I think Spence is a much better fighter with superior speed, boxing skill,punching power and number of punches thrown and landed on average. I think Spence wins on points by a large amount. Garcia has had 7 fights at 147. He lost two of those fights and only KOed two of the seven for a weak KO win percentage of about 28%. He is not a big puncher at welterweight. In contrast Spence has never lost a fight and has KOed 80% of his welterweight opponents. I expect Spence to be as good or better than he was before the car crash.
I pick Garcia to beat Spence
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That is an interesting and complicated betting plan you have for this fight. Neither Spence nor Garcia have ever been knocked down in their careers. I am betting Spence wins on points.Spence should win comfortably. I’m putting bet on Spence by decision, hedging it with Garcia KO rounds 1-3 and then Spence KO rounds 9-10.
Garcia is taylor made for Spence. Slow feet and low output. His longer reach and fast straight shots will be hard for Garcia to counter with his hooksComment
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Basically I think Spence is going to win on points. But the odds are crap, so I put on just enough money to cover my other bets should I lose them (which I most likely will)
Spence winning by KO has decent odds and not out of the realm of possibility if he’s able to break Garcia down. Unlikely yes.
The only way I see Garcia winning is by KO early. He’s not winning on points or getting a KO late as Spence will be very much in his rhythm by then.
I basically think the bookies have got it spot on for this fights so it’s the only way I can make my a bet work.
What odds have you got for Spence decision?Last edited by Dakuwaqa; 12-01-2020, 09:23 AM.Comment
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That's what I'm thinking. Spence
still has a noticeable scar above one of his eyes. I think he'll fight with something to prove, like he did with Porter, and try to trade with Danny. Spence will be trying to look like he's better than ever by becoming the first person to drop and stop Danny, but Spence will get cut.Comment
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I had Porter-Garcia even until the 6th round and then Porter's high work rate ground down Garcia, I feel like Spence can emulate that. Really the main question is how punch shy Spence is with his chin.Comment
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Nope it wont be easy. It may be easy as far as the score cards but there is always a chance he gets clipped. You saw How Garcia walked down and drilled Granados. Yes , Spence is way better than Granados but Danny can hiut hard and i noticed that scar tissue over the eye.Comment
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I dont think Garcia has ever been in an easy fight besides Granados. The guy just is solid and is a grinder. Spence is a big guy, but he is not a slickster like Zab, or Herrera, or others. He will have a chance to get hit. Yes i would love to see Spence be back 100 % , but Danny has some dog in him and he is tough!Nope it wont be easy. It may be easy as far as the score cards but there is always a chance he gets clipped. You saw How Garcia walked down and drilled Granados. Yes , Spence is way better than Granados but Danny can hiut hard and i noticed that scar tissue over the eye.Comment
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