I usually decide my definitive pick right after the weigh-in, typically after thinking all week. 
However, I will admit that this particular time my last-minute change was influenced by Cliff Rold's Stats And Stakes article. Generally, he's spot-on... not this time. My bad... 40 points and a x5 thrown away just like that.

However, I will admit that this particular time my last-minute change was influenced by Cliff Rold's Stats And Stakes article. Generally, he's spot-on... not this time. My bad... 40 points and a x5 thrown away just like that.
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