Is a vegas bet on McGregor REALLY that dumb?

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  • Eff Pandas
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    #11
    Holy f#ck. Just looked at the line & I'm seeing Floyd at -700 & Conor at +500.

    For a comparison to other fights Mikey Garcia is a -900 favorite over Adrien Broner at +600 & Manny is a -600 favorite over Jeff Horn at +450.

    This line is insanity.

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    • Eff Pandas
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      #12
      And yea if you must bet on Conor bet on him inside the distance (which is +2500, $100 wins $2,500) cuz thats the only way he's winning in the off chance he does win. His stamina is bs so even if he somehow has acquired the skills to outbox Floyd (lol, but I'm just going into fantasy land speculation) I have zero faith in him not gassing deeper in the fight & losing anyway.

      Floyd inside the distance at -193 looks very nice here. Or Floyd by decision at +293 if you have less faith in Floyd or more faith in Conor.

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      • dan_cov
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        #13
        Better off playing roulette.
        If Conor and Floyd fought 37 times would he win once? Nope yet
        suckers will risk their hard earned money at a measly 7/1.

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        • Earl-Hickey
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          #14
          The line i saw had Mcgregor at 6/1 and i was like lol wtf. There were fights on there between two boxers that were priced wider such as joseph parker being 9/1 vs joshua.

          Ludicrous odds.

          I think if the line was greater than 20/1 there would be some small value in mcgregor.

          The only way i see him winning is if something happens to floyd like what happened to david haye and he injures his leg badly, early on. I mean if floyd becomes a stationary target then mcgregor has a small chance. Also a cut could happen or something.

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          • Elroy The Great
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            #15
            casinos stay in business with people betting on dogs

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            • Elroy The Great
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              #16
              Originally posted by nveleven
              I'm with most of you maniacs that see this as a circus bc of all of the most obvious reasons.
              BUT w the opening line on McGregor being a 17:1 underdog?!!
              For those who are still in the closet about being at least a little intrigued, isn't it at least worth not paying for the fight, and instead putting that $100 on a McGregor bet?
              Mayweather has all of the logical advantages on paper.
              In practice? He's out of it two years. Plus, there isn't an alpha in the world who isn't terrified of turning 40--not one.
              McGregor is a rangy southpaw with a good chin (he's used to getting hit by 4 oz gloves by people like Nate Diaz who Andre Ward spars with bc he respects his boxing skills btw), and the ability to outwork Floyd in any clinch bc of mma. In fact, McGregor could slip out of something quicker than most boxers, and possibly gain position.
              And finally, and most importantly, Floyd has everything to lose here.
              And no, you triggered ******s...not amongst boxing purists. Floyd is a goat legend; we all know that.
              But Floyd craves mob opinion/attention. If he slips for even a second and gets caught by a McGregor who will comfortably weigh 170 on fight night?? Could it happen?
              Probably not.
              But at 17:1 odds?
              And if Floyd loses, then his ENTIRE career in the eyes of the mob will be forever tarnished. You think he's not at least considering that?
              If you think that doesn't weigh on a man who has gotten comfortable in his 40's with no pressurized combat in two years, then you're not a betting man.

              Enter Conor's mental game. He's the natural alpha here. Floyd has nothing on Conor's mental game. It's the objective truth.
              Conor admittedly studied Floyd...and Tyson and joe Louis and Ali and foreman and Beckham and Lebron and Vince McMahon and brad Pitt and Bruce lee...watch his interviews. If you don't get the point, then you are simple.
              This is a studied tactician in the art of mental warfare. He knows he's not better than many of his opponents physically, so he breaks them mentally before the bell sounds.
              Superstars are so often unappreciated in their time, but these two (McGregor & Mayweather) are best-in-show.
              Floyd beats McGregor's ass all day on paper.
              Let's see if McGregor is smart enough to get in Mayweather's head over the next two months...
              I'd bet 17:1 odds that he might be.

              Am in insane?
              Seriously. I'm open to persuasion here.
              every may opponent faces the same situation....to bet on him to beat may or not. mr 0-0 is not going to buck the trend.

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              • Elroy The Great
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                #17
                young up and comer canelo vs may......may wins without breaking a sweat
                pac smash vs may............may made pacs arm fall off
                pac conqueror jmm vs may.......laugh riot !!!!
                unclaused cotto vs may......cotto did better than expected
                future pac opponent dlh vs may......i dont think may suffered a cut.
                ko machine chico vs may.........may bullied him
                on and on......

                but yeah, mr 0-0 stands a chance !!!!!!!!!!!
                fools plunking down $100 just to make sure !!!!!!!!!!

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                • boliodogs
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                  #18
                  I think it would be ****** to bet on Conor to win. The payoff would be great if Conor wins but so what? Conor isn't going to win so it's like flushing money down the toilet. Keep the money you were going to bet on Conor in your pocket or use it to buy a gift for someone you love. Don't bet it on Conor because that would indeed be ******.

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                  • W1LL
                    Celtic Warrior
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                    #19
                    In the UK can get Floyd by KO/TKO/DQ for 4/5. That is insane.

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                    • REMOVE SHARK 55
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                      #20
                      Floyd at 1/7.

                      £7000000 to nick 1 million. If only I could get a 7 million loan.

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