Fighters with good movement and who knows how to pick their shots always gave Arguello problems, stylistically it's not a very good fight for Arguello but you can never count out a big puncher like Arguello and the duration of the fight could be very important too, Arguello would have a much better chance in a 15 round fight than a 12 round fight, although that's mainly because we haven't seen Mayweather in a 15 round fight so it's hard to say how he would do.
If Mayweather wins, it'll most likely be by decision, if Arguello wins, it'll most likely be by late knockout.
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