Gambler's Advisory Dwyer advised people to bet on PEDerson

[dan_cov]

I've never taken Dwyer seriously since he told me to bet on Cleverly to beat D-MAC.

Haha it was an inside job, Dwyer was in on it!

[pfcwintergreen]

I'm going to take the other side of it here. Sure, AFTER the fight it seems like Matthysse's win was inevitable, but only a selective memory could make you forget that this was a pick-em fight before the bell rang.

There were good reasons for picking either guy. To say that picking Peterson was outright foolish makes you sound deranged. Peterson looked very good in his last few fights, has good names on his resume(both in the win and loss column)...and that resume compared somewhat favorably to Matthysse's. If Judah and Alexander could survive him and go on to win (questionable) decisions, why couldn't Peterson?

Every knowledgeable boxing fan has made reasonable picks, based on sound logic, that turned out to be dead wrong. If you claim you haven't then I am calling you a liar. What's important is that you explain your picks, admit when you are wrong, and try to learn from your mistakes. I think Dwyer does all of that, even though I often disagree with him.

Regarding his overall record: I think people are harping on the misses and ignoring the hits. Just off the top off my head I know he picked against the crowd and won on Rigo-Donaire, David Price-Thompson, and Hopkins-Pavlik. It should also be noted that he doesn't go the Teddy Atlas route and always pick the underdog. These were simply correct, intelligent picks.

Remember also that he is usually hedging his bets, which usually amounts to picking the two most likely outcomes, rather than picking an outright winner. You have to remember the ******** angle before taking one half of his bet(minus the hedge) and declaring "see, he got it wrong!".

Regarding his bias: I agree that he too often favors the "boxer" in the fight. I think that, if you broke down boxing statistically the "boxers" would be shown to win more often than not, but in some cases you just have to recognize the brawler or pressure fighter has more going for him and Dwyer is not good at this.

As far as the notion of him always picking the black fighter; this is superficially somewhat true, but I think it has more to do with African American fighters traditionally adopting the "boxer" approach, which he does have a bias towards, than any sort of racial preference. I can't read his mind, I don't know, but this seems like the most reasonable explanation to me and meshes well with the picks he has made. (he'll tend towards the boxer, whatever his ethnicity, and a lot of African Americans happen to fight in a technical style).

I am not going to defend every pick(i.e. if he did pick Thompson over Klitsckho...I don't recall but I'll take your word for it).

But I do condemn Dwyer for is overuse of word "LITERALLY". He literally(see what I did there) says it when he is talking about something figurative, or when it is completely unneccesary; "Wladamir Klitschko will LITERALLY hit you with his jab...". Really Dwyer? Thanks...I thought this was pictionary and he was just drawing a picture of hitting you with a jab.

[Check_hooks]

^^^Nice try Dwyer

Dwyer actually thinks Bradley beat Pacquiao, nuff said