I've taken a hard look and tried to triangulate to get a sales projection.
Manny sold 400K with marquez. Manny has sold less than Floyd with every common opponent. Manny sold 800K+ with hatton, and hatton is much more popular than Cotto. more dynamic and charismatic.
Cotto sold 400K-ish with margarito. Supposedly- it was a TR promotion. The gate on that fight wasnt great. Just 10,000. Previously, Cotto had been on the lowest-rated WCB show ever.
That's all the data I looked at. I kept asking myself if and why this fight would do better than hatton. i just don't see it. My forecast would be 700K, with 800K on the highside.
I think this is a terrific fight fan's fight, but not a mainstream fight. Neither guy has a personality, and neither has appeal or recognition outside of boxing circles. Their fanbases kind of overlap.
For Pacquiao to show that he is a draw, this fight would need to soundly beat Numero Uno. Pac needs to do about 1.3 mil.
I don't see that happening.
Manny sold 400K with marquez. Manny has sold less than Floyd with every common opponent. Manny sold 800K+ with hatton, and hatton is much more popular than Cotto. more dynamic and charismatic.
Cotto sold 400K-ish with margarito. Supposedly- it was a TR promotion. The gate on that fight wasnt great. Just 10,000. Previously, Cotto had been on the lowest-rated WCB show ever.
That's all the data I looked at. I kept asking myself if and why this fight would do better than hatton. i just don't see it. My forecast would be 700K, with 800K on the highside.
I think this is a terrific fight fan's fight, but not a mainstream fight. Neither guy has a personality, and neither has appeal or recognition outside of boxing circles. Their fanbases kind of overlap.
For Pacquiao to show that he is a draw, this fight would need to soundly beat Numero Uno. Pac needs to do about 1.3 mil.
I don't see that happening.
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