My prediction for the first fight played out exactly how I thought it would, so here's my thoughts on the rematch.
1) Bute's inability to avoid the right hand.
Prior to the Froch fight, most people believed that Bute had a good defence, however it's easy to avoid the punches of slow plodding fighters like Magee, Andrade, and Johnson. Bute used his 'slickness' to avoid punches and that worked against the limited arsenal of the B- fighters he was used to facing. A fighter like Froch, whilst not a speedster, comes forward and throws combinations at angles with the intent of hurting his opponent. Bute wasn't used to the angles and pressure Froch presented and it showed in his inability to avoid Froch's right hand. Defensive movement and slickness is only effective when you are fast enough to make the minute changes necessary to avoid the incoming shots (see Ward and Mayweather). Bute's faux defensive skills just doesn't cut it against an iron chinned fighter like Froch who can take one to land his own and throws punches in bunches.
2) Bute can't hurt Froch.
I remember Bute landing a peach of an uppercut in an exchange and Froch simply stepped back, smiled, and continued to hurt Bute against the ropes. He also landed several of his patented uppercuts to Froch's body which also had no effect. Unless Bute lands that one in a million KO blow, he can't hurt Froch let alone stop him. Expect to see Froch even more confident in the rematch because of this.
3) His age.
Lucian Bute is 32 which means his style is already established and there is very little he can do different to beat Froch second time around. He fought the fight he was supposed to against Froch. He moved, didn't get lured into exchanges (unless hurt), and tried to catch Froch when he was coming in. This gameplan didn't work. It's not like he went toe to toe with Froch and lost. He fought how he was supposed to and lost in spectacular fashion. Considering the proximity of the rematch, his advancing years, and Froch's ability to fight coming forward or going back, there isn't much Bute can do to win short of running the entire fight and hoping for a hometown decison.
4) He is psychologically ruined.
Andrade cast the doubts in Bute's mind, Froch ensured they would never leave. Bute knows whether consciously or subconciously, there is very little he can do to beat Froch. The next time they face each other down he will look Froch in the eyes and see the man who he couldn't hurt and lost for the very first time to. Froch now has the superior confidence and Bute is the broken man. Sure Bute can still beat some of the good fighters in the division, but he'll know in the back of his mind that the likes of Kessler and Froch are one step too far. I'd even fancy Ward to stop Bute at this point. The confidence he had as an unbeaten fighter won't be there.
5) Poor recovery when hurt
Bute doesn't have a terrible chin but when he's hurt he stays hurt. When Froch has his man hurt he's like a patient shark - meaning he'll hunt you down but he won't smother his punches allowing you to recover. He throws enough to keep you on the backfoot but he'll be patient enough to spot the defensive openings to land those bone crunching punches of his. This stands in stark contrast to someone like Maidana who's relentlessness cost him a KO victory against Khan. If he remained patient and picked his punches, he could have got Khan out of there. Froch doesn't let this happen.
Prediction: Expect to see Bute run for the first half of the fight before Froch catches up with him and ends the fight in similar fashion to the first fight.
I'll bump this thread after Bute kicks his ass in the spring.
I'd like to see random PED testing for this fight. Froch was stronger and more aggressive than I've seen him in the past for the first fight.
Froch was fighting at home for the first time in years.
I think he was randomly tested twice during the run up to the mack fight.
He fought in a similar manner in the mack fight, I'd be extremely surprised if froch was guilty of doping, he just works hard.
I'll bump this thread after Bute kicks his ass in the spring.
I'd like to see random PED testing for this fight. Froch was stronger and more aggressive than I've seen him in the past for the first fight.
Yo, Freedom, there was drug testing immediately after the Bute and Mack fights.
Just seen the Mack fight, he got blown away. No wonder Calzaghe didnt want any Froch on his menu.
I actually like Mack too, he comes across as a nice enough guy, hes smart looking too for the ladies. I felt bad seeing him get demolished.
Bute has little chance, hit and run is his best shot.
When I was watching froch warm up he looked so limited but he's far from it he's actually a smart fighter it looks like he just rushes through his opponents but that's not the case he knows how to pick his shots and he knows how to set his right hand up very well and usually gets it through fighters guards (Taylor,bute) I see the rematch lasting longer but froch will blow him out again imo
Bute would lose every time it's a fact..he stayed away from the super six tournament because he knew each fighter in there was better than him..froch is gonna whoop him again..he's weak..cant take a punch and his punching power equals the power of a high school girl.
That's some claim you're making there. Anything to back that up with?
Are you really asking if Freedom posts racist stuff? It doesn't take much looking to find it.
I'll bump this thread after Bute kicks his ass in the spring.
I'd like to see random PED testing for this fight. Froch was stronger and more aggressive than I've seen him in the past for the first fight.
So Froch won because he's juicing? It couldn't have been because Bute was protected for so long and folded up mentally when he faced his first world class opponent. Your BS is unbelievable
He needs Bute to win so he can push his agenda, so he can claim Bute is the best in the division, he can't handle a black American fighter being the champ.
That's some claim you're making there. Anything to back that up with?
I don't agree with No.2 OP, I do think Bute can hurt Froch so for that reason imo he's in with a shout.
However, the reason I think Froch wins a rematch is because Bute couldn't take Froch's punches at all, he looked like he belonged in a weight class below such was his inability to take Froch's power.
I agree with that.
Froch landed a cuffing blow coming out of a clinch which took Bute's legs away at one stage. It was baffling because it really didn't look like that much.
I think Bute may have hurt Froch do the body in that fight also. That is a world-class shot Bute throws.
Jesus really?!? I saw nothing that would even give me hope if I were rooting for Bute. Froch came into that fight without the confidence he used to have because of his clear loss to Ward, and he left feeling like a world beater. I have Froch by KO. Maybe quicker then last time. Bute will be more cautious, and that wont help him.
He needs Bute to win so he can push his agenda, so he can claim Bute is the best in the division, he can't handle a black American fighter being the champ.
If you watch Butes past fights he is actually very easy to hit, any elite boxer would take advantage of his poor defense like Froch did. Hes been able to get away with such a poor defense because of his opponents skill level, after all his best win is over Johnson who not only looked like a shell of his former self but was Butes former sparring partner. Johnson also went onto get UDd the next fight against some LHW.
That was actually one of Froch's easiest fights of his career, he had not KOd anyone since 08, he obliterated Bute with ease.
I'll bet 10 billion points with you that Bute wins the rematch.
Jesus really?!? I saw nothing that would even give me hope if I were rooting for Bute. Froch came into that fight without the confidence he used to have because of his clear loss to Ward, and he left feeling like a world beater. I have Froch by KO. Maybe quicker then last time. Bute will be more cautious, and that wont help him.
I feel like on paper Froch loses a lot of match ups, but when hes in the ring he somehow comes away with the win. It bute can box and survive the 12 rounds I think he takes it but my money would on Froch by KO again.
Pretty much the story of Froch's career.
He is an enigma.
Bute's speed and defense has always been overrated, and his ability to take Froch's punches was nonexistent. Can't see those things changing in a rematch, even if its more competitive.
The first fight wasn't a competitive fight that Froch won because his punches were stronger. He kicked the crap out of Bute, easily.
lol at anyone who thinks Bute beats Froch in the rematch. The first fight was a piece of piiss for Froch. Bute hasn't got what takes to win a war, his power hasn't much effect on Froch, he's fuked when Froch catches him and he's no where near skilled enough to box Froch for 12.
I feel like on paper Froch loses a lot of match ups, but when hes in the ring he somehow comes away with the win. It bute can box and survive the 12 rounds I think he takes it but my money would on Froch by KO again.