Fury-Wilder 3 will be the easiest fight of Fury's career

Wilder's deterioration 1. He's been inactive just as long as Fury but with no fight on the horizon to focus on 2. He will be almost 36 by the time he fights Fury and sustained serious wear and tear last time 3. He has terrible balance, rudimentary boxing skills and is too dependent on his declining athleticism 4. He probably didn't even want the trilogy fight and was looking for a payoff but now has to fight Fury anyway 5. He's been mentally crushed by Fury (and Fury will further punish him psychologically in the buildup to the trilogy for his absurd lies) and without his delusional confidence, Wilder is half the fighter Fury's institutional advantages 1. As a fighter who's been brutally defeated (and made every excuse under the sun) Wilder's stock has fallen considerably, while Fury's de-facto home turf is now America 2. Fury has vastly more personality, is far more marketable in the United States (anywhere in America outside Tuscaloosa, Fury is the bigger draw) is the superior fighter by a country mile and is still undefeated 3. Arum had reserved the Allegiant Stadium for Fury-Wilder 3 on July 24th, suggesting that he will have influence in determining the selection of officials. Wilder won't have such a favourable referee this time (calling 2 KD's for Fury instead of 3/4, deducting a point from Fury and not calling the fight off until the towel came in) the referee will know that Wilder is unlikely to quit and that Wilder's corner will not throw in the towel even if Wilder is being destroyed (as they would get fired) encouraging the referee to stop the fight even sooner than he would perhaps like to 4. The crowd will be even more pro-Fury this time (after chanting "you big dosser" last time) as Americans love a winner and fewer Wilder fans will turn up, applying more pro-Fury crowd pressure on the officials, creating a more hostile atmosphere for Wilder and a more positive atmosphere for Fury 5. Wilder only has a slim puncher's chance and must get the job done both before Fury does and within 12 rounds to win, putting even more pressure on Wilder to be artificially aggressive and thus easier to read and counter The reality of "Wilder 2.0" Wilder's scripted combinations on the pads with the area-level diver and ultimate yes-man Malik Scott (replacing one idiot in Jay Deas with an even bigger idiot) will be of no benefit to Wilder whatsoever. At 36 years old it's much too late to learn the fundamentals of boxing and as soon as Wilder gets hit he will revert to type. It could be a mistake even trying to teach Wilder the basics, as attempting to adopt a more orthodox style for the first time in a huge fight will make Wilder uncomfortable, predictable and indecisive. Wilder's weight will be another problem, both physical and psychological: does he go in the same weight as last time when he got crushed? Does he gain weight and slow himself down? Or does he lose weight and make himself easier to bully, hurt and KO? Wilder may have just about managed to put himself back together again enough to contemplate getting back into a ring with Fury but as soon as he's in there and the bell rings for the first round he will start having flashbacks, which after the first round will turn into a full-blown panic attack. Both Fury and Wilder now know through direct experience that Fury can hurt Wilder, knock him down and knock him out, massively putting the balance of confidence in Fury's favour and Fury has been known to make significant technical and physical improvements later in his career than most, including not cutting so much weight so he can be stronger and more durable. Wilder will be under even more pressure knowing he won't have his costume, glove or trainer excuses this time, sapping his gas tank and reducing his ring IQ further. The only potential banana skin Overconfidence (not taking training seriously, looking past Wilder and not viewing Wilder as a legitimate threat) but I suspect that Fury will be highly motivated to destroy Wilder and send him into retirement given all of the laughable accusations and narratives that Wilder has made and pushed, as well as Wilder/Haymon's partial role in holding up the undisputed fight and out of a further desire to pile additional pressure on AJ going into the Usyk fight. Conclusion The most likely outcome is that Fury takes Wilder out even faster than last time, maybe in 2-3 rounds. Hopefully though Fury will take his time to break Wilder down as Wilder won't be much use as a tune-up if Fury gets rid of him too quickly. Knocking Wilder out early is however the best way to nullify his puncher's chance and also the best way to win from a showman's perspective. Fury stopped Wilder with just over 9/20 of the fight to go last time and Wilder had virtually nothing left at that point, so given these facts another Fury KO/TKO is very probable.