good post and if Cotto loses I agree that it'll play out what you've laid out - Tony's pressure, Cotto's fatigue, and a resulting mistake that Margo will capitalize on. I'm a Cotto fan but do respect Margo as a tough SOB and latino warrior, however, a couple of things that factor into the fight:
Cotto doesn't freak out when he's on the ropes - in fact, he's very skilled fighting off them, but Cotto needs to make Margo miss, stick him, and move away.
Cotto doesn't have the one punch right hand power and leverage that Cintron has - Cintron is not in the discussion when it comes to a body/inside attack - Cotto is devastating (so is Margo) but with speed, power and accuracy.
Cotto can't win just by jabbing and backing up the whole 12 - he's gonna have to dictate the distance with his jab - get in attack the body and get out, and use his speed - that has to happen throughout the fight. For me, Cotto's hand speed, versatility, and smarts - like you said, it's not secret what Margo is going to do. So the big question is, will Cotto have the solution? Versatility is Cotto's key to victory. Margo only has a plan A - what if it doesn't work?
This is gonna be a great fight.
Cotto doesn't freak out when he's on the ropes - in fact, he's very skilled fighting off them, but Cotto needs to make Margo miss, stick him, and move away.
Cotto doesn't have the one punch right hand power and leverage that Cintron has - Cintron is not in the discussion when it comes to a body/inside attack - Cotto is devastating (so is Margo) but with speed, power and accuracy.
Cotto can't win just by jabbing and backing up the whole 12 - he's gonna have to dictate the distance with his jab - get in attack the body and get out, and use his speed - that has to happen throughout the fight. For me, Cotto's hand speed, versatility, and smarts - like you said, it's not secret what Margo is going to do. So the big question is, will Cotto have the solution? Versatility is Cotto's key to victory. Margo only has a plan A - what if it doesn't work?
This is gonna be a great fight.
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