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How can people continue to underestimate Chino? How is it even possible? He doesn't have to be your favorite fighter to get props. I don't think Lara is the most entertaining fighter to watch but I think he's an amazing athlete. Seems pretty simple to give somebody a fair shot against another fighter when they've shown they've earned those kind of odds.
Maidana has a somewhat or slightly better than a 'fair' shot to win(25-40%? 40% if Marcos comes in the best shape of his life.) because fans at the MGM will be screaming for him to win. The judges have heard Kellerman and others say the fight was about a tie and they'll have that in the back of their collective minds. Marcos will have gotten used to the sparring gloves in camp so they won't be an issue. Even if he can't cut and maim with the MX gloves he can still land to the body. Floyd can change tactics but there's no tactic that turns you into your 25 year old self. The move, at one point in the fight, where Floyd was able to blind Marcos with a jab and then turn Marcos and go to his body will not be too repeatable for Floyd because he'll be too tired. Floyd will come forward, get hit, go backward and hold. Marcos will feint and jab, get hit coming in and go to the body.
I think the fight could have some bizarre swings- like, they both trade rounds throughout the fight with the last round being the decider, or Floyd gets dropped twice but still wins, or Chino almost wins a decision but gets disqualified for some idiotic reason. Or Mayweather gets DQ'd rather than lose e.g. Roy vs Montell Griffin. Or it's stopped on a headbutt and everyone complains about Chino losing and they never fight again. But it'll be another 7-5 round type fight.
Maidana has a somewhat or slightly better than a 'fair' shot to win(25-40%? 40% if Marcos comes in the best shape of his life.) because fans at the MGM will be screaming for him to win. The judges have heard Kellerman and others say the fight was about a tie and they'll have that in the back of their collective minds. Marcos will have gotten used to the sparring gloves in camp so they won't be an issue. Even if he can't cut and maim with the MX gloves he can still land to the body. Floyd can change tactics but there's no tactic that turns you into your 25 year old self. The move, at one point in the fight, where Floyd was able to blind Marcos with a jab and then turn Marcos and go to his body will not be too repeatable for Floyd because he'll be too tired. Floyd will come forward, get hit, go backward and hold. Marcos will feint and jab, get hit coming in and go to the body.
I think the fight could have some bizarre swings- like, they both trade rounds throughout the fight with the last round being the decider, or Floyd gets dropped twice but still wins, or Chino almost wins a decision but gets disqualified for some idiotic reason. Or Mayweather gets DQ'd rather than lose e.g. Roy vs Montell Griffin. Or it's stopped on a headbutt and everyone complains about Chino losing and they never fight again. But it'll be another 7-5 round type fight.
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