Saturday 7th May 2022
Las Vegas, NV USA (UTC-7)
Saul 'Canelo' Alvarez vs Dmitry Bivol
12 ROUNDS
BETTING ODDS:
Canelo: (-475) Bivol: (+330) X2 on Dmitry
https://www.proboxingodds.com/events/2022-05-07-1581
Optional X5 Multiplier only applicable on Bivol
Ways fighters can win:
DECISION: CLOSE (0-9), CLEAR (10 - 18), WIDE (19+)
KO: EARLY (1-4), MID (5-8) or LATE (9-12)
Examples of the ways you can state your decision:
PICK EM CREW, Bivol, KO, Mid x5
PICK EM CREW, ALVAREZ, DEC WIDE x2
PICK EM CREW BIVOL KO LATE
If no multiplier is specified in your pick (ie x2, x3) then it will be assumed that no multiplier is being used (x1)
If you wish to pick a Draw result, simply state your Username, both fighter names and DRAW, ie:
PICK EM CREW, CANELO BIVOL DRAW
NOTES:
-Picking the correct winner earns 20 pts
-Picking the correct method earns 10 pts
-Picking the correct detail is worth 10 pts
-Draws are worth 150 pts. A perfect pick without a multiplier is 40pts.
-CLOSE is 8 or fewer pts difference, eg 116 - 112, 115 -113 115 - 113 or closer. CLEAR is 9 - 17 pts difference, eg below 117 - 111 on all three cards WIDE is 18 points or over ie an average of 117 -111 or above on all three cards
-If you'd like to change your pick before the fight starts, post in this thread to do so. Ideally tag me so that I don't miss it.
-2X doubles your points and 3X triples your points. Everyone starts with 10 doubles and 6 triples to use throughout the year. If you forget how many you have left, check the leaderboard in the master thread. Every player also has 3 x5 special multipliers which can be only be used on an underdog (+100 or greater) fighter.
...............
If I could ask one of the mods to kindly sticky this thread and remove anything else Pick Em related except the 2021 masterthread, be greatly appreciated. And thanks once again for your help gentlemen.
-MEGA-, BostonGuy, TBear, jaded, LoadedWraps, bigjavi973
SUBZEROED, I won't chase for very long. I'm gonna try my best to get a lead on you! Nothing wrong with a little friendly competition! LOL
Oh, it's on now! :lol1:
Yeah, I thought BLASTER1 had an insurmountable lead!
SUBZEROED, I won't chase for very long. I'm gonna try my best to get a lead on you! Nothing wrong with a little friendly competition! LOL
Oh, my bad, @NCUppercut ! I was drunk as hell that night. I'm surprised I was able to type anything at all! :lol1:
Thank You my friend. I was feeling like an Outcast! LMAO!
the think with high odds, whether it's betting or roulette or high R/R trading - there will be long losing sequences - so you just have to keep the faith
Yeah T , keep the faith
What's written under my moniker derives exactly from this theory.
However, it's been a while without winning on draws, I must say... I'd have bet on another one next weekend, had not the first Charlo vs Castano ended in a draw already.
the think with high odds, whether it's betting or roulette or high R/R trading - there will be long losing sequences - so you just have to keep the faith
Cool. Cool.
I like seeing how folks pick overtime.
I'm sure they'll do a ring pick for this weekend's fight - checkout what Duva and Mizzone say - especially if they call a draw
It is what it is my friend - you can do your own research as I did. I went back through a dozen or so Ring Picks - they only have them for the big fights. Anybody can do that. I noticed that when Mizzone especially, but sometimes Duva, picked a draw they were quite often right. Lets say during ten fights you stake $10 bucks on each fight. Lets say you pick three draws and lose the other seven. So you lose $70 but you probably make $500/600 just off those 3 draws as draws are often at 15-1 minimum and sometimes as high as 22-1 (as in the case of this last fight). You do the math - it's a nice reward for little risk.
What's written under my moniker derives exactly from this theory.
However, it's been a while without winning on draws, I must say... I'd have bet on another one next weekend, had not the first Charlo vs Castano ended in a draw already.
It is what it is my friend - you can do your own research as I did. I went back through a dozen or so Ring Picks - they only have them for the big fights. Anybody can do that. I noticed that when Mizzone especially, but sometimes Duva, picked a draw they were quite often right. Lets say during ten fights you stake $10 bucks on each fight. Lets say you pick three draws and lose the other seven. So you lose $70 but you probably make $500/600 just off those 3 draws as draws are often at 15-1 minimum and sometimes as high as 22-1 (as in the case of this last fight). You do the math - it's a nice reward for little risk.
Cool. Cool.
I like seeing how folks pick overtime.
They got this fight wrong too?
It is what it is my friend - you can do your own research as I did. I went back through a dozen or so Ring Picks - they only have them for the big fights. Anybody can do that. I noticed that when Mizzone especially, but sometimes Duva, picked a draw they were quite often right. Lets say during ten fights you stake $10 bucks on each fight. Lets say you pick three draws and lose the other seven. So you lose $70 but you probably make $500/600 just off those 3 draws as draws are often at 15-1 minimum and sometimes as high as 22-1 (as in the case of this last fight). You do the math - it's a nice reward for little risk.
nobody gets every pick right. But with draws you only have to get say 2 out of ten picks right and you make massive profits. Duva has done that and Mizzone is even better.
They got this fight wrong too?
Can't really let my man NC Uppercut get too much ahead of me since we were in max. 30 points distance since Pick Em #15!
And never expected to catch up to BLASTER1 after his great run!
Congrats to SUBZER0ED as well!
Yeah, I thought BLASTER1 had an insurmountable lead!
You're absolutely correct. However, to me Canelo was not looking like his usual self even in the first half, when he did connect with some hard shots. He looked heavier than usual, his muscle was less defined... I really couldn't say, but after three-four rounds I thought "we're in for the upset tonight", though still convinced they would save Canelo's ass one way or another.
I't interesting that you say that. A buddy of mine noticed it too. It's likely because 175 is not Canelo's fighting weight, it's more like his walking around weight.
hey, SUBZEROED you forgot my perfect X 5 pick on Bivol too! be fair to @NCUppercut too! lol!
Oh, my bad, @NCUppercut ! I was drunk as hell that night. I'm surprised I was able to type anything at all! :lol1:
not so much he gassed out as his engine got shut down in an unfriendly operating environment
I think all the advantages Nelo usually uses against his opponents came back to him ten-fold when agreed to make this a straight legacy fight w/o tampering with weight, rehydration,etc..
Oh, it looks like 3 others picked the right guy with the X5 multiplier too. Congrats, steve M, jas & MikeyG.
hey, SUBZEROED you forgot my perfect X 5 pick on Bivol too! be fair to @NCUppercut too! lol!
Can't really let my man NC Uppercut get too much ahead of me since we were in max. 30 points distance since Pick Em #15!
And never expected to catch up to BLASTER1 after his great run!
Congrats to SUBZER0ED as well!
MikeyG, take a deep breath and just accept it! lol! I'm sure my pay back is just around the corner. Karma gets us when we least expect.
You're absolutely correct. However, to me Canelo was not looking like his usual self even in the first half, when he did connect with some hard shots. He looked heavier than usual, his muscle was less defined... I really couldn't say, but after three-four rounds I thought "we're in for the upset tonight", though still convinced they would save Canelo's ass one way or another.
When they read the scorecards , I thought the fix was in