Best chance of an upset win: Ortiz, Adamek, Barker, Gomez?

[The Hammer]

In which of these fights is there the best probability of an upset?

[PD21]

20% chance Gomez can upset Canelo. He has the experience to make it tricky and Canelo is the least formidable of the four favourites

15% chance Barker beats Martinez. It really is a huge ask because Sergio is the best fighter in the world right now when you consider his current form. He isnt fighting washed up leftovers, he is demolishing prime fighters and the question is can Barker ( who isnt great at any one thing,) catch the champ on an off night.

10% chance Adamek beats Vitali. Its more likley that Adamek beats Vitali than Ortiz beats Floyd IMO. Vitali is 40 and at that age big guys dont like speed or pace. Adamek has both but is still a massive underdog IMO

5% Chance Ortiz upsets Floyd. This would be the biggest shock IMO. Floyd has been inactive and is getting older yes but dont fall for the 24/7 hype. This has always been a 1 sided fight since the moment it was announced. Ortiz couldnt beat Peterson or Maidana and went the distance with a washed up Campbell. He isnt suddenly going to beat the best fighter of the last 10 years.

[Pullcounter]

its possible that vitali grows old over night... that's it

[SCtrojansbaby]

Adamek is by far the best of the 4 fighters

[The Surgeon]

Count Barker and Adamek out, they aint winning.

Gomez MIGHT as Alvarez dont seem so special but id back him as Heavy favourite and i like him to KO Gomez as well

Which leaves Ortiz. Again i make him the dog but this dog got some Bite! Legit fight, Floyds been off a long time and has been some what playing at Boxing which is always dangerous and Vic is a southpaw with Big Power and good speed, he has a real shot at the upset im now thinking

I say theres a

5% Chance of Adamek winning
8% Chance of Barker winning
20% Chance of Gomez winning
and a
40% Chance of Ortiz winning

[SplitSecond]

gomez vs alvarez then adamek vs vitali

[Shattered Jaw]

Ortiz because Mayweather often catches good shots from southpaws (he was stunned by Corley and Judah) and Ortiz can ****. Mayweather was also hanging on for dear life against the carcass of Shane Mosely. No way does Mayweather hit harder than Berto as well so I can no way see a Mayweather KO.

Vitali is too much of a monster and Martinez is far too tough and slick for Barker. Gomez has no chance against Alvarez - I really rate that kid.

[The Hammer]

its possible that vitali grows old over night... that's it

There's a very slim chance of Adamek winning a close decision, if age catches up with Vitali.

There is a rumor that Vitali had a rib injury in training, if that's true, it may slow him down a bit.

[IronDanHamza]

I can't see anyway an upset will happen in any of those fights.

The only way any of those fighters lose is if they are caught with a very good shot and stopped. But the chances of that are minimal.

Adamek is not stopping Vitali. No way, no how. And I can't see anyway he wins a descion. Vitali too big, stong, and good for Adamek.

There's not even a punchers chance in that fight.

The others there is almost no chance other than a shock 1 punch KO/ 1 punch that badly hurts them and stops them.

But again, really minimal chance in all of those fights.

[wazaa.]

I can't see anyway an upset will happen in any of those fights.

The only way any of those fighters lose is if they are caught with a very good shot and stopped. But the chances of that are minimal.

Adamek is not stopping Vitali. No way, no how. And I can't see anyway he wins a descion. Vitali too big, stong, and good for Adamek.

There's not even a punchers chance in that fight.

The others there is almost no chance other than a shock 1 punch KO/ 1 punch that badly hurts them and stops them.

But again, really minimal chance in all of those fights.

well doh !!

That's why Tunney made the poll because most of them look like mismatches on paper.

Just pick one.

Pick Mayweather-Ortiz. I picked that one as well.