NSB Pick Em 2022 MASTERTHREAD

[Tatabanya]

Meaning exactly what ?

If you get a perfect pick, that should be 200 for the x5 plus 40 for the x2.

[MulaKO]

If you get a perfect pick, that should be 200 for the x5 plus 40 for the x2.

Oh ok , i had it all wrong then
I thought although you bet an X5 your only getting pai$ X2

[SteveM]

Cliff Rold's picks are usually spot on, too. However, I don't like what's commonly intended as sure or easy bet. I like betting less money on more unlikely results. If I had a lot of money then yes, I'd bet god chunks on safer outcomes. As it stands, I prefer putting peanuts here and there on improbable, but not impossible odds.

Fundora vs Lubin, I bet on a draw (and I'm still considering the draw for the Pick Em as well...). Then I put something on Garcia winning between rounds 9 and 11, good odds on those three rounds if one hopes that Tagoe will put on a good fight before succumbing.

In terms of actual fight, Lubin has the superior technique and punches harder. But his chin is still suspect, and I don't know how he will react when Fundora goes pedal to the metal. Blaster may be right yet again.

I don't give much credence to Cliff's picks because they are too vague - just saying a fighter will win or as in todays fight Golovkin by late KO (great) or decision . Plus he nearly always goes safe for the favorite.

I've put a couple of quid on the Fundora/Lubin draw too.

I've got to assume Fundora will hit Lubin clean t some point but I think he'll be hesitant to do so when he feels Lubin's power - he was very active against Garcia for example but Garcia is a very light hitter. I actually like Harrison's chances against Garcia unless Tony has lost something since the Jermell fights.

[Tatabanya]

Oh ok , i had it all wrong then
I thought although you bet an X5 your only getting pai$ X2

Actually, I have a doubt... Could it be that you get 80 points for the x2, and those 80 get multiplied x5 ???

Asking Citizen Koba for clarifications

[Tatabanya]

I don't give much credence to Cliff's picks because they are too vague - just saying a fighter will win or as in todays fight Golovkin by late KO (great) or decision . Plus he nearly always goes safe for the favorite.

I've put a couple of quid on the Fundora/Lubin draw too.

I've got to assume Fundora will hit Lubin clean t some point but I think he'll be hesitant to do so when he feels Lubin's power - he was very active against Garcia for example but Garcia is a very light hitter. I actually like Harrison's chances against Garcia unless Tony has lost something since the Jermell fights.

Well, smart pickers (and wealthy betting specimens) get their high percentages exactly because they go safe...

I have gone over my weekly limit on William Hill, or else I would have bet on Harrison via KO over Garcia at 7,5... However, against Perrella Harrison showed serious signs of decline, thus it might have very well been another lost bet.

[MulaKO]

Actually, I have a doubt... Could it be that you get 80 points for the x2, and those 80 get multiplied x5 ???

Asking Citizen Koba for clarifications

Nope
I know it don’t work that way cause that’s what I originally thought a few years back
To much of a swinger

[Tatabanya]

Nope
I know it don’t work that way cause that’s what I originally thought a few years back
To much of a swinger

Man, we've been discussing bulls_hit for two hours... It's not Fundora who has a x2, it was Murata

[SteveM]

Nope
I know it don’t work that way cause that’s what I originally thought a few years back
To much of a swinger

it works that if the underdog is a bigger dog than +300 then there is a 'dog multiplier' - lets say it's +400 dog so that is I think a x2 multiplier. Lets say you put a x3 optional multiplier on your underdog pick. If he wins then you add the x2 and the x3 and you get a x5 multiplier in total

[MulaKO]

[QUOTE=Tatabanya;n31364025]

Man, we've been discussing bulls_hit for two hours... It's not Fundora who has a x2, it was Murata

[/Q


Yup , dope will do that lol

[SteveM]

Well, smart pickers (and wealthy betting specimens) get their high percentages exactly because they go safe...

I have gone over my weekly limit on William Hill, or else I would have bet on Harrison via KO over Garcia at 7,5... However, against Perrella Harrison showed serious signs of decline, thus it might have very well been another lost bet.

I've got a little money on a Harrison win. He's only 31 yo and I think Garcia is over-rated and therefore Fundora to a certain extent too. These 154 contenders are nowhere near the last crop in talent imo - peak Lara, Hurd, Jermell, Jermall, Williams, Lubin from around 2016/17 were just a higher level - I'm not high on Fundora, Garcia or Tzsyu

I don't know that you get wealthy betting on 8/15 favourites - you win 2/3 and lose one and you are back to square one - I'm not keen on betting less than evens bot on the other hand betting high odds like you has to be done judiciously

is that a self imposed weekly limit?