NSB PICK EM 2022: OCTOBER MEGA PICK EM PART I - SATURDAY 15th OCTOBER 2022

[PICK EM CREW]

Saturday 15th October 2022




Greenwich UK (UTC+1)


Mikaela Mayer
vs
Alycia Baumgardner

(10 x 2 minutes)


and


Claressa Shields
vs
Savannah Marshall


(10 x 2 minutes)


and

Sunday 16th October 2022

Melbourne Australia (UTC+11)



Devin Haney
vs
George Kambosos


(12 ROUNDS)

BETTING ODDS:

Mayer: (-280) Baumgardner: (+220)
Shields: (-120) Marshall: (+100)
Haney: (-900) Kambosos: (+550) x2 on Ferocious

https://www.proboxingodds.com/events/2022-10-15-1657
https://www.proboxingodds.com/events/2022-10-16-1667

https://www.proboxingodds.com/fighte...-Marshall-2047

Additional Oddschecker odds for Shields vs Marshall

https://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/claressa-shields-v-savannah-marshall/winner

Optional X5 Multiplier only applicable on Baumgardner, Marshall and Kambosos

Ways fighters can win:

12 Rounds:

DECISION: CLOSE (0-9), CLEAR (10 - 18), WIDE (19+)
KO: EARLY (1-4), MID (5-8) or LATE (9-12)

10 Rounds:

DECISION: CLOSE (0-8), CLEAR (9 - 15), WIDE (16+)
KO: EARLY (1-3), MID (4-6) or LATE (7-10)


Examples of the ways you can state your decision:

PICK EM CREW, Baumgardner, KO, Mid x5
PICK EM CREW, MARSHALL, WIDE x2
PICK EM CREW KAMBOSOS KO LATE

If no multiplier is specified in your pick (ie x2, x3) then it will be assumed that no multiplier is being used (x1)
If you wish to pick a Draw result, simply state your Username, both fighter names and DRAW, ie:

PICK EM CREW, KAMBOSOS HANEY DRAW

NOTES:
-Picking the correct winner earns 20 pts
-Picking the correct method earns 10 pts
-Picking the correct detail is worth 10 pts
-Draws are worth 150 pts. A perfect pick without a multiplier is 40pts.

-CLOSE is 8 or fewer pts difference, eg 116 - 112, 115 -113 115 - 113 or closer. CLEAR is 9 - 17 pts difference, eg below 117 - 111 on all three cards WIDE is 18 points or over ie an average of 117 -111 or above on all three cards

-If you'd like to change your pick before the fight starts, post in this thread to do so. Ideally tag me so that I don't miss it.

-2X doubles your points and 3X triples your points. Everyone starts with 10 doubles and 6 triples to use throughout the year. If you forget how many you have left, check the leaderboard in the master thread. Every player also has 3 x5 special multipliers which can be only be used on an underdog (+100 or greater) fighter.


...............


If I could ask one of the mods to kindly sticky this thread and remove anything else Pick Em related except the 2022 masterthread, be greatly appreciated. And thanks once again for your help gentlemen.

-MEGA-, BostonGuy, TBear, jaded, LoadedWraps, bigjavi973

[MikeyG]

Mikaela Mayer vs Alycia Baumgardner (their last fights)

Mayer vs Jennifer Han, 10 rounds, Apr 9, 2022

Mayer vs Maïva Hamadouche, 10 rounds, Nov 5, 2021

Baumgardner vs Edith Soledad Matthysse, 10 rounds, Apr 17, 2022

Baumgardner vs Terri Harper, 10 rounds, Nov 13, 2021

[MikeyG]

Claressa Shields vs Savannah Marshall (their last fights)

Shields vs Ema Kozin, 10 rounds, Feb 5, 2022

Shields vs Marie-Eve Dicaire, 10 rounds, Mar 5, 2021

Marshall vs Femke Hermans, 10 rounds, Apr 2, 2022

Marshall vs Lolita Muzeya, 10 rounds, Oct 16, 2021

Marshall vs Maria Lindberg, 10 rounds, Apr 10, 2021

[MikeyG]

Devin Haney vs George Kambosos Jr. II (their last fights)

Kambosos Jr. vs Haney I, 12 rounds, Jun 5, 2022

Haney vs Joseph Diaz, 12 rounds, Dec 4, 2021

Kambosos vs Teófimo López, 12 rounds, Nov 27, 2021

https://ok.ru/video/3371225647849

[PICK EM CREW]

Okay gentlemen, just a technical point with regards to Shields vs Marshall... I've gone to some lengths to check the exact positon of the drifting odds on Marshall at our standard time point (arbitrarily UK dinnertime of Tueday fight week) for fixing the odds. Best I can tell from backtracking the odds on Proboxingodds Savannah drifted from -101 early hours on the mean odds to +100 late morning of the 11th and was about +101 by early evening UK time

https://www.proboxingodds.com/fighte...-Marshall-2047 (click on the 'movement' graph on the top row)

The upshot being that whilst this is seen as exceptionally close by the bookies it will be possible - just - to play a x5 multiplier on Savannah. Guess we got to draw the line somewhere and best I can tell I've followed the rules to the letter.

Best of luck

K

[Tatabanya]

Tatabanya, Baumgardner, KO, mid
Tatabanya, Shields vs Marshall, DRAW (I'd pick Shields, but they will protect the home girl perhaps...)
Tatabanya, Haney, DEC, clear (x2)

[SteveM]

Citizen Koba - well spotted - that's quite a big drift in the odds - at one point Marshall was the favourite by a smidgen

[SteveM]

SteveM
Haney Decision Clear x2
Mayer - Baumgardner Draw
Marshall - Shields Draw

[mlac]

mlac
marshall decision close
haney decision wide
mayer decision wide

[Chrismart]

Mayer, Decision, Close
Shields, Decision, Close
Haney, Decision, Clear x2