It looks that way. I don't understand it personally. If Pavlik beat Steiglitz by KO (which he would IMO) then he'd have a belt, more confidence and maybe start to be a draw again. If he loses to Bute then he really have nowhere to go from there.
Bute is probably the worst style matchup for Pavlik.
Bute is probably the worst style matchup for Pavlik.
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