If Kovalev wins a decision, I think he wins a 9-3, 10-2 shockingly clear decision. Any close fight probably means Ward is doing too many good things to lose.
My official prediction is an 8-4ish Ward win with a KD on top.
It's a funny one this, whilst I think of it as a 50/50 fight, as in I can't see who is going to win, I don't think that necessarily means it's going to be a close fight. Either Ward is going to be able to neutralise Kovalev in which case it'll be a fairly wide UD for Andre, or he ain't and Kovalevs offense will cause him to go into a Hopkinesque survival mode for a wide Kovalev UD or possible KO. There's other scenarios of course, Kovalev could start strong but Ward take over once he starts to adjust to Sergeis movement and timing, or Ward could start to tire late a la Froch, particularly if it's a very physical fight...
Ah, anyway ... my inability to decide is what makes this so intriguing for me ... either way I think it's a clear victory for one guy or the other.
That's the way I'm seeing it too..... one of these guys is going to find out he can't pull off what he planned to do in the fight. Whether it be that Kovalev's power is such a shock to Wards system coupled with his ability to hang with him boxing skill wise that it permanently shells him up in he fight allowing Kovalev to work at a measured pace like the Hopkins fight and win a wide UD or score the late KO. Or that Kovalev actually can't live with Ward in a boxing match and is unable to land his power cleanly and consistently enough to stop him getting outscored by Andre in every round on his way to a wide UD loss.
Expect a competitive affair. Kovalev is the real deal, he can definitely box. I say Ward averages a lead of between 3-4 points across the three judges' scorecards.
kovalev 117-111. which probably equates to ward 115-113 robbery with the judges
:lol1:
Remember what I told you last time. Deep down you already know what's gonna happen, you've accepted it. You're just getting the excuses ready.
Bet some money on Ward, it'll ease your pain.
It's a funny one this, whilst I think of it as a 50/50 fight, as in I can't see who is going to win, I don't think that necessarily means it's going to be a close fight. Either Ward is going to be able to neutralise Kovalev in which case it'll be a fairly wide UD for Andre, or he ain't and Kovalevs offense will cause him to go into a Hopkinesque survival mode for a wide Kovalev UD or possible KO. There's other scenarios of course, Kovalev could start strong but Ward take over once he starts to adjust to Sergeis movement and timing, or Ward could start to tire late a la Froch, particularly if it's a very physical fight...
Ah, anyway ... my inability to decide is what makes this so intriguing for me ... either way I think it's a clear victory for one guy or the other.
I'm guessing Kovalev will take 4 rounds total, maybe 5, even though I predict Ward will outbox him by a clear margin. Judges these days view power very favorably and Kovalev will be helped in that regard.
Based on whatever Kovalev ends up bringing to the ring, the first four rounds are likely to be really competitive; once those get out of the way, I see Ward settling into his groove, and boxing Kovalev's ears off the rest of the way.