There's a misconception in terms of power. Did Hagler or Leonard have to hit as hard as Hearns to knock him out? Did Ali have to hit as hard as Foreman? Did Holyfield have to hit as hard as Tyson?
the point is this, Parker doesn't have to punch as hard as Joshua. Parker just has to punch as hard as Dillian Whyte, because that's the threshold of Joshua's chin.
Wlad had him out for 5 rounds. he was gone. that much power is overkill. If Parker has enough power to rock Joshua, he can TKO him late.
I would say their power to each others chin ratio is about equal because Parker has a rock solid chin with a very good defense. He rarely gets hit flush. Watch the Fury, Takam and Ruiz fights. People talk about Parker being timid but they dont speak of his defense. He won those fights without taking any damage.
Parker has better defense. Enough power to KO Joshua. and better stamina.
He could play spoiler.
Parker's best win is what Takam, Fury...Ruiz?
He is TERRIBLE, nothing personal but Joshua stops him within 6 rounds.
I am no fan of either guy, but to say they are equal in terms of level is ridiculous.
I just don't see what you're saying about Parker. To me, he's a domestic level fighter who got razor thin decision victories against 2 bums (Ruiz & Fury), and that has defined his career. I have no idea if he can beat Charles Martin or Stiverne.
Parker is a live dog. I think offensively he can pose Joshua problems, since Joshua doesn't have great feet and is a big target, but Parker's defence might let him down in the end. If it comes down to a shoot-out, you've got to suspect that Joshua has the more firepower
Stamina is an issue for me, Parker seems to do well over 12 rounds, Joshua has gone 10/11 rounds but you just have this feeling that he is vulnerable or that he is gassing.
If he feels he has thrown all his power shots and Parker is still there then what? Wilder had that with Bermane Stiverne in their first fight but he was able to get on his bike and jab from the outside to a UD, can Joshua do the same? Or would he tire himself out looking for that KO?
There's a misconception in terms of power. Did Hagler or Leonard have to hit as hard as Hearns to knock him out? Did Ali have to hit as hard as Foreman? Did Holyfield have to hit as hard as Tyson?
the point is this, Parker doesn't have to punch as hard as Joshua. Parker just has to punch as hard as Dillian Whyte, because that's the threshold of Joshua's chin.
Wlad had him out for 5 rounds. he was gone. that much power is overkill. If Parker has enough power to rock Joshua, he can TKO him late.
I would say their power to each others chin ratio is about equal because Parker has a rock solid chin with a very good defense. He rarely gets hit flush. Watch the Fury, Takam and Ruiz fights. People talk about Parker being timid but they dont speak of his defense. He won those fights without taking any damage.
Parker has better defense. Enough power to KO Joshua. and better stamina.
He could play spoiler.
Punch resistance and chin is overrated at heavyweight boxing where there isn't any weight limit after 200 pounds. Punch resistance and chin is relatively even between most boxers at heavyweight with very few exceptions. If a 230+ boxer is landing punches with his full weight, then very few heavyweights would have the chin to take such a punch unscathed without suffering from tremendous damage. Ultimately, I doubt Joshua or Parker have better punch resistance than the other. Both can KO each other if both punch with their entire weight and land their punch on the appropriate area of the other's body. Joshua has so far shown better offensive skills to be able to land such punches more frequently and consistently. Therefore, he is more likely to win by stoppage than vice versa.
Joseph Parker's defense isn't better than Joshua's in my opinion. It's actually one of his weaknesses. He relies on athleticism to make up for his fundamentally lacking defense. Problem is, once he faces opponents who are equally athletic or more, he is likely to be exposed.
Having stated all of those things, I still believe like you that it's close to a 50 / 50 fight in terms of odds of either guy winning. I would make Joshua the slight favorite because his record is slightly better so far. He is also physically stronger. However, Parker does have the abilities to win, most likely by decision rather than by stoppage.
There's a misconception in terms of power. Did Hagler or Leonard have to hit as hard as Hearns to knock him out? Did Ali have to hit as hard as Foreman? Did Holyfield have to hit as hard as Tyson?
the point is this, Parker doesn't have to punch as hard as Joshua. Parker just has to punch as hard as Dillian Whyte, because that's the threshold of Joshua's chin.
Wlad had him out for 5 rounds. he was gone. that much power is overkill. If Parker has enough power to rock Joshua, he can TKO him late.
I would say their power to each others chin ratio is about equal because Parker has a rock solid chin with a very good defense. He rarely gets hit flush. Watch the Fury, Takam and Ruiz fights. People talk about Parker being timid but they dont speak of his defense. He won those fights without taking any damage.
Parker has better defense. Enough power to KO Joshua. and better stamina.
He could play spoiler.
Don't quite think it's a 50-50 fight, but do think it's competitive. Kinda feel like you've undersold Joshua here and oversold Parker, for a few reasons:
Parker has to hit harder than Dylian Whyte because although Whyte wobbled Joshua he didn't do enough damage to put him to the floor. If Parker can do that then yes he can TKO Joshua in later rounds.
I really don't get how Parker has better defence than Joshua either... he gets hit a fair amount. In fact Compubox will tell you that Takam landed on Parker at a higher ratio than he landed on Joshua. Overall in Joshua v Takam's 10 rounds Takam landed 52 punches, compared to 120 in Parker v Takam's fight.
Beyond that Andy Ruiz Jr and Hughie Fury are probably two of the weakest punchers in the division... not taking any damage from those two is not an achievement and they are both an absolute lightyear away when it comes to power to Joshua.
Realistically we don't know for sure Joshua can take Parker's power, but we also do not know that Parker can take Joshua' power which is why it's a competitive fight.
Would be a very intriguing match up if they come to a bout. I hope the fight gets made and we see it early next year.
My guess Joshua would be the clear favorite going in, I'm leaning towards it too maybe a 60/40 in favor of Joshua.
But I'm not doubting Parker and I think this fight won't just be a walk in the park for Joshua - this is heavyweight boxing and anything can happen.
I think Joshua can be knocked out on stamina alone, if that makes any sense. If someone is able to fight him at a busy pace, not take too much damage you could literally put his gassed up ar5e on the canvas mid to late rounds.
I can see Parker being able to do that, but only if he is at his very best and Joshua is say 5% off. This fight has the potential not be as big a mismatch as everyone says.
Agreed.
Joshua always looks uncomfortable in later rounds. He was one half decent shot from defeat against Wlad. It's why I think prime Fury would beat him relatively easily because he never really slows down.
Parker needs to get out of the early rounds without getting too much damage. If he does then I'd agree it's a 50:50 fight. Easier said than done - Joshua is as dangerous as they come.
I think Joshua can be knocked out on stamina alone, if that makes any sense. If someone is able to fight him at a busy pace, not take too much damage you could literally put his gassed up ar5e on the canvas mid to late rounds.
I can see Parker being able to do that, but only if he is at his very best and Joshua is say 5% off. This fight has the potential not be as big a mismatch as everyone says.