Who wins this and why? Interested to see how everyone will think a fight between the two will go.
Hasegawa vs. Donaire
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It can go either way. Without nuthugging, I see it like this.
Nonito would have to play the counter puncher to win. After seeing what Montiel did. If Hozumi hasn't fixed that guard of his, then Nonito could time the left straight and counter with his own left hook, like he did with Darchinyan. If Nonito's power is carried up then he could possibly kayo Hozumi if he catches him a couple of times like that or with one really big left hook.
Hozumi. I think has the bigger advantage. He isn't small. Nonito isn't used to fighting guys his size or larger. Nonito hasn't even fought a guy equal in speed, footwork, power, or skill to himself. So fighting Hozumi would bring in alot of unfamiliar ground. Hozumi has deceptive power, he looks like he punches without power but when he lands, it exploads. The thing here is that the speed. Nonito may lose his speed, since he will be heavier. While Hozumi is more than comfortable at 118 and has a ton of speed. He may beat Nonito to the punch. It would also be interesting to see how Nonito deals with an opponent that can actually keep up with him. I can see Hozumi winning a decision or a knockout. Nonito may not have the same punch resistance or speed at a higher weight, all while considering Hozumi won't be at a significant disadvantage like Nonito's past opponents
It's difficult to break down because Nonito has spent so much of his career over-achieving. Don't get me wrong, I like Nonito but he has spent alot of his career beating up on guys much smaller than him, who can't keep up with him, and who don't even come close to his skill level either. Even Darchinyan, he is much smaller than Nonito, although he is game Darchy had a significant size disadvantage. There is no telling if Nonito will fall apart with an opponent who matches him in every single way, and may even exceed his ability in certain ares because so far Nonito has gotten by fighting guys who are heavily out-matched.
Naturally I will go for Hozumi though. That's hands down. I won't root against him. I hope he has fixed his right hand guard lately in training.
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Donaire catches him with almost the same exact shot Montiel did. He wouldn't knock him out with the first couple shots like Montiel, but would catch him more than once.
Put Donaire in against any southpaw under 122, especially one that's slower than him, and I got Nonito. He has a great set of tools to work them over, the best being his left hook over the jab and straight right to the body and head.
Montiel-Donaire to me is a tossup right now, but what Nonito doesn't like are fighters like Yonny Perez.Comment
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