Anything can happen in boxing to be honest, I would have picked/favoured Pavlik had the fight gone through also. But there is a reason why the bigger guys alway wanted the big chunk of the money...for example oscar asking for 70 to Pacman's 30 even though his 2-3 weight bigger than Pacman.
If pavlik was to lose to hopkins it would do him NO harm because Hopkins has a better name than williams.
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