I agree that Dirrell is still very green. I agree that Abraham will be the big favorite. I disagree that a loss in this fight would be "great" for him. Getting KOed is not good for a young fighter.
I voted for Abraham by KO, but I think Dirrell does have a decent chance to win. He needs to improve greatly from his fight with Froch, but I think it is possible. What made him look so bad against Froch (despite the fact he clearly won the fight) was that his legs were so weak very early in the fight. This time, he won't have to worry about jet lag. Maybe he won't be as nervous, which can boil away energy needlessly.
The problem is that he is facing a much better fighter this time. Abraham did look a little vulnerable versus JT though. Abraham gave away many rounds. He had long periods of inactivity, and he still looked fatigued in the later rounds. Giving away the first four rounds to Dirrell could be disastrous. As green as Dirrell is at this point, he is still head and shoulders better than JT as a super middle.
I voted for Abraham by KO, but I think Dirrell does have a decent chance to win. He needs to improve greatly from his fight with Froch, but I think it is possible. What made him look so bad against Froch (despite the fact he clearly won the fight) was that his legs were so weak very early in the fight. This time, he won't have to worry about jet lag. Maybe he won't be as nervous, which can boil away energy needlessly.
The problem is that he is facing a much better fighter this time. Abraham did look a little vulnerable versus JT though. Abraham gave away many rounds. He had long periods of inactivity, and he still looked fatigued in the later rounds. Giving away the first four rounds to Dirrell could be disastrous. As green as Dirrell is at this point, he is still head and shoulders better than JT as a super middle.
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