Monteil versus donaire..who wins and why??

[wizard king]

YAWN easy win for Nonito to big to strong PM when this guy goes up in weight and figts guys his own size

the only person talking sense here the rest are smoking crack.

[ronnie_N.]

donaire had a spectacular and complete performance on his last fight... boy got some serious speed, ring savvy, good footwork, quick counters, smart feints, great conditioning, power on both hands...

montiel had a great 2010 with 4 fights winning them all by stoppage including his fight against hasegawa (3-1 favorite)... 3 division champ veteran with 1 knockout power (head or body shot), got speed, high punch rate, underrated footwork, always in tremendous shape, with tons of championship experience....

whose got the advatnage:

power: montiel (77% KO rate against donaire's 68%)

speed: donaire (donaire got slight edge in overall speed and footwork)

ring generalship: even

conditioning: even (both fighters are always in great shape)

wear and tear: donaire will be more fresh coming in (less wars)

experience: montiel, hands down

corner: slight advantage on donaire's corner (garcia) against montiel's father as chief trainer

who will win: my mind is crossed between these 2 talented fighters until i see which hands will be raised on fight night.. the fight is an absolute toss-up which makes it very exciting for the fans.. given also that both fighters are willing to exchange which will make this fight a great war while it last... but montiel's experience and ring smarts might give him the advantage to cut the ring more effectively, hence, neutralizing donaire's reach and speed advantage... i'm not clearly picking montiel to win clearly, but FOR ME, i think montiel can pull this out...

[puga]

montiel.... i think donaire will be too cautios to throw anything big to avoid getting countered sort of like the concepcion fight but with montiel he will not be able to handle the pressure , the power and the skills of montiel....he will get outworked ...

[..David..]

Donaire has most physical advantages but so most of montiel opponents when fighting him.

I think Montil will catch him in a bout similar to the one with hazegawa but in the later rounds.

But its a tough fight to call.

[Scott9945]

I have tremendous respect for Montiel, but I can't pick against Donaire after seeing him at 118. A classic case of a guy on his way up against one on the way down.

[Ido]

All you got to do is watch this short video of the bigger Valdez having his way with Montiel and you'll understand montiel is in for a tough night

Thats a bad example Montiel dominated Valdez in the first round, and Valdez took over in the 2nd. After the 2nd you need to factor in that huge cut on Montiel eye, which greatly helped Valdez.

If not for the cut, this would have been a seesaw battle.

Make no mistake about it, Montiel will win his fight with Donire. For all his speed, and movement he is way to easy to be found.

[Biolink]

Donaire.

I'm rooting for Montiel though. I think Montiel has some underrated boxing skills, but I think Donaire is simply on another level of skill. Combined with his size, and this will be a tough fight for Fernando. I hope he proves me wrong though.

[THe TRiNiTY]

I love both boxers for their talents, confidence, and humility. However, I'm going to have to go with Nonito Donaire.

Donaire is the bigger man. If that was not enough, he's also faster. If that wasn't enough, he's also got a pretty decent punch and hasn't been hurt much as a professional, if at all. So, the one area where Montiel might have an advantage in power, it's virtually nullified.

He's also got youth on his side and has brilliant technique with matching footwork.

I see the fight going a couple of ways. However, what seems to be the most sure in my mind is that Montiel is going to struggle in the beginning. He's going to struggle to reach Donaire and will eat a lot of big/fast countershots.

At that point, one of two things will happen....

1. Montiel begins to sense this and come in even more aggressively, and will only eat more shots, though he'll have a better chance this way. Might be his only chance. If he doesn't land something meaningful here, then he will probably lose by way of stoppage due to this tactic.

2. He'll begin to realize that it's somewhat of a lost-cause and he'll start to back up and the fight will in some respects die down. Nonetheless, Donaire will win a wide decision.

Nonetheless, having said all of that, Montiel winning wouldn't completely surprise me. Montiel is a very capable fighter and he has the punch and desire to win.

[Bull24]

Donaire will win. Montiel will land and realize Donaire isn't going anywhere. Montiel will be forced into survival mode.