Mayweather Vs. Cotto Analysis

[tredh]

I want to see Cotto's reaction to the body punches that he going to be receiving from PBF. Hatton didn't like those body shots PBF was hitting him with. It seems that PBF doesn't throw power body shots a lot. PBF's body shots seems to catch his opponents off guard, throw off they rythum(PBF's jab to the stomach) and be placed in the right spots. So over the course of the fight it takes its toll on opponents with the accuracy also.

I don't think Cotto's jab will be effective because of his short reach compared to PBF. Timing will be critical for Cotto and that hurts Cotto because PBF won't aggressively take the lead in the fight until he feels Cotto is showing signs that he is fading.

I don't really see how Cotto can win but I want to see this fight because Cotto is the #2 man in the division and deserves the fight whether it is very competitive or not.

[coufsax]

I think Mayweather will win the early rounds 1-6 after that if Cotto doesn't find a way to break mayweather's defense then he'll go to plan attack and attack then Floyd will start to run a lot, this fight is going to be a replay of De La Hoya-Trinidad, I think Cotto wants it more than Mayweather does. So I would say Cotto wins a close fight 115-113.

[tredh]

I think Mayweather will win the early rounds 1-6 after that if Cotto doesn't find a way to break mayweather's defense then he'll go to plan attack and attack then Floyd will start to run a lot, this fight is going to be a replay of De La Hoya-Trinidad, I think Cotto wants it more than Mayweather does. So I would say Cotto wins a close fight 115-113.

So you think PBF is going to get tired?

[frankpaganini]

I think Mayweather will win the early rounds 1-6 after that if Cotto doesn't find a way to break mayweather's defense then he'll go to plan attack and attack then Floyd will start to run a lot, this fight is going to be a replay of De La Hoya-Trinidad, I think Cotto wants it more than Mayweather does. So I would say Cotto wins a close fight 115-113.

i think cotto wins the early rounds...

i think mayweather takes over down the stretch...

its what he's done in his last few fights (minus hatton)...

cotto does have a VERY strong will...he's got a ton of heart.

the only way cotto gives up is if the ref or his corner stopped the fight for whatever reason (maybe mayweather's accuracy) but i dont think cotto gets knocked down or out...he's too strong in my opinion.

[bigneli]

WOW!!! Very good analisys. I agree with most of your points. Personally, I would love Cotto to win, since I'm from PR, but I think it will be a great fight and regardless of the outcome I just want to see it. Is one of those big fights that will take us back to the 80's matchups.

[guzi815]

good valid points...

anyone else care to give their analysis?

That is one heck of a well written Post! You made a lot of valid points, especially the one on Cotto being "Consistently Inconsistant"! Alot of people forget that Miguel Cotto is a natural Southpaw, (he writes lefty) that fights Orthodox. That is why that left hook to the body is so lethal. Confuses his apponents every time he switches up.

Mayweather, though extremely gifted in the ring, knows a "PRIME" Miguel Cotto is a much, much, harder test than a "FORCED" Ricky Hatton to 147, knowing Hatton has problems at that weight.

The 147 pound Welter Weight Division has a lot of talent, and if #1 and #2 do not meet.....sorry folks, that is pure ducking.

"If they don't fight...it's called taking flight! Mayweather can win against Cotto...but he ain't "BEATING" Cotto, like Hopkins "Beat" Trinidad.

[Kobe Bryant]

That's another good point about this fight. Cotto's timing can only be effective when Mayweather is the agressor. But with Floyd he is so cheap with his punch out put.

I saw a video where Mayweather talks about how he only throw the punch when the guys off guard. So basically he in on the defensive for the most part. And when you tire or make a mistake Mayweather then attacks.

Miguel has skills but it's hard to not be the aggressor against Floyd. Because Foyd will not come forward at all. Cotto's gonna have to pop the jab. But not in a rhythm because if he does Mayweather will adapt to it.

I think he's gonna have to ultimately brawl or stay very active.

[coufsax]

So you think PBF is going to get tired?

NO, I don't think either man is going to get tired, but I think Mayweather will have to run a bit more 'cause Cotto will pressure him and Mayweather safety first style won't let him trade.

[freedom213]

good valid points...

anyone else care to give their analysis?

My points will be simple

Mayweather showed in the Oscar fight that a hard fast jab was effective in stopping his momentum and neutralize his offense, Cotto's jab is just as good if not harder than DLH's at this stage of both fighters career's. If Cotto can work the jab he can win this fight. Thats it plain and simple. I would like to add that this would be the first time that Floyd would ahve fought a strong welter that will show up also.Both guys will be in phenomenal shape but both will need to establish dominance early to be the victor

[tredh]

My points will be simple

Mayweather showed in the Oscar fight that a hard fast jab was effective in stopping his momentum and neutralize his offense, Cotto's jab is just as good if not harder than DLH's at this stage of both fighters career's. If Cotto can work the jab he can win this fight. Thats it plain and simple. I would like to add that this would be the first time that Floyd would ahve fought a strong welter that will show up also.Both guys will be in phenomenal shape but both will need to establish dominance early to be the victor

Everybody who thinks Cotto's jab will be as effective as De la Hoya's somewhat was is trippin. Cotto has a 67" reach and he is shorter than both PBF and De la Hoya. I guess De la Hoya's height and 73" reach didn't play a part in his jab being effective. Cotto's jab will not be a real factor. With PBF freakish reach for his height and Cotto's short reach that means for Cotto's jab to be a factor Cotto will already have to be in range to get hit by PBF. So that not a good look for Cotto to already be in range to get hit with power shot from PBF just to land his jab.