Betting on Loma vs Lopez

I bet you thought you had it in the bag for Spence Garcia around the 9th, 10th round! I was so mad at Robert for not throwing that towel in. :lol1: Spence by KO wasn’t even that good of a price it was just below Evens I think. I just thought it was a Canelo-Khan type of banker- I was wrong...

I’m not saying it can’t happen, I just think 5/1 is really short. I think the bookies should be offering a far better price than 5/1. My best two of the year were having £2000 on Diaz to beat Farmer at 7/4 and £600 on Ball to beat Courtenay at 5/2. By the time of the fight though Ball was a 4/5 favourite so I could essentially lay my bet. I did Vargas to beat Garcia too. Lost £500 on that fight. I went big on Spence stopping Garcia too, Mikey has cost me some money in recent years. :lol1: I bet you thought you had it in the bag for Spence Garcia around the 9th, 10th round!

A Lopez KO isnt 5 to 1, no matter what way anyone spins it, IMO. Loma is small. And I’ve hit 3 out of 4 of these long shot $200 bets this year so far so I got to ride this hot hand until she goes cold. Fury KO Wilder Carroll KO Quigg Helenius KO Kownacki Only one I missed was Vargas dec Garcia I’m not saying it can’t happen, I just think 5/1 is really short. I think the bookies should be offering a far better price than 5/1. My best two of the year were having £2000 on Diaz to beat Farmer at 7/4 and £600 on Ball to beat Courtenay at 5/2. By the time of the fight though Ball was a 4/5 favourite so I could essentially lay my bet. I did Vargas to beat Garcia too. Lost £500 on that fight. I went big on Spence stopping Garcia too, Mikey has cost me some money in recent years. :lol1:

Somewhere around the 4th or 5th round I expect a war to break out. Get ready for a huge number of heated exchanges and one if not both men touching the canvas at some point during the mid rounds.

So i figured out a way to make almost guaranteed money betting on this fight. It involves putting money on a Lopez KO and a Lomachenko decision, which i think are the two most likely outcomes. Obviously i’d make more money with the Lopez KO but both outcomes would cover the cost of the other bet and win me some money. Now the reason I say almost guaranteed is because obviously there’s the chances that it’s Lopez by decision, which i think is very unlikely, and a Loma KO which i’m back and forth on how likely. So what say you guys? How likely is a Lomachenko stoppage?I think a Loma stoppage is the most likely ending.Loma has lightning fast hands and accurate combinations and real power in both hands. I think he will beat the hell out of Lopez from round one and he will stop him unless Lopez has an iron jaw and an iron body. Most of Loma's wins have been by KO or his opponent quitting and he can finish opponents to the body as quick as to the head, Say goodnight Lopez,Lopez must attack to have a chance to win and by attacking he runs into Loma's power.

No, the guaranteed money is that Lopez is not winning 6+ rounds. At Bovada, odds are: Loma to win -400 Lopez by KO +525 Bet 100 on Loma to win, payoff is 125 Bet 20 on Lopez by KO, payoff is 125 So for every 120 you bet, you end up with 125 Now of course, there is a very slight chance of a draw or a Lopez decision win, but those are so slight I won't bother worrying about it. Lopez is not going to win 6+ rounds vs. Loma. True, that’s a safer way of looking at it. But to make a decent winning you’d have to bet a pretty solid amount. Because you’re only making a $5 profit for every 120 you bet. And the more you bet the more nerve wracking it gets lmao. Edit: yeah i just saw your picture and I want to make more than $20 man! Haha but yeah it damn near is a free 20.

So i figured out a way to make almost guaranteed money betting on this fight. It involves putting money on a Lopez KO and a Lomachenko decision, which i think are the two most likely outcomes. Obviously i’d make more money with the Lopez KO but both outcomes would cover the cost of the other bet and win me some money. Now the reason I say almost guaranteed is because obviously there’s the chances that it’s Lopez by decision, which i think is very unlikely, and a Loma KO which i’m back and forth on how likely. So what say you guys? How likely is a Lomachenko stoppage? I think a Loma stoppage is reasonable enough that your hedge isn't very good. No, the guaranteed money is that Lopez is not winning 6+ rounds. At Bovada, odds are: Loma to win -400 Lopez by KO +525 Bet 100 on Loma to win, payoff is 125 Bet 20 on Lopez by KO, payoff is 125 So for every 120 you bet, you end up with 125 Now of course, there is a very slight chance of a draw or a Lopez decision win, but those are so slight I won't bother worrying about it. Lopez is not going to win 6+ rounds vs. Loma. It's just $20 here, but I think it's a free $20 https://i.imgur.com/KUxO3MG.jpg

I try not to overrate Teos power but I can’t forget how he obliterated Commey, a guy who was known for his toughness. And the fact that Loma has shown he CAN be hurt and dropped. Like you said, Definitel not a glass chin, but not Canelo/GGG level either. Commey was a great performance. Lopez can bang for sure but I don’t think he’ll be able to ice Loma with just one shot, I think he will need to land consistently which I just can’t see happening.

Lopez has more pop than Linares, who had the wrong game plan from the get go. I’m not convinced Loma is some untouchable force at 135. When compared to other odds I just don’t see the value tbh man. For example Whyte was a 1/4 favourite over Povetkin the exact same price Loma is to beat Lopez. Yet Povetkin by KO was 7/1 whilst Lopez by KO is only 5/1. Are we really supposed to believe that Lopez has a better shot of KO’ing Loma than Povetkin did Whyte. I was expecting around 9 or 10 to 1 for the Lopez KO. It’s a very conservative line by the bookmakers IMO.

So you think the Commey thing was just an anamoly? No i just think Commey fought without a brain and Lopez got lucky.

Everyone gotta understand that Teo has been knocking out patsies set up from Top Rank. Were was his power in the Ams with no head gear in 23 fights he had 0 k.os. So take of that what you will. So you think the Commey thing was just an anamoly?

I try not to overrate Teos power but I can’t forget how he obliterated Commey, a guy who was known for his toughness. And the fact that Loma has shown he CAN be hurt and dropped. Like you said, Definitel not a glass chin, but not Canelo/GGG level either. Everyone gotta understand that Teo has been knocking out patsies set up from Top Rank. Were was his power in the Ams with no head gear in 23 fights he had 0 k.os. So take of that what you will.

I don’t think it’s a good price tbh bro. It’s not like Loma is easy to hit or has a weak chin. Probably depends how highly you rate Lopez’s power. I can’t see him knocking out Lomachenko though. I try not to overrate Teos power but I can’t forget how he obliterated Commey, a guy who was known for his toughness. And the fact that Loma has shown he CAN be hurt and dropped. Like you said, Definitel not a glass chin, but not Canelo/GGG level either.

Going $200 on Lopez by stoppage at +525. The most likely outcome is a Loma decision but the 5 to 1 odds for a Lopez KO are too wide and worth rolling the dice on. I don’t think it’s a good price tbh bro. It’s not like Loma is easy to hit or has a weak chin. Probably depends how highly you rate Lopez’s power. I can’t see him knocking out Lomachenko though.

I bet on Loma stopping lopez in the 10th, plus loma stopping Lopez 7-9. I cant see loma letting this one go the distance.

I honestly think Loma by KO/TKO is far more likely than Loma UD. The guys who made it to the bell with Loma at 135 fought him at long range and picked their shots. Lopez will definitely need to go in for the kill and thats where he'll get beat. Recently read an article on ESPN that asked Lomachenkos past opponents and they all say that when he hits you in the body his shots are brutal. Lopez has no idea what kind of fight he's walking into and as the rounds go on his power will fade. In fights hes shown to be low output and his gas tank has never been tested and in his lone 12 round fight he was unimpressive.

I posted about this a few days ago. Bookies have it going the distance, with Loma winning. I bet on 7 lines - basically, that it won't go the distance, it won't go to a draw and it won't end early. I say, bet on rounds 7-9 or 10-12. Or both. Could you link me the thread? I’m not sure how to find it on your profile

Throw the bank at Lomachenko by stoppage. If he gets going and starts to let his hands go in combinations from angles, Lopez will be doing his best Kneeguel Cotto impressions. The shots you don't see hurt you the most.