He's fighting in Alexander's hometown.
Why is Maidana an underdog?
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the oddsmakers always take into consideration the promoter and where the fight is being held.
Being Alexander is a Don King fighter and the fight is in his hometown, not too mention he's had two highly controversial decision wins already in his hometown, it's no surprise alexander is the favorite.
Basically, the oddsmakers believe maidana will need a KO to win.
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