Mayweather Vs. Cotto Analysis

[frankpaganini]

what is your analysis?

This may be premature but i think we all know that this fight is bound to take place unless cotto loses a fight...and with cotto going against gomez i dont think its likely to happen. he's a 10 to 1 favorite against gomez and i think its about right.

So...

Mayweather Vs. Cotto...


Floyd Mayweather has proved/shown he's one of (if not THEE) best pure boxers actively in the sport. his defense is damn near perfect and he has superior foot and handspeed.

What he lacks is power and punch output.

Miguel Cotto is one of the best currently active in the sport in terms of bodypunching. its his bread and butter. cotto can and has proven he can hurt anyone to the body. he attacks the liver and in good at it.

Cotto is naturally a BIG welterweight. While i believe its his right weightclass he always seems to look like the thicker man compared to most of his opponents. his chin is above average (how much above average? im not sure) and he packs a good punch.

his defense is questionable at times and his boxing skills within the last couple of years (excluding the last part of the mosley fight) arent very clear. he may be a better boxer than we think or worse...its yet to be REALLY seen.

Do i think mayweather can knock out cotto? Not on sheer power...if cotto gets knocked down or out by mayweather it would have to be on mayweather landing at a high percentage (like he did with hatton) but dont expect a 2nd round one punch knockout based on sheer power. i believe mosley hits harder than mayweather and mosley stunned cotto MAYBE twice during their fight but cotto recovered within 5 seconds...

is cotto ready for mayweather? maybe...not too sure.

do i think cotto has a legitimate shot at beating mayweather? yes.

will it go 12 rounds? more than likely yes...only exceptions would be it mayweather lands at a high percentage OR if cotto is able to break mayweather's great defense and land a couple hard/flush shots.

Keys to victory for mayweather:

A) Box dont brawl.

Mayweather IS the superior boxer and needs to use it to his advantage. Dont get caught in a brawl to showcase heart/pride. if mayweather could get ****** into a brawl (which i dont think is likely...mayweather is very smart) then its cotto's fight. cotto would love a brawl...

B) Use the jab to keep cotto away

Cotto will try to apply pressure and get floyd against the ropes and **** away...so mayweather needs to jab and keep cotto chasing him all night...stick and move. stick and move. stick and move. that would tire out cotto and keep mayweather ahead on points.

C) stay off the ropes/tie up cotto when he gets in close.

Mayweather needs to stay away from the ropes because if he gets caught in the ropes cotto gets the advantage because a trapped mayweather will do wonders for cotto...he can **** to the body and rough him up. when cotto gets close...tie him up and wait to be separated to get on the outside...if cotto isnt allowed inside on mayweather then he cant plant his feet and **** to the body...mayweather needs to keep his feet moving...mayweather can fight well on his heels...cotto cant...cotto cant land hard punches when his feet arent set...

Keys for Cotto:

A) Be consistantly Inconsistant

Mayweather has been in with pure boxers; pure brawlers; southpaws; etc. and has found a way to beat them all. part of the reason is because guys fighting mayweather stick to the plan we all expect them to go with.

if a brawler fights mayweather we expect them to brawl the whole night and they do...and get whooped...

cotto needs to be diverse and dig deep into his bag of techniques and skills.

cotto has been known to switch southpaw at times and that would help. how?
mayweather keeps his left arm down...if cotto switches at times to southpaw he can jab with his right on mayweather's left side. if mayweather doesnt notice him switch to southpaw soon enough (beceause cotto switches mid-combination) then cotto can catch him as a southpaw with some good jabs because mayweather wont be able to get his left hand up quick enough.

cotto needs to out of nowhere (similar to in the mosley fight) box mayweather at times...


basically keep mayweather guessing...the more a fighter has to think about the harder the fight becomes.

change things up from round to round.

B) **** to the body

If cotto can **** to the body on mayweather then he can slow him down and thats what he needs to do. mayweather is naturally TOO fast for cotto. only chance their speeds get close to equal is by ****ing to mayweather's body. Even if only half or 1/3 of the punches to the body land cleanly he STILL needs to do it. even punches on elbows and arms will weaken a fighter...if mayweather gets hit in the arms/elbows too much it will ache badly when he trys to keep them up. if cotto gets him to drop his hands he can try to go upstairs and land some of those hard punches.

C) Use the jab/outwork mayweather/counterpunch

We all seen when oscar used the jab against floyd he was winning the rounds...if cotto can use the jab coming in on mayweather and getting back outside on mayweather he will raise his chances to win. cotto should do EVERYTHING behind the jab. the jab will be VERY IMPORTANT in the fight. he needs to push the jab consistantly.

Mayweather has been known to skate on some rounds with 35 punches thrown (not landed...thrown)...if cotto can outwork mayweather (landing or not) he can steal some rounds on pure workrate...(so long as he doesnt get hit too much). he needs to stay busy for 12 rounds... dont get caught up in a stare and dance fight...

counterpunch. de la hoya looked pretty good with mayweather on counterpunching; the only problem was he was pretty much ONLY looking to counterpunch with the left hook...cotto needs to counterpunch with jabs; straight rights; lefts; hooks; uppercuts...etc. dont be one dimensional or floyd will know what to look for every time and thats what happened with de la hoya...i knew the hook was coming...floyd knew the hook was coming...we all knew the hook was coming...he needs to give more to think about to floyd.



that is my basic analysis.

whats you analysis?

[Kobe Bryant]

I think it's hard to outbox Mayweather because he's naturally a passive fighter. He's not really agressive enough to be countered consistently. He throws only about one punch at a time which is the straight right hand and then he's out of there. The jab is key for Cotto, but if he gets one dimensional and only looks exclusively to the jab, Mayweather will adjust and counter with great accuracy. I don't think Cotto has the ability to get a lot of clean work in on Mayweather to hurt him. But that's not important, what is, is to stay busy with a good workrate. And that way if Mayweather is selective he can possibly get a decision.

Only thing about Maweather is that he has supreme conditioning. He never gets tired and he's smart enough to take away Cotto's body attack by holding on the inside. He completely frustrated Hatton by not letting him maul him and **** away at the body.

I don't know what was wrong with Cotto but he definitely faded in the last 3 rounds against Mosley. I'm not sure if Shane's will got to Cotto. But he was tired and very surprised that Mosley wasn't going anywhere.

Mayweather will prowl him late and pick him apart systematically if Miguel gets fatigued or is hurt. What makes Mayweather so dangerous is his accuracy.

[SkillspayBills]

Look I have been studying for the past 10 hours so I am not writing a long well thought out post that will be commended for it's intracacy as well as it's plausible fact based examples. Timing, this bout will have a ****load to do with timing. Cotto is not fast enough to get to Floyd so he has to use his timing to get in, however Floyd changes his rhythm continously so it will be very hard to time him. Can Cotto outhink Floyd and time him by establishing the pace and distance with his jab? Time will tell.

[Sin City]

I think it's hard to outbox Mayweather because he's naturally a passive fighter. He's not really agressive enough to be countered consistently. He throws only about one punch at a time which is the straight right hand and then he's out of there. The jab is key for Cotto, but if he gets one dimensional and only looks exclusively to the jab, Mayweather will adjust and counter with great accuracy. I don't think Cotto has the ability to get a lot of clean work in on Mayweather to hurt him. But that's not important, what is, is to stay busy with a good workrate. And that way if Mayweather is selective he can possibly get a decision.

Only thing about Maweather is that he has supreme conditioning. He never gets tired and he's smart enough to take away Cotto's body attack by holding on the inside. He completely frustrated Hatton by not letting him maul him and **** away at the body.

I don't know what was wrong with Cotto but he definitely faded in the last 3 rounds against Mosley. I'm not sure if Shane's will got to Cotto. But he was tired and very surprised that Mosley wasn't going anywhere.

Mayweather will prowl him late and pick him apart systematically if Miguel gets fatigued or is hurt. What makes Mayweather so dangerous is his accuracy.

he coasted the last few rounds because he knew he was winning is what he said..
I don't think the fight ends in a knock out.
I do think however that Cotto has a better chance then most people give him credit for.
This would be a very close fight.. those who think Mayweather would just walk through Cotto should get declared medically brain dead.

[Silencers]

This fight is more about what Cotto can do to Mayweather than the other way around.

Cotto should mix it up, be aggressive at times and become a counter puncher at times, make Mayweather the aggressor, Cotto is a very good counter puncher. When Cotto is the aggressor, he has to apply smart pressure, not just go in there and unleash bombs without thinking, if he doesn't think, Mayweather will pick him apart.

Mayweather has to stay off the ropes move around and throw uppercuts, the uppercut is the best punch against Cotto because of how he holds his guard, Judah showed that a fast uppercut can stun or hurt Cotto.

Cotto has shown not just in the Mosley fight, a few fights earlier in his career when he was forced to go 12 rounds that he needs to take a few rounds off, that will work against him against Mayweather who is in superb condition. I believe the only reason Mayweather has a low punch output is because he doesn't need to throw a lot of punches to beat his opponents.

[FIGHTING_FLIP]

Press Conferences- Mayweather is not playin like he did Hatton and De La Hoya. He knows Cotto is a serious dude and wont play with him. Sorta like how he taunted Judah and Gatti saying hes better, but not really loud, and bein an ******* as much. Pure Confidence. Cotto, well we know.

Mayweather is in good shape, claimin the best he has ever trained

Cotto sayin hes in the best shape of his life and was in the best trainin camps ever.



Round 1- Cotto comes out as a southpaw putting pressure on Floyd while he does his usual pot shots but nothing is landing.More punches landed and thrown by cotto and he takes the round

Round 2- Cotto switches stances often and is having sucess with the jab catching Floyd off guard at times and snapping his head back.Some body shots landed, but nothing devastating. Cotto takes round again

Round 3- Mayweather gets into his rythym and lands a flush right hand and moves continuing to pot shot Cotto. Cotto having trouble. Mayweathers 1st round

Round 4- Cotto lands some big shots and is landing to the body, but at the same time, Floyd is landing his straight right/upper cut while cotto is hookin to the body. Mayweather takes again.

Round 5- Mayweather starts round with serious combinations to head and body. Main combo jab to the body and comin up wit the straigh right. Cut over Cottos eye. nothing major.

Round 6-10 Same thing, mayweather countering cotto with straigh rights and uppercuts and cotto seems tired.

Round 11- Mayweather pot shottin Cotto silly and Cotto goes down. takes standing 8 and Mayweather finishes Cotto off by picking his shots, taking his time and landing the majority of his punches. Ref stops the fight.

I will add that Cotto has the perfect style to beat Mayweather. He can brawl, box, counter punch, he can do it all. It may come out different, but in my eyes, thats how it goes down.I think Mayweather will be quicker than Cotto like his last 38 opponents and would be victorious. Cotto will be given credit for giving Mayweather his toughest fight.


Mayweather TKO11 and the biggest win of his career after Cotto has taken out every WW and has unified all the titles.

[Silencers]

Round 1- Cotto comes out as a southpaw putting pressure on Floyd while he does his usual pot shots but nothing is landing.More punches landed and thrown by cotto and he takes the round

Round 2- Cotto switches stances often and is having sucess with the jab catching Floyd off guard at times and snapping his head back.Some body shots landed, but nothing devastating. Cotto takes round again

Round 3- Mayweather gets into his rythym and lands a flush right hand and moves continuing to pot shot Cotto. Cotto having trouble. Mayweathers 1st round

Round 4- Cotto lands some big shots and is landing to the body, but at the same time, Floyd is landing his straight right/upper cut while cotto is hookin to the body. Mayweather takes again.

Round 5- Mayweather starts round with serious combinations to head and body. Main combo jab to the body and comin up wit the straigh right. Cut over Cottos eye. nothing major.

Round 6-10 Same thing, mayweather countering cotto with straigh rights and uppercuts and cotto seems tired.

Round 11- Mayweather pot shottin Cotto silly and Cotto goes down. takes standing 8 and Mayweather finishes Cotto off by picking his shots, taking his time and landing the majority of his punches. Ref stops the fight.

I will add that Cotto has the perfect style to beat Mayweather. He can brawl, box, counter punch, he can do it all. It may come out different, but in my eyes, thats how it goes down.


Mayweather TKO11 and the biggest win of his career after Cotto has taken out every WW and has unified all the titles.

Cotto would be pretty dumb to come out southpaw and switching stances often, turning southpaw plays right into Mayweather's hands, literally. The straight right and left hook are the punches that southpaws don't see coming, those are Mayweather's best punches. And while switching stances, Mayweather could catch him off balance so it's a bad move.

I also don't think Mayweather will start pot shotting by the third, if he potshots, it'll start at around the 6th. I think Cotto will be pretty even through 6.

[phallus]

i don't see cotto getting KO'd or TKO'd in this fight, mosley is faster than mayweather and hits harder, and he couldn't KO cotto, but he had him hurt at least a couple times. i think cotto was hoping the mosley fight would be a tuneup for a fight with pbf. cotto will have to use his timing because he doesn't have speed, the way to beat floid is to be faster than him, stronger than him, smarter than him. every time floid comes in to pot shot u have to tag him first

[frankpaganini]

good valid points...

anyone else care to give their analysis?

[bluemax]

Cotto is easilly the strongest welterweight out there today. That being said unless he can knock Mayweather out he would lose a decision. Mayweather would run all night pot shotting the slower stronger Cotto. I don't believe Mayweather would hurt Cotto but would still win on points with the crowd Booing.