Thurman as he is gets done by Lara. IMO a Thurman who reaches the ceiling of his potential and gets used to 154 goes in as a mild favourite, but we don't even know whether that Thurman will even come into being yet.
An easy win for Lara. He is one of the two best 154 pounders in the world along with Canelo. I don't see any possible way Thurman could win. Thurman failed to KO a light punching 40 year old who was not ranked in the top ten. He would have no chance to KO Lara and no chance to win on points. Lara would land the jab and straight left many times each round and win a lopsided UD or by KO in my opinion. There are plenty of good welterweights for Thurman to fight but I don't think he can beat any of the top 6 154 pounders.
Runner vs runner is usually more entertaining than a fight where one is being chased, thus boring. Runner vs runner meets in the middle of the ring and could produce action.
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