LOL thats the exact example I was gonna throw into my post til I noticed I rambled on too long. But yea thats a -50 +/- result & the -50 guy CLEARLY had a great night & the +50 guy did not. +/- is a massively flawed stat.
Hmmm. Interesting. I'm not fully sold on my method myself tbqh & am working it out still, but I think I might be more sold on your method already cuz its simpler first & foremost + seems to have less variance in the figures if what you are saying holds true with most fights + those figures could theoretically tell the story of a specific fight & the fighter overall + vs other fights with other guys in other divisions in easily translated way. I like it
I'm gonna look at some fights stats over the next few days & see what it looks like. Might be hi******* this idea from you lol. Respect.
My system is slightly different from yours but gives a better result (IMHO of course!). Instead of taking the difference in the number of punches landed as you suggest (which would give the same apparent result in a close 550 vs 600 punch fight as it would in a wide 25 vs 75 punch fight) I expressed the number of punches landed / the number of opponents punches landed as a ratio... in the case of Loma vs Rigo this gives a 3.66 in favour of Loma. It's a while since I've crunched any numbers cos I got better things to do with my time these days, but I do remember GGG and Kovalev both having a ratio in the 2.2ish sort of range (averaged over a number of fights) when they were tearing through their respective divisions - despite Kovalev never having particularly impressive +/- numbers. In general anything over about a 2.0 ratio represents a landslide win and anything over about 1.5 is pretty decisive and inarguable..
Anyway just my 2p, man. Make of it what you will.
Anyway just my 2p, man. Make of it what you will.
I'm gonna look at some fights stats over the next few days & see what it looks like. Might be hi******* this idea from you lol. Respect.
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