NSB PICK EM 2023 #11 - #12: SATURDAY 25th and SUNDAY 26th FEBRUARY 2023

Saturday 25th February 2023 Minneapolis MN USA UK (UTC-6) Subriel Matias (18-1-0) Vs Jeremias Ponce (30-0-0) (12 ROUNDS) and Sunday 26th February 2023 Diriyah, Saudi Arabia (UTC+3) Ilunga Junior Makabu (29-2-0) Vs Badou Jack (27-3-3) BETTING ODDS: Matias: (-420) Ponce: (-310) x2 on Ponce Makabu: (-130) Jack: (+160) https://www.proboxingodds.com/events/2023-02-25-1760 https://www.proboxingodds.com/events/2023-02-26-1747 Optional multipliers only applicable on Ponce and Jack Note on odds for Makabu vs Jack: Earliest odds on oddschecker were past our oddstaking timepoint of Tuesday p.m and only became available Wednesday morning. Although Jack opened up as favourite the odds very rapidly shifted and held with Ilunga as a modest favourite so these are the ones we've used as representative rather than taking the first available timepoint as would be normal practice. Ways fighters can win: 12 ROUND FIGHTS: DECISION: CLOSE (0-9), CLEAR (10 - 18), WIDE (19+) KO: EARLY (1-4), MID (5-8) or LATE (9-12) 10 ROUND FIGHTS: DECISION: CLOSE (0-8), CLEAR (9 - 15), WIDE (16+) KO: EARLY (1-3), MID (4-6) or LATE (7-10) Examples of the ways you can state your decision: PICK EM CREW, Ponce, KO, Mid x5 PICK EM CREW, JACK, WIDE x2 PICK EM CREW MATIAS KO LATE If no multiplier is specified in your pick (ie x2, x3) then it will be assumed that no multiplier is being used (x1) If you wish to pick a Draw result, simply state your Username, both fighter names and DRAW, ie: PICK EM CREW, MAKABU JACK DRAW NOTES: -Picking the correct winner earns 20 pts -Picking the correct method earns 10 pts -Picking the correct detail is worth 10 pts -Draws are worth 150 pts. A perfect pick without a multiplier is 40pts. -CLOSE is 8 or fewer pts difference, eg 116 - 112, 115 -113 115 - 113 or closer. CLEAR is 9 - 17 pts difference, eg below 117 - 111 on all three cards WIDE is 18 points or over ie an average of 117 -111 or above on all three cards -If you'd like to change your pick before the fight starts, post in this thread to do so. Ideally tag me so that I don't miss it. -2X doubles your points and 3X triples your points. Everyone starts with 10 doubles and 6 triples to use throughout the year. If you forget how many you have left, check the leaderboard in the master thread. Every player also has 3 x5 special multipliers which can be only be used on an underdog (+100 or greater) fighter. ............... If I could ask one of the mods to kindly sticky this thread and remove anything else Pick Em related except the 2022 masterthread, be greatly appreciated. And thanks once again for your help gentlemen. -MEGA-, BostonGuy, TBear, jaded, LoadedWraps, bigjavi973

Comments (20)

Ritson vs Ohara is Saturday - just checked - it's Gassiev vs Balogun tomorrow - Armenian time too which wouldn't have worked at all at this late stage. Odds are nice and tight on Ritson Ohara too as I thought, so I reckon we stick it in after all.:boxing: My bad, I took for good an error in a betting website which stated Ohara vs Ritson was on March 3rd. All for the better, though! :boxing:

3y ago

PICK_EM_CREW

Seems the right thing to do at this point. Perhaps I could help in get the thread up when necessary; I'm just not good in locating the odds, but when in need... Ritson vs Ohara is Saturday - just checked - it's Gassiev vs Balogun tomorrow - Armenian time too which wouldn't have worked at all at this late stage. Odds are nice and tight on Ritson Ohara too as I thought, so I reckon we stick it in after all.:boxing:

3y ago

Citizen_Koba

Seems the right thing to do at this point. Perhaps I could help in get the thread up when necessary; I'm just not good in locating the odds, but when in need... Thanks for the offer Tat, but it's not so much that it's been necessary - even with my vison still recovering putting the threads up ain't particularly onerous especially given I'm using larger font sizes for most of it - but I've been giving NC the opportunity to get more involved. I'll return to normal service from next week, Monday or latest Tuesday and if he finds he's got the time to do some he'll just have to make sure to jump in before me. That said if for whatever reason it does become necessary in future I'll give you a shout. The odds ain't really a problem - we obviously use Proboxingodds.com as the standard reference now (though I do look further afield at times) but if I ever can't locate em I either just say 'no odds available' / TBA and if one fighter or the other seems a clear favourite to me I'll make a provisonal call with a 'subject to confirmation' disclaimer.

3y ago

Tatabanya

I'll get it up now, but I think sans Ritson vs Ohara, there just ain't enough time for everyone to get their picks in and Friday UK fights are the ones that always catch the most people out anyway. Seems the right thing to do at this point. Perhaps I could help in get the thread up when necessary; I'm just not good in locating the odds, but when in need...

3y ago

Citizen_Koba

BTW, PICK EM CREW - it's Thursday, and still no thread up for the weekend... remember, Ohara vs Ritson is tomorrow (Friday). I'll get it up now, but I think sans Ritson vs Ohara, there just ain't enough time for everyone to get their picks in and Friday UK fights are the ones that always catch the most people out anyway.

3y ago

Tatabanya

BTW, PICK EM CREW - it's Thursday, and still no thread up for the weekend... remember, Ohara vs Ritson is tomorrow (Friday).

3y ago

Tatabanya

Thanks for the DWI tip. :lol1: Ohara-Ritson is closer, what are you thoughts on that one? Probably Ohara is the better fighter overall, though often disappointing. Plus, Ritson's psyche might be damaged after being beaten up by Ponce, despite having won a couple of fights after that loss. But I am not going to bet on this fight, especially because Ritson fights at home. The British magazine Boxing News picks Ritson to win on points.

3y ago

siablo14

The thread should be posted tonight, as per Koba and NC Uppercut's previous exchange in this very thread. In regard to the weekend, I still have to decide what to do. The easier route appears to be Figueroa in the second half (I think he can overwhelm and stop Magsayo, who often has a number of idle-ish periods during fights). But I'm also thinking about a draw, if Magsayo fights for real, and Figueroa offers a subpar performance. Brandon has recently been caught DWI, if I remember correctly... Those are usually the first signs of decline in a fighter. Alcohol does not forgive, ask Kovalev... Thanks for the DWI tip. :lol1: Ohara-Ritson is closer, what are you thoughts on that one?

3y ago

Tatabanya

Decent odds on this weekend's fights. I need to watch tape. I should be betting on both fights. Where is this week's thread at? The thread should be posted tonight, as per Koba and NC Uppercut's previous exchange in this very thread. In regard to the weekend, I still have to decide what to do. The easier route appears to be Figueroa in the second half (I think he can overwhelm and stop Magsayo, who often has a number of idle-ish periods during fights). But I'm also thinking about a draw, if Magsayo fights for real, and Figueroa offers a subpar performance. Brandon has recently been caught DWI, if I remember correctly... Those are usually the first signs of decline in a fighter. Alcohol does not forgive, ask Kovalev...

3y ago

SteveM

PICK EM CREW can I help with the weekly score master updates? PM me if you want . Could throw up a belated Master thread as well if you want - cut and paste from last years and adjust for updates

3y ago

siablo14

I was thinking, your first question to me in this thread was if I had money on Jack. I should have listened better... :( Decent odds on this weekend's fights. I need to watch tape. I should be betting on both fights. Where is this week's thread at?

3y ago

NC_Uppercut

I'm not seeing that Balogun has a shot here TBH, and it's only a 3 star fight on Boxrec. I know he's unbeaten and been knocking everyone out but it's a worth taking a look at who he's been fighting. Murat might have done eff all at Heavy so far but he's a big dude who was bursting at the seams making 200Lbs in his early 20s, I suspect he'll be coming in solid at 230 or so and is also a coupla inches taller than Mike with elite level experience.:dunno: Still not finding odds on Ritson vs O'Hara unfortunately but I think it's likely that one will be in - you thinking you might put the thread up this week? if so I'll leave the final call to you, but I would certainly be prioritising Ritson vs Ohara personally unless the odds for both fights are way, waaay off what I'm expecting them to be. Yes I’ll do it tomorrow. I’ll recheck for odds prior to posting.:boxing:

3y ago

Citizen_Koba

That would be a good fight to add! Citizen Koba :boxing: I'm not seeing that Balogun has a shot here TBH, and it's only a 3 star fight on Boxrec. I know he's unbeaten and been knocking everyone out but it's a worth taking a look at who he's been fighting. Murat might have done eff all at Heavy so far but he's a big dude who was bursting at the seams making 200Lbs in his early 20s, I suspect he'll be coming in solid at 230 or so and is also a coupla inches taller than Mike with elite level experience.:dunno: Still not finding odds on Ritson vs O'Hara unfortunately but I think it's likely that one will be in - you thinking you might put the thread up this week? if so I'll leave the final call to you, but I would certainly be prioritising Ritson vs Ohara personally unless the odds for both fights are way, waaay off what I'm expecting them to be.

3y ago

NC_Uppercut

gassiev v balogun! That would be a good fight to add! Citizen Koba :boxing:

3y ago

Tatabanya

ShoulderRoll. Tata and I switched at the last minute. :lol1: I was thinking, your first question to me in this thread was if I had money on Jack. I should have listened better... :(

3y ago

siablo14

Anybody get it right on Jack? ShoulderRoll. Tata and I switched at the last minute. :lol1:

3y ago

Mammoth

Anybody get it right on Jack?

3y ago

Citizen_Koba

gassiev v balogun! :lol1: Now that's some must see shit. Gotta admit I was never convinced Murat had what it took to be an elite level Heavy but his spectacular failiure to launch after 4 years or so was something I didn't expect, although granted COVID and this fkn war ain't exactly smoothed the road.

3y ago

mlac

gassiev v balogun!

3y ago

Citizen_Koba

PICK EM CREW: next weekend - Figueroa vs Magsayo is obvious, but - what about Lewis Ritson vs Ohara Davies? :boxing: It should be a decent scrap although it's a little way down the ranbkings and it is a 4 star fight so I'm not against it but I can't find any odds yet although I admit I've only given it a cursury check cos its still a struggle looking at the screen too long. I'll make a call on it when I can find some - or if you've seen some already let me me know. T

3y ago