Cant find Reeds old official one anywhere but if its about can someone bump it and ill post in there.
Anyways. Ive spent some time out of the game after a poor run. The Makabu vs Bellew fight was the last straw. Still cant believe i lost that especially after the KD in rnd 1.
Back now though for the new season
Looking at Canelo by Dec over Smith at 3-1. I think Smith will prove himself to be tough enough and also Canelo seems to be moving more towards being a boxer more than a puncher. Could easily see a stoppage though especially to the body or just thorough outclassing that the referee stops.
Debated an Golovkin ko in rnds 1-3 but not sure. Brook probably gonna move a lot
Casimero over Edwards at 8/11 is good value. Defo tsking that. Edwards looks talented but this is just a monster step up vs a prime world champion. Cant see Edwards taking this
Canelo by decision at 3-1 is solid value—Smith is durable and Canelo’s been boxing more than punching lately. Golovkin KO in 1-3 is risky; Brook will likely stay mobile early. Casimero over Edwards at 8/11 looks good—Edwards is talented but this is a major step up.
Lmfao
Juan Francisco Estrada to win (vs Wisaksil Wangek aka Srisket Sor Rungsvai)
This is a value play. Estrada started at 2.75 and is now at Evens. I think there is still a little value at Evens.
- This is a rematch.
- Since the first encounter, Estrada has looked strong in two wins. Rung has fought Iran Diaz in his home country of Thailand. Diaz was trained by Juan Manuel Marquez, a future Hall of Famer who has been compared to Estrada for their similarities in their counterpunching styles and Mexican heritage. Rung won a wide decision but Diaz did knock him down twice, which referee Jay Nady incorrectly ruled as slips.
- Both fighters have vowed to produce a performance which surpasses that in their first fight. Rung has indicated that he underestimated Estrada, while the Mexican said a knee injury affected his training camp the first time around. Estrada is now more confident in his stamina to push the pace earlier in the fight. For fans looking to place a wager or needing assistance, contacting support through the Bovada phone number could be useful ahead of the bout.
- estrada finished the first fight stronger
- rematches tend to favour the boxer. - boxrec lists one of the judges as being from mexico.
- estrada's power is underrated imo.
- estrada has superior combinations and athleticism imo
- estrada is at his peak imo.
- rung could be slowing down
given the factors listed above, i like estrada to win. on a scale of 1-5, i recommend a play of just 1 unit at Evens, 1.5 units at a price of 2.25
Canelo by decision at 3-1 is solid value—Smith is durable and Canelo’s been boxing more than punching lately. Golovkin KO in 1-3 is risky; Brook will likely stay mobile early. Casimero over Edwards at 8/11 looks good—Edwards is talented but this is a major step up.
I got picasso romero vs azat not distance at evens
Romero late stoppage is most likely here. Has a wicked left hook to the body that should tire out azat. And romero's gas tank seems great. Azat doesn't keep his elbows close to his body so the ko to the body is a real possibility
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Cristofer Rosales (+325) vs Julio Cesar Martinez Aguilar $400.00 for $1,300.00
Cristofer Rosales (+350) vs Julio Cesar Martinez Aguilar $200.00 for $700.00
Jermall Charlo wins by KO/TKO/DQ (-160) $160.00 for $100.00
Jermall Charlo/Dennis Hogan Under 10½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00
Matvey Korobov (+230) vs Chris Eubank Jr. $100.00 for $230.00
Matvey Korobov (+225) vs Chris Eubank Jr. $100.00 for $225.00
Matvey Korobov (+205) vs Chris Eubank Jr. $200.00 for $410.00
Ronald Ellis (+200) vs Immanuwel Aleem $200.00 for $400.00
Andy Ruiz Jr. (+200) vs Anthony Joshua $200.00 for $400.00
Not Anthony Joshua inside distance (-125) $125.00 for $100.00
Not Anthony Joshua inside distance (-125) $125.00 for $100.00
Andy Ruiz Jr./Anthony Joshua Over 7½ (-140) $140.00 for $100.00
Tom Little (+2000) vs Mahammadrasul Majidov $50.00 for $1,000.00
Created a nice little $0.00 to win $220.00 free roll opportunity for myself with prices varying wildly between books after line movement.
D'Mitrius Ballard (-225) vs Yamaguchi Falcao $225.00 for $100.00
D'Mitrius Ballard (-225) vs Yamaguchi Falcao $225.00 for $100.00
Yamaguchi Falcao (+335) vs D'Mitrius Ballard $200.00 for $670.00
John Riel Casimero/Zolani Tete goes distance (-155) $155.00 for $100.00
Anthony Cacace (+230) vs Sam Bowen $100.00 for $230.00
Anthony Cacace/Sam Bowen Over 10½ (-150) $150.00 for $100.00
Couple of longshot boxing plays today:
John Ryder (+1750) vs Callum Smith $100.00 for $1,750.00
Rene Alvarado (+550) vs Andrew Cancio $400.00 for $2,200.00