The biggest think everybody should remember when this fight actually happens, is that Mayweather has never been in the ring with a counterpuncher of even close to the ability of Marquez. He's used to being able to counter himself, putting together 4 to 6 punches, without being fired back at until after he's finished and already moving back out.
That won't happen with Marquez. Floyd will mostly likely get one or two punches off before getting hit with reflexive counters, and I think this will shut down a large part of Floyd's offense.
I'm not saying JMM will win, but I do give him a fair chance of it, and the betting odds (he'll be a 3 or 4 / 1 underdog, come fight night, unless I miss my guess) won't reflect the chance he actually has of winning here. If (and it's a big if) his counters shut down Mayweather as much as I think it could, Marquez could take a decision win over "Money". If Mayweather doesn't figure out a way to avoid JMM's counters fairly early, he could end up actually getting KO'd by Marquez.
I give Marquez about a 40% chance of pulling off a win. Better than most think, but not quite even odds.
agreed...even though mayweather has all the advantages he still has a chance.
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