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Judah vs Cotto - My Take On It

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  • Judah vs Cotto - My Take On It

    I have enjoyed the jawing between Cotto fans and myself, it's always fun and it's all "in fun" for me. My world doesn't change regardless of who wins it, but I am rooting for my friend Zab. That said, if anyone gives a damn about how I see this fight happening tomorrow night, I invite you to read on.

    Miguel is the current Champion, and I give him props for that, but the way I see it, he will have to come up with a HUGE performance to get past Zab.

    The only thing that Cotto brings is a good punch, and a decent ability to cut off the ring. For his part, Cotto is in with a fighter in Judah, that is better in nearly every aspect of the game, from any fighter he has faced thusfar in his career.

    The first two rounds will answer one question right off the bat - how much ring rust does Zab have after a year long layoff? If he is sharp right away, Cotto is in trouble right away, if he is rusty, Cotto builds some confidence.

    Most people here keep talking about Cotto's body punching. Let me address that - Cotto has landed some body shots on fighters who stay in front of him, but Zab is not going to do that. In this one I see Zab sticking the jab to the body and head of Cotto fast and often.

    By sticking Cotto with the jab, Cotto will have a hard time getting within range of a body attack, because Judah has a 5 inch reach advantage. Zab is going to work that jab you can count on that, and you will see Cotto shake his head in frustration when he continues to be fed a steady diet of jabs.

    If Zab keeps Cotto in the center of the ring, he has the upper hand all night, and he knows it. Cotto can't land to the body while eating jabs and straight lefts - and don't think for a second Zab doesn't have good power in that jab. He also throws punches from odd angles, and has the speed to get out before Cotto gets his punch off. Cotto may be one of the slowest punchers Zab has ever faced in the ring, while Zab is by far the fastest fighter Miguel has ever seen.

    Cotto has good power, but Zabs' power is just as good if not BETTER than Cotto's. Zab has one punch power, if he lands that left on the button, it's good night Miguel right then and there. Everyone talks of the Kostya KO, and thinks Zab has no chin - but I am here to tell you, - Cotto has been getting rocked by fighters with much less power, much less speed, and much less skill than Judah. In my eyes, Cotto will have to show me he can take Zabs' biggest punch - and I doubt it quite frankly.

    The speed of Judah will be in play more than people realize, because it's going to be a matter of who can land big first, and that will take skill and speed, there is no doubt in my mind who is going to land first. It will be Judah.

    I see Judah as the fighter with everything to lose - so he is going to come in and be at his best, and Judah at his best beats Cotto at his best - no doubt about it.

    Bottom line, Cotto eats jabs all night until Judah drops the bombs, the ref steps in and calls a halt to the bout in the 6th Round after a furious unleashing of bombs on Cotto who will go down twice in this one, and the belt goes back to Judah....

  • #2
    Pretty good break down but you have a lot of IF's there. Eventually at some point Cotto will land, if Zab has his way it wont be that many times but eventually Cotto will land.

    My real question is how well will Zab react to adversity and constant pressure and how will he react if he is hurt? We know Cotto has reacted well when he has been hurt. Cotto has excellent focus and very good recovery.

    However when Zab has been sparked he has not reacted well. Versus Tzu he tried to get up too soon and wasn't in full control of himself. Against Spinks and Baldomir he appeared to get gun shy and unsure of what to do. Against Mayweather he failed to show an ability to adjust.

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    • #3
      Sorry for the long read BTW...

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Soundtraveler View Post
        Sorry for the long read BTW...
        That's a great assessment. I also agree with what LEFT2BODY was saying....alot of "IF's". While you make alot of noteable and worthy points, It seems like it's based on the Winky/Trinidad bout. Cotto should never be compared to Trinidad. We all agree Zab will take the first few rounds...but I believe you left out one important detail...Zab's "Defense". Cotto is an expert in timing "breathing Patterns". Believe me when I tell you...Zab Judha will be breathing through his mouth by round 5. Garuanteed! Expect Cotto to catch Zab on the "Inhale". I too will throw in an "IF"...

        "IF" Zab Judha DOES NOT take out Miguel Cotto within six.....

        Cotto TKO 9th!
        Last edited by guzi815; 06-08-2007, 09:02 PM.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by guzi815 View Post
          That's a great assessment. I also agree with what LEFT2BODY was saying....alot of "IF's". While you make alot of noteable and worthy points, It seems like it's based on the Winky/Trinidad bout. Cotto should never be compared to Trinidad. We all agree Zab will take the first few rounds...but I believe you left out one important detail...Zab's "Defense". Cotto is an expert in timing "breathing Patterns". Believe me when I tell you...Zab Judha will be breathing through his mouth by round 5. Garuanteed! Expect Cotto to catch Zab on the "Inhale". I too will throw in an "IF"...

          "IF" Zab Judha DOES NOT take out Miguel Cotto within six.....

          Cotto TKO 9th!
          Interesting comment on the breathing patterns, not many people catch such a detail, but with a 5 inch reach advantage for Zab, it stands to reason Cotto is going to have to really jump in with a left, or a right for that matter. I don't have to tell you that a fighter reaching for a punch tends to get caught by a fighter with a reach advantage. It seems to me that Judah who has everything to lose, and knows the knocks people have on him, will not only look to keep it clean, but he will also be the more hungry fighter. I gotta tell ya' - after watching Judah spar for this fight, he has a really nasty attitude, and LOTS of power and speed, to me, this one may be rather easy for Judah...
          Last edited by Soundtraveler; 06-08-2007, 09:30 PM.

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          • #6
            My take on the fight for the most part is mostly mental.

            Judah is a headcase. How many times have we seen him rocked or off balance KD's because he was trying to showboat and show off to his 'posse' that he brings to the ring. He is the same ****y, undisciplined fighter that we have always seen. That will never change, some guys are just like that (and more often then not African-American fighters - yeah I hate to say that). Cotto is going to still be around by the 6th or 7th which is when he starts to take control. He will be digging to the body and Judah is going to be intimidated by Cotto's sheer size and presence. Judah is going to run and as we all know he cant fight going backwards (Spinks proved this, Tszyu proved this, and Mayweather proved this).

            Cotto KO 11.

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            • #7
              cotto will get knocked out because he was overtrained and will not have any fluids in his brain i feel sorry for that guy judah skill will play no part

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              • #8
                Originally posted by EMPOROAR View Post
                My take on the fight for the most part is mostly mental.

                Judah is a headcase. How many times have we seen him rocked or off balance KD's because he was trying to showboat and show off to his 'posse' that he brings to the ring. He is the same ****y, undisciplined fighter that we have always seen. That will never change, some guys are just like that (and more often then not African-American fighters - yeah I hate to say that). Cotto is going to still be around by the 6th or 7th which is when he starts to take control. He will be digging to the body and Judah is going to be intimidated by Cotto's sheer size and presence. Judah is going to run and as we all know he cant fight going backwards (Spinks proved this, Tszyu proved this, and Mayweather proved this).

                Cotto KO 11.
                Judah is bigger than Cotto, just look at the weigh in pics, Cotto is tiny compared to Zab. I will not be surprised to see Cotto backing up, not Judah...
                Last edited by Soundtraveler; 06-08-2007, 09:31 PM.

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by Soundtraveler View Post
                  Judah is bigger than Cotto, just look at the weigh in pics, Cotto is tiny compared to Zab....
                  Soundtraveler, theres one really good point you made that I didn't think of. Cotto doesn't exactly have the best chin either, I remember like you said when Corley had him hurt. And Zab is fast plus he has his back against the wall. I'm still picking Cotto but your analysis got me thinking.

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                  • #10
                    Judah isn't bigger then Cotto. Yeah he looks alot more lean and ripped but Cotto is much, much thicker then Zab.

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