Pacqiuao vs Mayweather: a serious compubox analysis

[PAKYO]

Is GG Marquez = Bernie Madoff aka Al Haymon or rob_Tc

I tried to post in GG Marquez’s thread and I'm on ignored?

I think so too. He put me on ignore now too and there's only one ***git who put people on ignore here.

[S A M U R A I]

It isn't rob_tC, I guarantee it. More likely racist Haymon.



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[Pullcounter]

It isn't rob_tC, I guarantee it. More likely racist Haymon.

Lols they both got banned?

[RodBarker]

A few days ago Pullcounter was like a broken record , fight wont happen , now he is writing predictions lol .

[k1t3]

You made an analysis based on numbers. I can't express how ****** that is.

Co-sign.

[Jiddu Dali]

man please pacman will be hitting the air all night while eating counter punches..roach will throw in the towel by rounds 8-10

Co sign



!

[Jiddu Dali]

A few days ago Pullcounter was like a broken record , fight wont happen , now he is writing predictions lol .

[Left Hook Tua]

Mak you're on a roll...

mak is always on a roll.

only time i ever saw him not on a roll was when he said illpino's maid was ugly.

i disagreed on that one. illpino's maid is not bad.

[Sox8055]

compubox stats taken from
- http://www.badlefthook.com/2009/9/16...iance-of-floyd
- http://compuboxonline.com/special_co...man_last_3.pdf

The Stats:

In Floyd's last 5 fights he's thrown an average of 37 punches per round and landed an average of 15.9 punches per round; at a 42.9 connect percentage.

Floyd's opponents landed at connect percentage of 16.4%.

In Pac's last 4 fights he's thrown an average of 67 punches a round and landed an average of 28.8 punches per round; at a 42.4% connect percentage.

Pac's opponents landed at a connect percentage of 25.3%.

The Math

So here's the math... to figure out how many average punches per round fighter A would land on fighter B we simply multiply the average number of punches thrown per round of fighter A by the connect percentage of fighter B's opponents and average that with fighter A's average punches landed per round.

Here's the number crunch folks:
In a heads up match up, Floyd would land [(37 x 25.3%) + 15.9]/2 = 12.63 punches per round on Pac, and Pac would land [(67 x 16.4% ) + 28.8]/2 = 19.89 punches per round on Floyd.

Conclusion of the Analysis:

Even though Floyd is more accurate by .5% and his defense is better by 8.9%, Pac's high workrate overcomes the deficit and Pac manages to outland floyd by 7.26 punches per round.

Limits of the Analysis:

- I just looked at the total number of punches and was too lazy to calculate the jabs and power punches separately.
- This analysis does not take into consideration subjective judging criteria.
- To be sure, Floyd's last 5 opponents do not fight like Pac and neither does Pac's last 4 opponents fight like Floyd.

Prediction:

Considering Pac will outland and outpunch Floyd based on this analysis, and that Pac punches harder than Floyd, and the limitations of this analysis, I predict that Pac will win a SD or close UD, with the possibility of Pac knocking down Floyd at least once.

put your money where your mouth is....

MY 500k on floyd over yours on Pac?

[Sox8055]

thought so...