]

Pac's output would come down from the 1000s to mid-500 and then he would probably land 15-20% of that mid-500 all night.

Al thinks Pac wins a decision because Pac would throw is normal 1000s and then land 500, compare to Mayweather who would throw 550 most and land 40% (200 ish).. So but that is a silly way to judge.

So you believe it'll be a Mayweather fight through and through, huh?

I doubt Mayweather reduces Pacquiao's accuracy to 15-20% and output under 600 punches. Doesn't mean it can't happen, but that's Mayweather's best case scenario.

For Mayweather to win a decision, he's going to have to keep Pacquiao's accuracy under 30% and his output close to, if not, under 600.

Mayweather's defense is great, but from what I've seen, he isn't as untouchable against southpaws, let alone a southpaw with a great combination of speed and explosiveness, who can let go of a 5 punch body-head combination at the drop, as well as lead and counter.

He's switched up to a high guard against all the southpaws he's faced, that alone will make him more open than usual against Manny.

[sunny31]

So you believe it'll be a Mayweather fight through and through, huh?

I doubt Mayweather reduces Pacquiao's accuracy to 15-20% and output under 600 punches. Doesn't mean it can't happen, but that's Mayweather's best case scenario.

For Mayweather to win a decision, he's going to have to keep Pacquiao's accuracy under 30% and his output close to, if not, under 600.

Mayweather's defense is great, but from what I've seen, he isn't as untouchable against southpaws, let alone a southpaw with a great combination of speed and explosiveness, who can let go of a 5 punch body-head combination at the drop, as well as lead and counter.

He's switched up to a high guard against all the southpaws he's faced, that alone will make him more open than usual against Manny.

I agree I think people are grossly exaggerating how much floyd would affect manny's output, believe me he will still get off with an average of 60 punches a round. His percentages will probably be between 25-30% landed. Whilst mayweather would probably average his usual 35-40 per round landing around 40%.

Its not like its not been done before castillo landed well in both his fights against mayweather. All in all I think it can be done by manny maybe not the numbers that Bernstein was eluding to but the numbers I mention above equal out to a close fight that will most likely be hard to score.

[BABYBOXER]

I dont think the judges would like floyd against Pac. They would favour Pac. Floyd has looked good with his style against inferior boxers. But Pac is not like anything Floyd has faced, and Floyd probably thinks that as well.

Thats why he is very reluctant. But if he has decided he wants Pac, he will have been training for Pac for years now, and not the traditional 8 weeks before the fight. Pac has been fighting a lot, and that has given Floyd plenty of time to study Pac. Come on now, what else do people think Floyd does with his time? Dont let him fool you he can take years off and still come back similar to what he was.

BINGO! this is the true scenario..the pac-may fight will never happen.

Throwing less punches against a counter-puncher is a sure way to defeat. That is exactly how counter punchers want it, to make the opponent think he will get countered if he comes in so they throw less punches. The key to success against counter-punchers is to throw a lot of combos. A counter puncher can block/avoid two three combo shots but not an avalanche of punches. That is how to defeat floyd.

My opinion.

'totally agree with you bro, it's really difficult to counter a barrage of punches with power behind, because it will make you off-balanced before setting up a counter. it's dangerous to throw a counter punch when you're off balanced.

[MayMosPeaHop]

In the second fight against JMM, Manny through 619 punches and landed 157 of them for a connect percentage of 25%. I think it is more than realistic for Manny to throw less than 600 punches against Floyd plus have a lower connect percentage than what he had in his second fight with JMM. In regards to Al Berstein, I lost some respect with that analysis.

[MayMosPeaHop]

In the first fight against JMM, Manny through 639 punches and landed 148 of them for a connect percentage of 23%. Again, I think it is more than realistic for Manny to throw less than 600 punches against Floyd plus have a lower connect percentage than what he had in his second fight with JMM.

[Pacdbest]

The fight would be really technical, Pac throwing 1000 punches? lol.

If Floyd thinks he can beat Pac easy He would've signed the fight already! But the Coward is ducking all he can & makes every excuses available! Floyd Blink already!!! I think Pac will beat him easy now!

The Pac at 140 & up is a much different Pac now than the Pac that struggled with JMM. Pac's better defensively now and Uses both hand efficiently. And Pac's much a stronger man now at welter! It's either Floyd lose or Floyd ducks forever!! That's how I see it now!!