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There have been many threads hypothesizing that either Wilder or Fury would make more money if they would have just signed to fight AJ.
Well, as Tyson Fury so eloquently pointed out earlier this week, that's only true if both parties deal fairly. However, that is not what Hearn appears to be doing.
I don't know what Hearn has offered Fury, but it is well known that the last offer from Hearn to Wilder was 15M (some reports have it a little more than that but 15 is the last number disclosed).
But, is 15M the best Wilder or Fury could do?
Even a conservative estimate of what a Fury vs. Wilder fight might net says otherwise.
The following are indeed assumptions, but given how we all know roughly the way things go in big fights, I think most folks will agree these estimates are well within the realm of possibility.
First, the gate.
The last big fight in Vegas, Canelo vs GGG, did 27M. I think a Fury/Wilder fight will do as well; however, this is a conservative estimate so we will only assume part of that amount, say 18M.
Next, PPV.
Joshua has done around 1.5M or more PPV buys on Sky in two of his last three fights. But, the Wilder vs Fury fight will be in Vegas, probably at 4 or 5 am in Britain so the numbers will be less and perhaps significantly so. 800K buys seems a decent compromise when you take into account Joshua's buys in regular time and the totals of big fights from Vegas shown in the wee hours in Britain, like Mayweather against Hatton or McGregor. That's another 11M after the folks at BT take their cut. American PPV will also be in play. This fight should do a million buys easily...after all, Canelo vs Chavez jr did a million and everyone knew how that fight would go. This one may also have a foregone conclusion, but less so. And, these are not only heavies, but two of the most loquacious heavies since Ali. I am extremely confident this will do very well on US PPV, but to stay conservative, let's assume 600K buys. That's 19M after the cable companies take their money.
We are already at 48M net.
That's 24 million apiece for Fury and Wilder, who I am sure are doing this 50/50 or close to it.
And, this doesn't include any sponsorships, Vegas site fees (like the 40M that Vegas was willing to pay for the AJ v Wilder fight), or other foreign tv rights.
24 million each.
Isn't that larger than any of AJ's paydays?
Whether it is or isn't, it is certainly more than anything Hearn is offering to Fury or Wilder.
And remember, this is a conservative estimate- the real numbers are surely going to be better than this once Deontay and Tyson are done hyping this.
This is why the fight makes so much sense.
This is why the fight makes sense THIS YEAR.
This why you hear Hearn, or a Matchroom stoolie like Whyte or Bellew, throw shade at the possibility of the fight happening in one breath, then calling for a fight in Britain instead in the very next one.
A Wilder vs Fury fight is very, very bad news on so many levels for Eddie Hearn and ALL of his fighters.
Well, as Tyson Fury so eloquently pointed out earlier this week, that's only true if both parties deal fairly. However, that is not what Hearn appears to be doing.
I don't know what Hearn has offered Fury, but it is well known that the last offer from Hearn to Wilder was 15M (some reports have it a little more than that but 15 is the last number disclosed).
But, is 15M the best Wilder or Fury could do?
Even a conservative estimate of what a Fury vs. Wilder fight might net says otherwise.
The following are indeed assumptions, but given how we all know roughly the way things go in big fights, I think most folks will agree these estimates are well within the realm of possibility.
First, the gate.
The last big fight in Vegas, Canelo vs GGG, did 27M. I think a Fury/Wilder fight will do as well; however, this is a conservative estimate so we will only assume part of that amount, say 18M.
Next, PPV.
Joshua has done around 1.5M or more PPV buys on Sky in two of his last three fights. But, the Wilder vs Fury fight will be in Vegas, probably at 4 or 5 am in Britain so the numbers will be less and perhaps significantly so. 800K buys seems a decent compromise when you take into account Joshua's buys in regular time and the totals of big fights from Vegas shown in the wee hours in Britain, like Mayweather against Hatton or McGregor. That's another 11M after the folks at BT take their cut. American PPV will also be in play. This fight should do a million buys easily...after all, Canelo vs Chavez jr did a million and everyone knew how that fight would go. This one may also have a foregone conclusion, but less so. And, these are not only heavies, but two of the most loquacious heavies since Ali. I am extremely confident this will do very well on US PPV, but to stay conservative, let's assume 600K buys. That's 19M after the cable companies take their money.
We are already at 48M net.
That's 24 million apiece for Fury and Wilder, who I am sure are doing this 50/50 or close to it.
And, this doesn't include any sponsorships, Vegas site fees (like the 40M that Vegas was willing to pay for the AJ v Wilder fight), or other foreign tv rights.
24 million each.
Isn't that larger than any of AJ's paydays?
Whether it is or isn't, it is certainly more than anything Hearn is offering to Fury or Wilder.
And remember, this is a conservative estimate- the real numbers are surely going to be better than this once Deontay and Tyson are done hyping this.
This is why the fight makes so much sense.
This is why the fight makes sense THIS YEAR.
This why you hear Hearn, or a Matchroom stoolie like Whyte or Bellew, throw shade at the possibility of the fight happening in one breath, then calling for a fight in Britain instead in the very next one.
A Wilder vs Fury fight is very, very bad news on so many levels for Eddie Hearn and ALL of his fighters.
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