I have been analasising this fight for the past couple of weeks and i honestly think khan has a huge huge chance of beating the faded legend in MAB.
the advantages phyiscally are in khans corner
reach
height
weight
pure size
strength
are all in his favour in my opinion also he has speed, hes a really quick guy and has very good hand speed and a decent effective jab
MAB for me personally wants to be a 4 weight world champion, that is what his driving him on but he his not a 135 fighter he does not have the build to work into this weight catoergy i am sure he can still make super featherweight either featherweight if he pushed himself.
skill level MAB his very very good, hes been a 3 time champion fought fantastic fights against pacman, morales and marquez and also beating prince naz impressively but these are all in the past (his last fight against pacman was very average for him)
he has now moving up in weight against khan who is a huge lightweight who reallly does squeeze himself down to 135 so the size advantage is for khan in a big way and this follows my next point.....
against prescott khan got knocked the **** out, he came out swinging against a puncer with no defense and got sparked out but this was against a guy who had a very very good knock out ratio and someone who had fought at 140 and i think at 147 so he was a huge lightweight himself MAB his not a puncer and does not have the physical characterastics to put khan under pressure he might have the techical skills but does he have the power as well??? in his last 2 warm up fight his punch output is very average....
roach has the textbook copy to beat MAB so this is another sigificant point to use in this upcoming fight, i just honestly believe that MAB will not have the work rate of khan and wont be able to get past his ram rod jab which he will kick firing off during every round, roach has khan using the jab to work everything off from it (against fagan who was seriously under matched this was impressive as he seemed very well schooled)
couple of misgivings are chin for khan, there is no doubt he has a weak chin but it only has ever been exposed by a true true lightweight in prescot (gomez limond and the other guy were all super featherweights moving up and they were more flash knock downs tbh) with roach now teaching khan to be more defensive minder this could combat his main weakness
also a big point are body shots because MAB will be wanting to fire hooks into the body, against gomez khan got hurted from a left hook into the body but with his new conditioning coach hopefully they would of strengthen the mid section.
the cut from MAB is also a concern as i cant believe that will heal enough for him to spar enough to be sharp for this fight
conclusion
this fight is a true pick em, do u pick the experience and classy "old" warrior in MAB or the promising but flawed AK. thats what makes this fight intriguing and even though warren gets alot of shit this is a very bold match making and has people talking about khan in a positive light. i think the main point of this fight is size and speed of khan and MAB. MAB will not be a big lightweight and this will favour khan as MAB wont likely have the power to crack his chin also i feel that khan can bully MAB with his size and his very effective jab.
i can see khan targeting the fresh cut of MAB and potentially stopping the fight on cuts, if this does not happen i dont think khan will be able to stop the rugged warrior because MAB does have a solid set of whiskers so i predict khan on UD if MAB cut stands up
any thoughts
I have a feeling he will come out looking for a knockout. He has gone the distance in his last two major fights (again against the #1 and #2 fighters in the world!) so he could last but I don’t think he will for several reasons: 1) he must know that if it’s a close decision it won’t go to him and 2) remember how tired he was at the end of the third Morales fight? I think we’ll see him going for a knockout and I hope (no offense to the Khan fans) that we see another Mzonke Fana. As an aside, I’m not comparing Fana to Khan, it’s more I’m hoping for a quick knockout.
I think there were some really good points here concerning MAB. He’s my favorite fighter so I’m bias but I think this will either be a decision for Khan (due to his jab and/or movement) or a knockout for MAB. I do think he wanted a glorified sparing session in his last two fights and we don’t really know what he has left in the tank. The original poster mentioned he was average against Manny but that’s average against the best P4P in the world and Khan is no Pacquiao. Added to that, I thought the fight with JMM was close and even if it wasn’t, Khan is no JMM. Granted that was 1 ½ to 2 years ago but Khan hasn’t been in with this level of opposition and most of Khan’s previous opponents left a lot to be desired. One of the moderators on this site mentioned a while back that he though MAB was maybe playing a bit of opossum and letting people think he was a lot older and more worn-out than what he actually is.
I think we'll all know pretty quick if MAB comes out blasting like he has fresh legs. This would be a very exciting turn of events if it occurs.
I think there were some really good points here concerning MAB. He’s my favorite fighter so I’m bias but I think this will either be a decision for Khan (due to his jab and/or movement) or a knockout for MAB. I do think he wanted a glorified sparing session in his last two fights and we don’t really know what he has left in the tank. The original poster mentioned he was average against Manny but that’s average against the best P4P in the world and Khan is no Pacquiao. Added to that, I thought the fight with JMM was close and even if it wasn’t, Khan is no JMM. Granted that was 1 ½ to 2 years ago but Khan hasn’t been in with this level of opposition and most of Khan’s previous opponents left a lot to be desired. One of the moderators on this site mentioned a while back that he though MAB was maybe playing a bit of opossum and letting people think he was a lot older and more worn-out than what he actually is.
That always sounds so gross!
I think people forget how much heart and determination MAB has. He's been in the sh*t and he's never backed down. Khan is going to have to beat him every step of the way. Also, MAB will still retain a good deal of his power if he can set the right trap to land on Khan. While Roach probably has a very intelligent plan to protect Khan's chin. Do not be surprised if MAB and his team set up some very clever traps to get MAB safely inside or Khan trapped in a corner or along the ropes. Also realize that if MAB does get Khan in trouble, he will be very efficient at closing the show. Khan can definitely win this fight but he has zero room for error and he may have to go above and beyond anything he's ever done in the past. Hopefully it doesn't end like the Prescott fight or with Khan escaping via Michael Jennings type bike ride.
Tbh im no really fussed who wins, i think it will be an entertaining fight. i got Khan by UD though, unless Barerra quits on his stool maybe?
That always sounds so gross!
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Look there is no debate......
The bottom line is, Barrera is an old man and WAYYYYYY past his prime. This is not an excuse, it's the truth.
If Khan wants to be a lagit contender in boxing, he HAS to beat an old fighter like Barerra.
It's a good stepping stone for him because Barrera carries a name more than anything else. It should be an ok fight because Barrera is a seasoned vet and knows how to survive in the ring but Khan should beat him.
If Kahn loses to a washed up Barerra at this point in his career, he's not the real deal.
Very good observations.
khan shouldve gotten with steward and learn to fight like wlad..lol..jab jab.hold right hand
Im sure it was ment as a joke, but if he faught in that style i think he would have a lot of success. Hes hugh at the weight and has the speed too.
Agree with everything there, but for one thing: I don't think he needs a hugely long training camp because he has been pretty active recently. It's not like he ballooned up to Hatton-like proportions, he's already fit and almost ready.
Could be wrong. It's just a thought, anyway.
Its the sparring side of things that worries me, with that cut he would of had very little sparring, if any, and against a fighter as fast as Khan he will need to have that sharpness and timing that only sparring can bring
I think Khans size and reach advantage will be the difference, he has fast hands so im expecting him to pick MAB off at range.
Khan by ud
Barrera is years past his best but will still cause big problems for Khan should khan try and play to the crowd and trade.
Even though im not realy a fan, i think Khan could reach a good level if he turned into a points fighter, who uses a fast jab and size advantage to pick up the win.
Only problem is that they have been trying to market him as the new Naz (a ko artist that puts bums on seats)who wasnt exactly a boring points fighter now was he.
Regarding these last two fights you studied, don't you think it's possible he was just trying to get some rounds under his belt? I do. In fact it was pretty obvious that's what he was doing. He could have taken out Ventura in the first round, but after a lay-off he needed something more than just sparring. As for that last fight, I firmly believe his intention was also to get some rounds under his belt, but he ended up getting fouled and cut.
It's not easy to see right now exactly where MAB is at, how much he has in the tank, etc., but I don't even think he was trying in those last two fights.
That's quite possible, i just didn't like the fact that he was barely throwing anything apart from the jab, he looked a bit gun shy.
First of all the Limmond knockdown was not a flash knockdown, Willie put Kahn down hard, Khan got up but then went down on one knee again, if the fight had been in the States or Khan was just a regular nobody most refs would have stopped the fight because of this, never the less he got plenty of time to recover.
I think there would be no doubt about the outcome of this fight had Barrera had a full 8-9 week training camp but the fact is he will be entering the ring having just 3 full weeks of training (4 if he trains in England in the week preceeding the fight but this is the time when the fighter wind's down and maintains their weight) and a cut that would have insufficient time to heal, these factors along with Marco's age (dont forget Julio Ceaser Chavez was the same age when Kostya stopped him) make the odds far closer.
As for Marco's poor showings in his previous two outings id put this down to lack of motivation against very poor opposision, he was just feeling his way into the 135 division. Finally as a Barrera fan id have to say for the first time that i am dissapointed in what i see as a lack of professionalism on the part of Barrera, in his rush to a fourth weight division title he is very possiby entering a fight for the first time drastically underprepared, even Warren was prepared to postpone a few weeks
Agree with everything there, but for one thing: I don't think he needs a hugely long training camp because he has been pretty active recently. It's not like he ballooned up to Hatton-like proportions, he's already fit and almost ready.
Could be wrong. It's just a thought, anyway.
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Oh God... you might be right. Khan is turning into a lightweight version of the K brothers.
If he doesn't do that he will get KOed by any top contender with a possitive KO ratio. Khan has got the size and the speed to make that style work.
First of all the Limmond knockdown was not a flash knockdown, Willie put Kahn down hard, Khan got up but then went down on one knee again, if the fight had been in the States or Khan was just a regular nobody most refs would have stopped the fight because of this, never the less he got plenty of time to recover.
I think there would be no doubt about the outcome of this fight had Barrera had a full 8-9 week training camp but the fact is he will be entering the ring having just 3 full weeks of training (4 if he trains in England in the week preceeding the fight but this is the time when the fighter wind's down and maintains their weight) and a cut that would have insufficient time to heal, these factors along with Marco's age (dont forget Julio Ceaser Chavez was the same age when Kostya stopped him) make the odds far closer.
As for Marco's poor showings in his previous two outings id put this down to lack of motivation against very poor opposision, he was just feeling his way into the 135 division. Finally as a Barrera fan id have to say for the first time that i am dissapointed in what i see as a lack of professionalism on the part of Barrera, in his rush to a fourth weight division title he is very possiby entering a fight for the first time drastically underprepared, even Warren was prepared to postpone a few weeks
That whole terrified to get hit deal works very well for Wlad.
Amir would do very well if he could adopt that. If he stays a way from the too tall lightweights, he's too tall himself. lol
Amir has too much heart though to be that negative, he likes fighting - his chin doesn't.
Yeah. Just stay away from the likes of Marquez, Amir.
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At the end of the day, Khan just has to stay out the way of Barerra's big punches for the first 4 or 5 rounds, and with his speed and improved movement under Freddie Roache i think he can. I've studied Barerra's last 2 fights and he looks bad, and that's against very questionable opposition. After he has got through the early rounds he should be able to control the fight and win a decision or possibly stop Barerra late.
Though his chin is always vunerable and he could easilly get caught with a big punch early on.
Regarding these last two fights you studied, don't you think it's possible he was just trying to get some rounds under his belt? I do. In fact it was pretty obvious that's what he was doing. He could have taken out Ventura in the first round, but after a lay-off he needed something more than just sparring. As for that last fight, I firmly believe his intention was also to get some rounds under his belt, but he ended up getting fouled and cut.
It's not easy to see right now exactly where MAB is at, how much he has in the tank, etc., but I don't even think he was trying in those last two fights.
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