Pacquia opens as 2-to-1 Betting Favorite against Cotto. Is it justified?

By Giancarlo Malinconico ************ July 20, 2009 "Skybet.com is the first to list Manny Pacquiao as a 2-1 betting favorite over Miguel Cotto in their November 14 clash in Las Vegas. I will be the first to say, I am not stunned by the odds. Cotto will be the bigger man in this fight, but I think people tend to overstate the weight advantage in boxing in general. In my article, Pacquiao’s “Manila Ice” will Cool Cotto, I point out many reasons for why I believe the Pacman will be victorious on November 14; obviously, the “Manila Ice” will play a major role. But there other factors. Cotto backers often point out that Mosley and Judah are as fast, or just as fast, as Pacquiao. Therefore, Pacquiao will not overwhelm Cotto with his speed. But this notion is misleading. Mosley and Judah, both, fought Cotto flatfooted. Moreover, Mosley and Judah mostly relied on throwing one punch at a time, particularly Judah. Pacquiao delivers powerful punches, and his punches come in bunches. Furthermore, not only has the Pacman improved his footwork since moving up to 135 pounds, he has improved his defense. The Pacman uses head movement and footwork to move away from returning shots after he unloads, and I think people will be surprised on the difficulty Cotto will have in landing clean shots on the Pacman. My prediction: Cotto will not make it to the final bell. I have mentioned the “Manila Ice” will be a huge factor, but watch out for a left uppercut. Cotto likes to keep his guard up as he leans forward, leaving him susceptible to an uppercut. Judah was able to land it on Cotto early in their fight, but he was unable to capitalize. But Manny’s hand and foot speed will give Cotto fits all night long. Do not be surprised to see Miguel back peddling for survival before the Pacman’s relentless assault pins Cotto to the ropes and halts the action. I will be the first to publically go on record and state: do not be shocked if Cotto gets the De La Hoya treatment. " Judah is justa s fast as pacman and Mannys punch power is suspect at 147 against true tested Welterweights. Sorry Giancarlo you r drinking the kool aid if you think Cotto gets KOed. It goes like this Either pac wins a decision or Cotto Kos Pacquiao. I feel a remiscent sense of Bhop DLH coming on.

THis is beautiful Im gonna make me some cashola son! I got my tickets bought already and now booking my trip to Las Vegas!! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- can you teach me how play the bookie, I want to make my first bet with Cotto, he is going to make me some $$$$$ once he beats Pac

can you teach me how play the bookie, I want to make my first bet with Cotto, he is going to make me some $$$$$ once he beats Pac

I wonder if guys realize that gambling odds are based on money and confidence of wager's to put money on one side. It is and was never a prediction of who will win. Best evidence is CFB.....I win lots betting against hugely popular programs because they're HUGE fan base makes betting against them (spreads, over/unders.......etc) very good bets. SEC teams are notorious for this (when facing out of conference teams).

too high but then again hype really does a number on bookies. and by hype i mean since he's the 'in' guy right now, not that he's unproven lol. i think it should be dead even actually. lets go jmm/pac, make the 3rd fight happen baby!

I heard that from Hatton and look what happened? Deja vu THis is beautiful Im gonna make me some cashola son! I got my tickets bought already and now booking my trip to Las Vegas!!

wow. with those odds you might as well put your house on cotto I heard that from Hatton and look what happened? Deja vu

Kinda surprising.

wow. with those odds you might as well put your house on cotto

By Giancarlo Malinconico ************ July 20, 2009 "Skybet.com is the first to list Manny Pacquiao as a 2-1 betting favorite over Miguel Cotto in their November 14 clash in Las Vegas. I will be the first to say, I am not stunned by the odds. Cotto will be the bigger man in this fight, but I think people tend to overstate the weight advantage in boxing in general. In my article, Pacquiao’s “Manila Ice” will Cool Cotto, I point out many reasons for why I believe the Pacman will be victorious on November 14; obviously, the “Manila Ice” will play a major role. But there other factors. Cotto backers often point out that Mosley and Judah are as fast, or just as fast, as Pacquiao. Therefore, Pacquiao will not overwhelm Cotto with his speed. But this notion is misleading. Mosley and Judah, both, fought Cotto flatfooted. Moreover, Mosley and Judah mostly relied on throwing one punch at a time, particularly Judah. Pacquiao delivers powerful punches, and his punches come in bunches. Furthermore, not only has the Pacman improved his footwork since moving up to 135 pounds, he has improved his defense. The Pacman uses head movement and footwork to move away from returning shots after he unloads, and I think people will be surprised on the difficulty Cotto will have in landing clean shots on the Pacman. My prediction: Cotto will not make it to the final bell. I have mentioned the “Manila Ice” will be a huge factor, but watch out for a left uppercut. Cotto likes to keep his guard up as he leans forward, leaving him susceptible to an uppercut. Judah was able to land it on Cotto early in their fight, but he was unable to capitalize. But Manny’s hand and foot speed will give Cotto fits all night long. Do not be surprised to see Miguel back peddling for survival before the Pacman’s relentless assault pins Cotto to the ropes and halts the action. I will be the first to publically go on record and state: do not be shocked if Cotto gets the De La Hoya treatment. " Everybody knows that Cotto is just a tune up for Pacquiao's mega bucks fight with Mayweather.:D

This is a toss up fight, but because of styles, intangibles, etc. I got Pac winning. 2/1 is too much though, 1.5/1 or 1.2/1, is a better opener, they'll change by themselves with betting trends. I expect them to get closer.